Karaganda vs Almaty Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

U8.5 1.28

Confidence77%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 74%

Full game

1X2WonKaragandaodds up 1.22Confidence 74%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU8.5odds down 1.28Confidence 77%
HandicapWonKaraganda -1.5Confidence 66%
Winner (incl. OT)WonKaragandaodds up 1.12Confidence 82%
Double chanceWonKaraganda or drawodds down 1.06Confidence 88%
Draw no betWonKaragandaodds up 1.07Confidence 86%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.09Confidence 83%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonKaragandaodds up 1.64Confidence 55%
1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.53Confidence 56%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Karaganda 41

Almaty

Final 6–1

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 7

Draw after 60 minDraw 14% Decided in regulation

KAR to winTo win 84% KAR won

Score details

Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min6–16%chance
1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period2–113%chance
Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals32%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-1
By period 2-0, 2-1, 0-0
Likeliest 4-1 (6%), 5-2 (5%), 5-1 (5%)

Season so far

This season

Season

Season record16-4-411-13-1

Home / road split12-0-25-8-0

StreakL1W1

RestBack-to-backBack-to-back

Goals for4.32.6

Goals against2.33.4

In the standings4th7th

Head-to-head

Karaganda 32

Almaty

Karaganda won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 7.8 KAR 4.2 · ALM 3.6

Over 6.5 goalsOver 6.5 4 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 2 of 5 1 in overtime · 1 in a shootout

Oct 29, 2026: Karaganda 4, Almaty 5, after a shootout.
Sep 17, 2026: Almaty 2, Karaganda 5.
Sep 16, 2026: Almaty 6, Karaganda 3.
Jan 20, 2026: Almaty 4, Karaganda 5, after overtime.
Jan 19, 2026: Almaty 1, Karaganda 4.

Last five games

Karaganda 4-0-1

Overtime loss, 4–5 against Almaty, after a shootout, Oct 29. Odds: Karaganda 1.22, Almaty 9.80.
Win, 6–0 against Beibarys Atyrau, Oct 25. Odds: Karaganda 1.22, Beibarys 9.00.
Win, 5–0 against Beibarys Atyrau, Oct 24. Odds: Karaganda 1.22, Beibarys 9.50.
Win, 3–2 against Gornyak Rudny, Oct 20. Odds: Karaganda 1.53, Gornyak 4.50.
Win, 4–3 against Gornyak Rudny, Oct 19. Odds: Karaganda 1.57, Gornyak 4.00.

Almaty 1-4-0

Win, 5–4 at Karaganda, after a shootout, Oct 29. Odds: Karaganda 1.22, Almaty 9.80.
Loss, 3–4 at Kokshetau, Oct 26. Odds: Kokshetau 1.12, Almaty 12.50.
Loss, 0–3 at Kokshetau, Oct 25. Odds: Kokshetau 1.18, Almaty 10.00.
Loss, 0–4 against Torpedo, Oct 20. Odds: Almaty 18.00, Torpedo 1.04.
Loss, 1–9 against Torpedo, Oct 19. Odds: Almaty 5.70, Torpedo 1.36.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period2-1

01:15 Goal Karaganda: Lyulko V. assists: Borisevich A., Volkov V. 1-0
03:29 Goal Almaty: Olshansky S. assists: Rymarev Y. 1-1
16:56 Goal PPG Karaganda: Nikulin V. 2-1

2nd period2-0

04:14 Goal Karaganda: Ponomaryov K. 3-1
16:44 Goal Karaganda: Dyomin R. assists: Siksna E. 4-1

3rd period2-0

10:02 Goal Karaganda: Dyomin R. assists: Stepanenko I., Presnov D. 5-1
19:09 Goal Karaganda: Korolinsky Y. assists: Likhotnikov A. 6-1

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Second game in two days for both teams — Karaganda and Almaty played yesterday.
12-0-2 at home for Karaganda this season.
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Karaganda.
4-0-1 in the last five for Karaganda.
1-4-0 in the last five for Almaty.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (KAR)	1.26	1.26	No change
1X2: X (draw)	5.50	5.50	No change
1X2: 2 (ALM)	7.60	7.60	No change
Over/Under line	6.5	6.5	No change
Handicap KAR	−2.5	−2.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Championship standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Torpedo	26	21	3	2	44	.846	138	46	+92
2	Nomad Astana	25	20	3	2	42	.840	102	61	+41
3	Kokshetau	26	20	5	1	41	.788	97	58	+39
4	Karaganda	26	17	5	4	38	.731	108	60	+48
5	Kulager	24	13	6	5	31	.646	87	62	+25
6	Gornyak Rudny	26	14	11	1	29	.558	90	68	+22
7	Almaty	26	11	14	1	23	.442	66	92	−26
8	Aktobe	26	6	19	1	13	.250	69	117	−48
9	Beibarys Atyrau	25	5	18	2	12	.240	48	85	−37
10	Pavlodar	24	0	23	1	1	.021	31	187	−156

Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Karaganda vs Almaty prediction