Karaganda vs Beibarys Atyrau prediction
Chance to win · 80% and 8% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 75%Full game
- 1X2WonKaraganda1.20Confidence 78%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.51.31Confidence 72%
- HandicapWonKaraganda -1.5Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonKaraganda1.11Confidence 85%
- Double chanceWonKaraganda or draw1.05Confidence 89%
- Draw no betWonKaraganda1.06Confidence 89%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.17Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonKaraganda1.65Confidence 57%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.74Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Karaganda 4–1
Beibarys Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min5–07%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period3–014%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 2-1, 0-0
- Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 5-1 (5%), 5-2 (5%)
Season so far
This seasonKaraganda
Beibarys Atyrau
Head-to-head
Karaganda 4–1
Beibarys - Oct 25, 2026: Karaganda 6, Beibarys Atyrau 0.
- Sep 2, 2026: Karaganda 3, Beibarys Atyrau 2, after overtime.
- Sep 1, 2026: Karaganda 5, Beibarys Atyrau 0.
- Jan 16, 2026: Beibarys Atyrau 3, Karaganda 4, after a shootout.
- Jan 15, 2026: Beibarys Atyrau 4, Karaganda 2.
Last five games
Karaganda
3-0-2 - Win, 3–2 against Gornyak Rudny, Oct 20. Odds: Karaganda 1.53, Gornyak 4.50.
- Win, 4–3 against Gornyak Rudny, Oct 19. Odds: Karaganda 1.57, Gornyak 4.00.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Kokshetau, after a shootout, Oct 15. Odds: Kokshetau 3.36, Karaganda 1.77.
- Win, 4–1 at Kokshetau, Oct 14. Odds: Kokshetau 2.35, Karaganda 2.30.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Kulager, after a shootout, Oct 11.
Beibarys
1-4-0 - Loss, 2–3 against Nomad Astana, Oct 20. Odds: Beibarys 9.80, Nomad Astana 1.22.
- Loss, 0–5 against Kulager, Oct 17. Odds: Beibarys 4.70, Kulager 1.53.
- Win, 2–1 against Kulager, Oct 16. Odds: Beibarys 3.80, Kulager 1.63.
- Loss, 1–2 at Aktobe, Oct 13. Odds: Aktobe 3.70, Beibarys 1.68.
- Loss, 1–2 at Aktobe, Oct 12. Odds: Aktobe 3.76, Beibarys 1.63.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period3-0
- 11:52 Goal Karaganda: Nikulin V. assists: Mikhaylov E., Borisevich A. 1-0
- 14:37 Goal PPG Karaganda: Presnov D. assists: Siksna E., Likhotnikov A. 2-0
- 17:02 Goal Karaganda: Likhotnikov A. 3-0
2nd period1-0
- 00:38 Goal Karaganda: Namestnikov Y. assists: Lyulko V., Volkov V. 4-0
3rd period1-0
- 06:48 Goal Karaganda: Palmtag K. assists: Korolinsky Y. 5-0
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 10-0-1 at home for Karaganda this season.
- 2-6-2 away for Beibarys Atyrau this season.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Karaganda.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for Beibarys Atyrau.
- 5.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KAR) | 1.21 | 1.22 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 6.40 | 6.10 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (BEI) | 8.65 | 9.50 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap KAR | −2.5 | −2.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Championship standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Torpedo |
26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 44 | .846 | 138 | 46 | +92 |
| 2 |  Nomad Astana |
25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 42 | .840 | 102 | 61 | +41 |
| 3 |  Kokshetau |
26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 41 | .788 | 97 | 58 | +39 |
| 4 | Karaganda |
26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 38 | .731 | 108 | 60 | +48 |
| 5 |  Kulager |
24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 31 | .646 | 87 | 62 | +25 |
| 6 |  Gornyak Rudny |
26 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 29 | .558 | 90 | 68 | +22 |
| 7 |  Almaty |
26 | 11 | 14 | 1 | 23 | .442 | 66 | 92 | −26 |
| 8 |  Aktobe |
26 | 6 | 19 | 1 | 13 | .250 | 69 | 117 | −48 |
| 9 | Beibarys Atyrau |
25 | 5 | 18 | 2 | 12 | .240 | 48 | 85 | −37 |
| 10 |  Pavlodar |
24 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 1 | .021 | 31 | 187 | −156 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Karaganda host Beibarys Atyrau in the Championship on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.