Karaganda vs Gornyak Rudny prediction
Chance to win · 56% and 24% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2WonKaragandaodds down 1.66Confidence 58%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU7.51.33Confidence 75%
- HandicapWonGornyak +1.5odds up 1.72Confidence 63%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonKaragandaodds down 1.41Confidence 69%
- Double chanceWonKaraganda or drawodds down 1.23Confidence 76%
- Draw no betWonKaragandaodds down 1.35Confidence 72%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.06Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonKaragandaodds down 2.13Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.67Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Karaganda 3–2
Gornyak Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min4–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period3–09%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals32%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 1-2, 0-0
- Likeliest 3-2 (5%), 2-1 (3%), 4-3 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonKaraganda
Gornyak Rudny
Head-to-head
Karaganda 4–1
Gornyak - Oct 20, 2026: Karaganda 3, Gornyak Rudny 2.
- Oct 7, 2026: Gornyak Rudny 1, Karaganda 4.
- Oct 6, 2026: Gornyak Rudny 5, Karaganda 3.
- Mar 6, 2026: Karaganda 3, Gornyak Rudny 2, after overtime.
- Mar 3, 2026: Gornyak Rudny 1, Karaganda 4.
Last five games
Karaganda
3-0-2 - Overtime loss, 3–4 at Kokshetau, after a shootout, Oct 15. Odds: Kokshetau 3.36, Karaganda 1.77.
- Win, 4–1 at Kokshetau, Oct 14. Odds: Kokshetau 2.35, Karaganda 2.30.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Kulager, after a shootout, Oct 11.
- Win, 3–1 at Kulager, Oct 10. Odds: Kulager 2.25, Karaganda 2.25.
- Win, 4–1 at Gornyak Rudny, Oct 7.
Gornyak
2-3-0 - Loss, 2–5 at Almaty, Oct 16. Odds: Almaty 3.66, Gornyak 1.73.
- Win, 3–2 at Almaty, after a shootout, Oct 15. Odds: Almaty 3.38, Gornyak 1.77.
- Loss, 2–5 at Almaty, Oct 12. Odds: Almaty 2.92, Gornyak 1.94.
- Win, 3–0 at Almaty, Oct 11.
- Loss, 1–4 against Karaganda, Oct 7.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period3-0
- 01:11 Goal Karaganda: Nikulin V. assists: Lyulko V., Borisevich A. 1-0
- 14:46 Goal Karaganda: Likhotnikov A. assists: Borisevich A., Dyukarev V. 2-0
- 18:27 Goal Karaganda: Shulga V. assists: Smolyaninov Y., Dyomin R. 3-0
2nd period1-1
- 18:24 Goal Karaganda: Karaban D. assists: Siksna E., Mikhaylov E. 4-0
- 19:22 Goal Gornyak Rudny: Kurshuk A. assists: Yulbarisov O. 4-1
3rd period0-2
- 01:24 Goal Gornyak Rudny: Katkov A. 4-2
- 18:01 Goal Gornyak Rudny: Platonov D. assists: Gurin V., Shingareyev T. 4-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 8-0-1 at home for Karaganda this season.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Karaganda.
- −1.2 goals away — Gornyak Rudny averaged 4.5 at home and 3.3 away this season.
- 5.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
- 4th vs 6th in the Championship standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KAR) | 1.57 | 1.57 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (GOR) | 4.00 | 4.00 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap KAR | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Championship standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Torpedo |
26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 44 | .846 | 138 | 46 | +92 |
| 2 |  Nomad Astana |
25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 42 | .840 | 102 | 61 | +41 |
| 3 |  Kokshetau |
26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 41 | .788 | 97 | 58 | +39 |
| 4 | Karaganda |
26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 38 | .731 | 108 | 60 | +48 |
| 5 |  Kulager |
24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 31 | .646 | 87 | 62 | +25 |
| 6 | Gornyak Rudny |
26 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 29 | .558 | 90 | 68 | +22 |
| 7 |  Almaty |
26 | 11 | 14 | 1 | 23 | .442 | 66 | 92 | −26 |
| 8 |  Aktobe |
26 | 6 | 19 | 1 | 13 | .250 | 69 | 117 | −48 |
| 9 |  Beibarys Atyrau |
25 | 5 | 18 | 2 | 12 | .240 | 48 | 85 | −37 |
| 10 |  Pavlodar |
24 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 1 | .021 | 31 | 187 | −156 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Karaganda host Gornyak Rudny in the Championship on Monday, October 19, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.