Karaganda vs Gornyak Rudny Prediction & Picks

Banker of the dayBanker Double chance Won

Karaganda or draw 1.16

Confidence92%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 69%

Full game

1X2WonKaragandaodds up 1.50Confidence 58%
Over/UnderWonU7.51.37Confidence 74%
HandicapWonGornyak +1.51.75Confidence 63%
Winner (incl. OT)WonKaraganda1.31Confidence 69%
Banker of the day: Double chanceWonKaraganda or draw1.16Confidence 92%
Draw no betWonKaraganda1.24Confidence 72%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.06Confidence 86%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostKaraganda1.98Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.64Confidence 55%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Karaganda 32

Gornyak

Final 3–2

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 20% Decided in regulation

KAR to winTo win 66% KAR won

Score details

Correct scoreWon3–2After 60 min3–24%chance
1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–110%chance
Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd32%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 2-0, 1-2, 0-0
Likeliest 3-2 (5%), 2-1 (3%), 4-3 (3%)

Season so far

This season

Season

Season record13-4-313-7-1

Home / road split9-0-17-6-0

StreakW1L2

RestBack-to-backBack-to-back

Goals for4.23.8

Goals against2.42.6

In the standings4th6th

Head-to-head

Karaganda 41

Gornyak

Karaganda won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 6.0 KAR 3.6 · GOR 2.4

Over 6.5 goalsOver 6.5 2 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in overtime

Oct 19, 2026: Karaganda 4, Gornyak Rudny 3.
Oct 7, 2026: Gornyak Rudny 1, Karaganda 4.
Oct 6, 2026: Gornyak Rudny 5, Karaganda 3.
Mar 6, 2026: Karaganda 3, Gornyak Rudny 2, after overtime.
Mar 3, 2026: Gornyak Rudny 1, Karaganda 4.

Last five games

Karaganda 3-0-2

Win, 4–3 against Gornyak Rudny, Oct 19. Odds: Karaganda 1.57, Gornyak 4.00.
Overtime loss, 3–4 at Kokshetau, after a shootout, Oct 15. Odds: Kokshetau 3.36, Karaganda 1.77.
Win, 4–1 at Kokshetau, Oct 14. Odds: Kokshetau 2.35, Karaganda 2.30.
Overtime loss, 1–2 at Kulager, after a shootout, Oct 11.
Win, 3–1 at Kulager, Oct 10. Odds: Kulager 2.25, Karaganda 2.25.

Gornyak 2-3-0

Loss, 3–4 at Karaganda, Oct 19. Odds: Karaganda 1.57, Gornyak 4.00.
Loss, 2–5 at Almaty, Oct 16. Odds: Almaty 3.66, Gornyak 1.73.
Win, 3–2 at Almaty, after a shootout, Oct 15. Odds: Almaty 3.38, Gornyak 1.77.
Loss, 2–5 at Almaty, Oct 12. Odds: Almaty 2.92, Gornyak 1.94.
Win, 3–0 at Almaty, Oct 11.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-1

04:03 Goal Gornyak Rudny: Platonov D. assists: Parkhomenko D., Lazarev S. 0-1
06:07 Goal Karaganda: Ponomaryov K. assists: Palmtag K., Korolinsky Y. 1-1

2nd period2-0

07:25 Goal Karaganda: Likhotnikov A. assists: Siksna E., Dyukarev V. 2-1
16:55 Goal Karaganda: Likhotnikov A. assists: Karaban D., Siksna E. 3-1

3rd period0-1

16:50 Goal Gornyak Rudny: Gurin V. assists: Kurshuk A., Shingareyev T. 3-2

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Second game in two days for both teams — Karaganda and Gornyak Rudny played yesterday.
9-0-1 at home for Karaganda this season.
4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Karaganda.
−1.2 goals away — Gornyak Rudny averaged 4.5 at home and 3.3 away this season.
6.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (KAR)	1.53	1.53	No change
1X2: X (draw)	5.00	5.00	No change
1X2: 2 (GOR)	4.50	4.50	No change
Over/Under line	6.5	6.5	No change
Handicap KAR	−1.5	−1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Championship standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Torpedo	26	21	3	2	44	.846	138	46	+92
2	Nomad Astana	25	20	3	2	42	.840	102	61	+41
3	Kokshetau	26	20	5	1	41	.788	97	58	+39
4	Karaganda	26	17	5	4	38	.731	108	60	+48
5	Kulager	24	13	6	5	31	.646	87	62	+25
6	Gornyak Rudny	26	14	11	1	29	.558	90	68	+22
7	Almaty	26	11	14	1	23	.442	66	92	−26
8	Aktobe	26	6	19	1	13	.250	69	117	−48
9	Beibarys Atyrau	25	5	18	2	12	.240	48	85	−37
10	Pavlodar	24	0	23	1	1	.021	31	187	−156

Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Karaganda vs Gornyak Rudny prediction