Karlovy Vary vs Mlada Boleslav Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Lost

Karlovy Vary -0.5 1.61

Confidence65%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 70%

Full game

1X2LostKarlovy Varyodds up 1.63Confidence 65%
Over/UnderLostO3.5odds up 1.30Confidence 71%
Best tip of the game: HandicapLostKarlovy Vary -0.5odds up 1.61Confidence 65%
Winner (incl. OT)LostKarlovy Vary1.37Confidence 76%
Double chanceLostKarlovy Vary or drawodds up 1.20Confidence 82%
Draw no betLostKarlovy Varyodds up 1.29Confidence 78%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.18Confidence 82%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostKarlovy Varyodds up 2.24Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU1.51.61Confidence 58%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Karlovy Vary 41

Mlada Boleslav

Final 1–2

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 3

Draw after 60 minDraw 19% Decided in regulation

KAR to winTo win 74% MLA won

Score details

Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min1–27%chance
1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–022%chance
Highest scoring periodLostTieMost goals2nd · 2 goals28%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-1
By period 1-0, 1-1, 2-0
Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 3-1 (6%), 4-2 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record9-5-05-8-1

Home / road split4-1-02-4-1

StreakL1W1

Rest1 day1 day

Goals for2.52.3

Goals against1.83.4

In the standings4th12th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.8−1.3

Goals for2.42.1

Goals against1.63.4

Shots on goal28.929.2

Shots against27.532.9

Shooting %8.3%7.2%

Save %94.5%90.9%

Power-play %6.7%12.8%

Penalty kill %96.8%85.4%

Faceoff %49.8%43.8%

Penalty minutes6.512.3

Blocked shots14.716.2

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Karlovy Vary 41

Mlada Boleslav

Karlovy Vary won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.2 KAR 3.6 · MLA 1.6

Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 3 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in overtime

Sep 18, 2026: Mlada Boleslav 1, Karlovy Vary 4.
Jan 25, 2026: Karlovy Vary 4, Mlada Boleslav 0.
Dec 21, 2025: Mlada Boleslav 0, Karlovy Vary 3.
Oct 28, 2025: Karlovy Vary 4, Mlada Boleslav 5, after overtime.
Sep 21, 2025: Mlada Boleslav 2, Karlovy Vary 3.

Last five games

Karlovy Vary 3-2-0

Loss, 1–2 at Trinec, Oct 25. Odds: Trinec 1.70, Karlovy Vary 4.00.
Win, 4–3 at Mountfield HK, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Hradec Kralove 2.18, Karlovy Vary 2.80.
Win, 2–1 against Kometa Brno, after overtime, Oct 20. Odds: Karlovy Vary 1.98, Kometa Brno 2.70.
Loss, 1–3 at Litvinov, Oct 18. Odds: Litvinov 2.65, Karlovy Vary 2.00.
Win, 5–0 at Olomouc, Oct 16. Odds: Olomouc 3.13, Karlovy Vary 2.00.

Mlada Boleslav 3-2-0

Win, 3–2 against Ceske Budejovice, after a shootout, Oct 25. Odds: Mlada Boleslav 2.30, C. Budejovice 2.55.
Loss, 2–4 at Olomouc, Oct 22. Odds: Olomouc 3.10, Mlada Boleslav 2.05.
Win, 4–3 against Mountfield HK, Oct 18. Odds: Mlada Boleslav 2.40, Hradec Kralove 2.18.
Loss, 0–3 at Trinec, Oct 16. Odds: Trinec 1.40, Mlada Boleslav 5.00.
Win, 2–1 against Litvinov, Oct 11. Odds: Mlada Boleslav 2.17, Litvinov 2.77.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-0

03:39 2 min Mlada Boleslav: Hyka T. Holding
08:38 2 min Mlada Boleslav: Hyka T. Slashing
08:38 2 min Karlovy Vary: Tomek P. Unsportsmanlike conduct
16:33 2 min Karlovy Vary: Brickley D. Interference

2nd period0-2

03:13 2 min Mlada Boleslav: Budik V. Slashing
17:31 Goal Mlada Boleslav: Pavlik F. assists: Lichtag J., Gardon M. 0-1
17:53 Goal Mlada Boleslav: Skalicky P. assists: Hyka T. 0-2

3rd period1-0

10:28 2 min Mlada Boleslav: Martel J. Holding
10:36 Goal PPG Karlovy Vary: Egle H. assists: Tomek P., Koci M. 1-2
13:27 2 min Mlada Boleslav: Griger D. Tripping

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

In goal: Frodl D. for Karlovy Vary (8-2-0 in the last 10 starts), Mokry V. for Mlada Boleslav (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts).
4-1-0 at home for Karlovy Vary this season.
Goal differential gap of 2.1 per game — Karlovy Vary +0.8, Mlada Boleslav −1.3 over their recent games.
4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Karlovy Vary.
Save % gap: Karlovy Vary 94.5%, Mlada Boleslav 90.9% over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (KAR)	1.65	1.65	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.50	4.50	No change
1X2: 2 (MLA)	4.30	4.30	No change
Over/Under line	4.5	4.5	No change
Handicap KAR	−1.5	−0.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Extraliga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Trinec	16	13	2	1	39	1.219	64	38	+26
2	Pardubice	17	12	4	1	36	1.059	64	43	+21
3	Kladno	17	10	4	3	30	.882	53	49	+4
4	Karlovy Vary	17	10	7	0	28	.824	41	33	+8
5	Ceske Budejovice	17	8	7	2	26	.765	45	47	−2
6	Sparta Prague	17	8	7	2	25	.735	45	40	+5
7	Plzen	17	10	6	1	25	.735	44	42	+2
8	Liberec	16	7	5	4	24	.750	44	43	+1
9	Mountfield HK	16	8	6	2	24	.750	43	42	+1
10	Kometa Brno	16	8	5	3	24	.750	43	43	0
11	Litvinov	17	7	9	1	21	.618	36	45	−9
12	Mlada Boleslav	17	6	10	1	17	.500	35	57	−22
13	Vitkovice	15	5	8	2	16	.533	37	49	−12
14	Olomouc	17	4	11	2	13	.382	32	55	−23

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Karlovy Vary vs Mlada Boleslav prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details