Karlovy Vary vs Pardubice Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Lost

Karlovy Vary +1.5 1.31

Confidence70%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%

Full game

1X2WonPardubiceodds down 2.15Confidence 51%
Over/UnderWonO3.5odds down 1.27Confidence 71%
Best tip of the game: HandicapLostKarlovy Vary +1.5odds up 1.31Confidence 70%
Winner (incl. OT)WonPardubiceodds down 1.72Confidence 51%
Double chanceWonPardubice or draw1.39Confidence 65%
Draw no betWonPardubice1.67Confidence 51%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.15Confidence 84%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonDrawodds up 2.40Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds up 1.60Confidence 57%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Karlovy Vary 23

Pardubice

Final 2–4

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 6

Draw after 60 minDraw 22% Decided in regulation

KAR to winTo win 50% PAR won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min2–44%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–123%chance
Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals28%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-3
By period 0-0, 1-2, 1-1
Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (2%), 4-5 (1%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record9-6-010-4-1

Home / road split4-2-05-1-1

StreakL2L3

Rest2 days2 days

Goals for2.43.7

Goals against1.82.7

In the standings4th2nd

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.6+0.9

Goals for2.43.4

Goals against1.82.5

Shots on goal30.832.9

Shots against27.528.7

Shooting %7.8%10.3%

Save %93.8%91.3%

Power-play %8.5%23.8%

Penalty kill %96.8%84.2%

Faceoff %50.6%56.4%

Penalty minutes6.510.0

Blocked shots15.017.9

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Karlovy Vary 14

Pardubice

Pardubice won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.4 KAR 1.8 · PAR 3.6

Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0 2 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 2 of 5 2 in overtime

Sep 20, 2026: Pardubice 5, Karlovy Vary 2.
Mar 1, 2026: Pardubice 4, Karlovy Vary 3, after overtime.
Jan 2, 2026: Karlovy Vary 3, Pardubice 2, after overtime.
Nov 20, 2025: Pardubice 4, Karlovy Vary 1.
Oct 3, 2025: Karlovy Vary 0, Pardubice 3.

Last five games

Karlovy Vary 2-3-0

Loss, 1–2 against Mlada Boleslav, Oct 27. Odds: Karlovy Vary 1.65, Mlada Boleslav 4.30.
Loss, 1–2 at Trinec, Oct 25. Odds: Trinec 1.70, Karlovy Vary 4.00.
Win, 4–3 at Mountfield HK, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Hradec Kralove 2.18, Karlovy Vary 2.80.
Win, 2–1 against Kometa Brno, after overtime, Oct 20. Odds: Karlovy Vary 1.98, Kometa Brno 2.70.
Loss, 1–3 at Litvinov, Oct 18. Odds: Litvinov 2.65, Karlovy Vary 2.00.

Pardubice 2-2-1

Loss, 2–3 against Litvinov, Oct 27. Odds: Pardubice 1.42, Litvinov 5.75.
Loss, 0–2 at Mountfield HK, Oct 25. Odds: Hradec Kralove 2.45, Pardubice 2.35.
Overtime loss, 3–4 at Kladno, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Kladno 3.20, Pardubice 1.90.
Win, 4–1 at Olomouc, Oct 18. Odds: Olomouc 6.60, Pardubice 1.40.
Win, 2–1 against Vaxjo, after overtime, Oct 13. Odds: Pardubice 3.74, Vaxjo 1.66.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-1

11:08 2 min Pardubice: Tomasek D. Tripping
13:21 Goal Pardubice: Smejkal J. assists: Tomasek D., Stransky M. 0-1
17:25 2 min Pardubice: Poulicek P. Tripping
18:35 Goal PPG Karlovy Vary: Tomek P. assists: Egle H., Jones N. 1-1

2nd period0-0

03:17 2 min Karlovy Vary: Eronen E. Hooking
05:14 2 min Pardubice: Nosek T. Tripping
19:03 5 min Pardubice: Mandat J. Fighting
19:03 5 min Karlovy Vary: Lukosik A. Fighting
19:56 2 min Pardubice: Tomasek D. Slashing

3rd period1-3

09:46 Goal Pardubice: Stransky M. assists: Tourigny M., Smejkal J. 1-2
11:56 2 min Karlovy Vary: Redlich T. High sticking
12:04 Goal PPG Pardubice: Tomasek D. assists: Smejkal J. 1-3
13:20 2 min Pardubice: Lauko J. Tripping
14:40 Goal PPG Karlovy Vary: Beranek O. assists: Jones N. 2-3
19:05 Goal ENG Pardubice: Smejkal J. 2-4
19:05 2 min Karlovy Vary: — Unsportsmanlike conduct

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

3-game losing streak for Pardubice coming into this game.
In goal: Frodl D. for Karlovy Vary (8-2-0 in the last 10 starts), Will R. for Pardubice (7-3-0 in the last 10 starts).
4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Pardubice.
−1.1 goals away — Pardubice averaged 4.3 at home and 3.1 away this season.
Save % gap: Karlovy Vary 93.8%, Pardubice 91.3% over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (KAR)	2.80	2.80	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.00	4.00	No change
1X2: 2 (PAR)	2.18	2.18	No change
Over/Under line	4.5	5	Line raised
Handicap KAR	+0.5	+0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Extraliga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Trinec	16	13	2	1	39	1.219	64	38	+26
2	Pardubice	17	12	4	1	36	1.059	64	43	+21
3	Kladno	17	10	4	3	30	.882	53	49	+4
4	Karlovy Vary	17	10	7	0	28	.824	41	33	+8
5	Ceske Budejovice	17	8	7	2	26	.765	45	47	−2
6	Sparta Prague	17	8	7	2	25	.735	45	40	+5
7	Plzen	17	10	6	1	25	.735	44	42	+2
8	Liberec	16	7	5	4	24	.750	44	43	+1
9	Mountfield HK	16	8	6	2	24	.750	43	42	+1
10	Kometa Brno	16	8	5	3	24	.750	43	43	0
11	Litvinov	17	7	9	1	21	.618	36	45	−9
12	Mlada Boleslav	17	6	10	1	17	.500	35	57	−22
13	Vitkovice	15	5	8	2	16	.533	37	49	−12
14	Olomouc	17	4	11	2	13	.382	32	55	−23

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Karlovy Vary vs Pardubice prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details