Karlovy Vary vs Sparta Prague Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under

O3.5 1.33

Confidence71%

All predictions

9 picks · Average confidence 63%

Full game

1X2Karlovy Vary2.40Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderO3.5odds up 1.33Confidence 71%
HandicapSparta Prague +1.51.25Confidence 67%
Winner (incl. OT)Karlovy Vary1.85Confidence 57%
Double chanceKarlovy Vary or draw1.46Confidence 68%
Draw no betKarlovy Varyodds up 1.81Confidence 59%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)Yes1.15Confidence 83%

1st period

1st period 1X2Draw2.30Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderU1.51.60Confidence 59%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Karlovy Vary 32

Sparta Prague

Predicted score

Total goalsTotal 5 Line 4.5 · Over

Draw after 60 minDraw 23%

KAR to winTo win 55% 44% in regulation

Score details

Correct score3–24%chance
1st period correct score0–025%chance
Highest scoring period2nd period27%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 0-0, 2-1, 1-1
Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)

Predicted team stats

The brighter bar is the bigger figure

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record10-7-08-7-2

Home / road split4-3-04-4-1

StreakW1W2

Rest11 days11 days

Goals for2.42.6

Goals against1.92.4

In the standings4th6th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.1+0.2

Goals for2.22.4

Goals against2.32.2

Shots on goal31.131.5

Shots against26.728.0

Shooting %7.1%7.6%

Save %92.1%92.5%

Power-play %9.1%16.7%

Penalty kill %93.8%90.9%

Faceoff %52.3%50.2%

Penalty minutes6.710.5

Blocked shots17.120.9

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Karlovy Vary 32

Sparta Prague

Karlovy Vary won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.0 KAR 2.2 · SPA 2.8

Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 3 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 2 of 5 2 in a shootout

Sep 28, 2026: Sparta Prague 0, Karlovy Vary 1.
Jan 18, 2026: Karlovy Vary 3, Sparta Prague 4, after a shootout.
Dec 7, 2025: Sparta Prague 6, Karlovy Vary 1.
Oct 24, 2025: Karlovy Vary 4, Sparta Prague 3, after a shootout.
Sep 16, 2025: Sparta Prague 1, Karlovy Vary 2.

Last five games

Karlovy Vary 2-3-0

Win, 3–2 at Ceske Budejovice, Nov 1. Odds: C. Budejovice 2.65, Karlovy Vary 2.30.
Loss, 2–4 against Pardubice, Oct 30. Odds: Karlovy Vary 2.80, Pardubice 2.18.
Loss, 1–2 against Mlada Boleslav, Oct 27. Odds: Karlovy Vary 1.65, Mlada Boleslav 4.30.
Loss, 1–2 at Trinec, Oct 25. Odds: Trinec 1.70, Karlovy Vary 4.00.
Win, 4–3 at Mountfield HK, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Hradec Kralove 2.18, Karlovy Vary 2.80.

Sparta Prague 3-2-0

Win, 3–0 against Litvinov, Nov 1. Odds: Sparta Prague 1.59, Litvinov 4.50.
Win, 4–1 at Mlada Boleslav, Oct 30. Odds: Mlada Boleslav 3.30, Sparta Prague 1.90.
Loss, 1–5 at Kladno, Oct 27. Odds: Kladno 3.10, Sparta Prague 2.00.
Win, 2–1 against Olomouc, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Sparta Prague 1.36, Olomouc 6.50.
Loss, 1–3 at Liberec, Oct 23. Odds: Liberec 2.45, Sparta Prague 2.40.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Key insights

3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Karlovy Vary.
5.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.
4th vs 6th in the Extraliga standings.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (KAR)	2.40	2.40	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.00	4.00	No change
1X2: 2 (SPA)	2.50	2.50	No change
Over/Under line	4.5	4.5	No change
Handicap KAR	−0.5	−0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Extraliga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Trinec	16	13	2	1	39	1.219	64	38	+26
2	Pardubice	17	12	4	1	36	1.059	64	43	+21
3	Kladno	17	10	4	3	30	.882	53	49	+4
4	Karlovy Vary	17	10	7	0	28	.824	41	33	+8
5	Ceske Budejovice	17	8	7	2	26	.765	45	47	−2
6	Sparta Prague	17	8	7	2	25	.735	45	40	+5
7	Plzen	17	10	6	1	25	.735	44	42	+2
8	Liberec	16	7	5	4	24	.750	44	43	+1
9	Mountfield HK	16	8	6	2	24	.750	43	42	+1
10	Kometa Brno	16	8	5	3	24	.750	43	43	0
11	Litvinov	17	7	9	1	21	.618	36	45	−9
12	Mlada Boleslav	17	6	10	1	17	.500	35	57	−22
13	Vitkovice	15	5	8	2	16	.533	37	49	−12
14	Olomouc	17	4	11	2	13	.382	32	55	−23

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Karlovy Vary vs Sparta Prague prediction