Karlskrona vs Dalen prediction
Chance to win · 59% and 21% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 70%Full game
- 1X2WonKarlskronaodds down 1.75Confidence 61%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.38Confidence 70%
- HandicapWonDalen +1.51.62Confidence 58%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonKarlskrona1.40Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonKarlskrona or drawodds down 1.30Confidence 80%
- Draw no betWonKarlskronaodds down 1.41Confidence 75%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.09Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostKarlskrona2.17Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.51.24Confidence 77%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreWon3–2After 60 min3–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–119%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 1-0, 0-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Feb 20, 2026: Dalen 5, Karlskrona 6, after overtime.
- Dec 7, 2025: Karlskrona 2, Dalen 1.
Last five games
- Win, 4–3 at Tranas, after overtime, Oct 18. Odds: Tranas 2.40, Karlskrona 2.30.
- Win, 5–1 against Halmstad, Oct 16. Odds: Karlskrona 2.05, Halmstad 2.84.
- Win, 2–1 at Nykoping, after overtime, Oct 10.
- Loss, 1–2 at Vita Hasten, Oct 9. Odds: Vita Hasten 2.00, Karlskrona 2.70.
- Win, 3–2 against Hanvikens, after overtime, Oct 4.
- Loss, 2–3 at Mjolby, Oct 11.
- Win, 6–4 against Tranas, Oct 9. Odds: Dalen 2.43, Tranas 2.25.
- Win, 3–1 against Morrums GoIS, Oct 7.
- Win, 4–3 against Tingsryd, after overtime, Sep 30.
- Win, 2–1 at Kungalvs, Sep 27.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 03:33 Goal PS Dalen: Thornberg J. 0-1
2nd period1-0
- 18:06 Goal Karlskrona: Ratkovic Berndtsson J. assists: Emvall O., Crus-Rydberg V. 1-1
3rd period2-1
- 03:36 Goal Karlskrona: Varmhed D. assists: Ekefjard E., Olofsson V. 2-1
- 08:02 Goal PPG Dalen: Johannesson A. assists: Sandahl H., Thornberg J. 2-2
- 18:11 Goal PPG Karlskrona: Emvall O. assists: Sjostrom E., Olofsson V. 3-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Karlskrona coming into this game.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Dalen.
- 4th vs 6th in the HockeyEttan Sodra standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KAR) | 1.70 | 1.70 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.35 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (DAL) | 3.60 | 3.60 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap KAR | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
HockeyEttan Sodra standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 1.042 | 53 | 25 | +28 | |
| 2 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 1.136 | 49 | 27 | +22 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 1.150 | 51 | 28 | +23 | |
| 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 1.150 | 34 | 16 | +18 | |
| 5 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 1.100 | 34 | 20 | +14 | |
| 6 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 1.000 | 34 | 23 | +11 | |
| 7 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | .864 | 34 | 33 | +1 | |
| 8 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18 | .900 | 33 | 27 | +6 | |
| 9 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17 | .773 | 34 | 36 | −2 | |
| 10 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16 | .727 | 41 | 43 | −2 | |
| 11 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | .682 | 27 | 33 | −6 | |
| 12 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 14 | .636 | 36 | 34 | +2 | |
| 13 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14 | .636 | 31 | 36 | −5 | |
| 14 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 14 | .636 | 33 | 42 | −9 | |
| 15 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 13 | .650 | 33 | 32 | +1 | |
| 16 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 10 | .455 | 30 | 47 | −17 | |
| 17 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 9 | .409 | 23 | 41 | −18 | |
| 18 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 9 | .409 | 25 | 47 | −22 | |
| 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 9 | .409 | 15 | 43 | −28 | |
| 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 6 | .300 | 24 | 41 | −17 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Karlskrona host Dalen in the HockeyEttan Sodra on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.