Karpat U20 vs RoKi U20 prediction
Chance to win · 71% and 15% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Full game
- 1X2WonKarpat U20odds down 1.21Confidence 72%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO5.5odds down 1.34Confidence 72%
- HandicapWonKarpat U20 -1.5Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonKarpat U20odds down 1.11Confidence 80%
- Double chanceWonKarpat U20 or drawodds down 1.05Confidence 85%
- Draw no betWonKarpat U20Confidence 82%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostKarpat U20odds down 1.63Confidence 54%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.51Confidence 66%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost5–2After 60 min5–36%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–112%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 5-2
- By period 2-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 5-2 (6%), 6-3 (4%), 5-1 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Feb 20, 2026: Karpat U20 5, RoKi U20 1.
- Jan 16, 2026: RoKi U20 2, Karpat U20 7.
- Dec 3, 2025: RoKi U20 1, Karpat U20 2.
- Nov 14, 2025: Karpat U20 5, RoKi U20 1.
- Jan 23, 2025: RoKi U20 4, Karpat U20 3.
Last five games
- Win, 3–1 at Hameenlinna U20, Oct 10.
- Loss, 3–5 at Ilves U20, Oct 9. Odds: Ilves U20 1.71, Karpat U20 3.45.
- Win, 3–2 against Vaasan Sport U20, after overtime, Oct 3.
- Win, 5–1 against Lukko U20, Oct 2.
- Win, 5–2 at SaiPa U20, Sep 27.
- Loss, 3–7 at TPS U20, Oct 10.
- Loss, 4–6 at Lukko U20, Oct 9. Odds: Lukko U20 1.15, RoKi U20 10.00.
- Loss, 1–4 against Lukko U20, Oct 3.
- Loss, 1–6 at IFK Helsinki U20, Sep 27.
- Loss, 1–5 at Jokerit U20, Sep 26.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 03:59 Goal RoKi U20: Seppala O. assists: Raisanen J., Pralong R. 0-1
- 06:43 Goal Karpat U20: Jurvelin L. assists: Erholtz A., Peipinen H. 1-1
2nd period3-0
- 14:45 Goal Karpat U20: Kylmala O. assists: Martinmaki K. 2-1
- 15:04 Goal Karpat U20: Jurvelin L. assists: Erholtz A., Kylmala O. 3-1
- 18:37 Goal Karpat U20: Karassaari J. assists: Gussander E., Kahkonen V. 4-1
3rd period1-2
- 04:35 Goal PPG RoKi U20: Hyytia V. assists: Pralong R., Seppala O. 4-2
- 13:42 Goal Karpat U20: Toivonen A. 5-2
- 14:19 Goal RoKi U20: Gruskovnjak L. assists: Halonen A. 5-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 8-game losing streak for RoKi U20 coming into this game.
- 0-6-0 away for RoKi U20 this season.
- The total moved up from 6.5 to 7.5 since it was first published.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Karpat U20.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Karpat U20.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KAR) | 1.24 | 1.24 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 6.10 | 6.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (ROK) | 6.50 | 6.50 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 7.5 | Line raised |
| Handicap KAR | −2.5 | −2.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SM-sarja U20 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 1.083 | 64 | 39 | +25 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 58 | 40 | +18 | |
| 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 36 | .947 | 69 | 55 | +14 | |
| 4 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | .917 | 54 | 52 | +2 | |
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 31 | .861 | 72 | 52 | +20 | |
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 29 | .853 | 52 | 56 | −4 | |
| 7 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 28 | .875 | 47 | 37 | +10 | |
| 8 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | .964 | 56 | 36 | +20 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | .844 | 48 | 49 | −1 | |
| 10 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 26 | .722 | 58 | 49 | +9 | |
| 11 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 24 | .750 | 58 | 63 | −5 | |
| 12 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 22 | .688 | 51 | 55 | −4 | |
| 13 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 62 | 59 | +3 | |
| 14 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 54 | 59 | −5 | |
| 15 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 16 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 15 | .469 | 41 | 55 | −14 | |
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 11 | .324 | 35 | 63 | −28 | |
| 18 | 18 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 6 | .167 | 41 | 94 | −53 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Karpat U20 host RoKi U20 in the SM-sarja U20 on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.