Karpat vs Hameenlinna Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Lost

O3.5 1.26

Confidence74%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%

Full game

1X2WonKarpatodds up 1.71Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostO3.5odds up 1.26Confidence 74%
HandicapWonHPK +2.5odds up 1.32Confidence 64%
Winner (incl. OT)WonKarpatodds up 1.40Confidence 63%
Double chanceWonKarpat or draw1.21Confidence 72%
Draw no betWonKarpat1.33Confidence 65%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds up 1.15Confidence 84%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostKarpat2.25Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.67Confidence 57%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 4% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Karpat 31

HPK

Final 1–0

Total goalsTotal 4 Actual 1

Draw after 60 minDraw 23% Decided in regulation

KAR to winTo win 62% KAR won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–1After 60 min1–04%chance
1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–019%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 1 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-1
By period 1-0, 1-0, 1-1
Likeliest 3-1 (4%), 3-2 (4%), 4-2 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record10-4-48-9-0

Home / road split6-2-12-5-0

StreakL1L3

Rest3 days3 days

Goals for2.82.2

Goals against2.82.9

In the standings7th14th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.2−0.4

Goals for3.12.1

Goals against2.92.5

Shots on goal25.318.4

Shots against24.726.5

Shooting %12.3%11.4%

Save %89.1%91.7%

Power-play %24.1%10.5%

Penalty kill %76.7%81.5%

Faceoff %48.2%51.4%

Penalty minutes8.19.6

Blocked shots7.69.0

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Karpat 14

HPK

Hameenlinna won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.4 KAR 2.4 · HAM 3.0

Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 3 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 2 of 5 2 in overtime

Oct 3, 2026: Hameenlinna 2, Karpat 1, after overtime.
Mar 7, 2026: Hameenlinna 6, Karpat 3.
Mar 6, 2026: Hameenlinna 3, Karpat 2, after overtime.
Oct 18, 2025: Karpat 1, Hameenlinna 2.
Oct 17, 2025: Karpat 5, Hameenlinna 2.

Last five games

Karpat 3-1-1

Loss, 1–5 against KalPa, Oct 24. Odds: Karpat 1.86, KalPa 3.30.
Win, 5–2 against KalPa, Oct 23. Odds: Karpat 1.86, KalPa 3.50.
Overtime loss, 1–2 at SaiPa, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: SaiPa 1.95, Karpat 2.82.
Win, 4–3 against KooKoo, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Karpat 1.82, KooKoo 3.57.
Win, 5–4 at JYP, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: JYP 1.90, Karpat 3.50.

HPK 1-4-0

Loss, 3–6 against IFK Helsinki, Oct 24. Odds: HPK 2.45, HIFK 2.35.
Loss, 2–3 at JYP, Oct 22. Odds: JYP 1.58, HPK 4.25.
Loss, 1–3 against Pelicans, Oct 20. Odds: HPK 2.52, Pelicans 2.22.
Win, 3–1 against Ilves, Oct 16. Odds: HPK 3.90, Ilves 1.81.
Loss, 1–2 at SaiPa, Oct 15. Odds: SaiPa 1.75, HPK 3.30.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-0

11:41 2 min Hameenlinna: Piipponen S. Holding
17:45 2 min Hameenlinna: Oden J. Interference

2nd period1-0

05:19 2 min Karpat: Ratinen S. Hooking
12:04 Goal Karpat: Koivistoinen E. assists: Soini K., Rubin N. 1-0

3rd period0-0

08:03 2 min Karpat: Salmela T. Hooking

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

3-game losing streak for Hameenlinna coming into this game.
In goal: Rubin N. for Karpat (8-1-1 in the last 10 starts), Crespin J. for Hameenlinna.
The total moved down from 5.5 to 4.5 since it was first published.
4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Hameenlinna.
+1.9 goals at home — Karpat averaged 3.8 at home and 1.9 away this season.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (KAR)	1.66	1.66	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.50	4.50	No change
1X2: 2 (HAM)	4.00	4.00	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	4.5	Line lowered
Handicap KAR	−1.5	−0.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Karpat vs Hameenlinna prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details