Karpat vs Jukurit prediction
Chance to win · 44% and 32% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostKarpatodds up 1.95Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostO3.5odds up 1.33Confidence 72%
- HandicapWonJukurit +1.5odds up 1.41Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostKarpatodds up 1.55Confidence 57%
- Double chanceLostKarpat or drawodds up 1.27Confidence 69%
- Draw no betLostKarpatodds up 1.41Confidence 59%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.16Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDrawodds down 2.43Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.51.60Confidence 58%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 5% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min1–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–01st period0–024%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 2 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Oct 10, 2026: Jukurit 2, Karpat 1, after overtime.
- Feb 20, 2026: Jukurit 5, Karpat 4.
- Dec 20, 2025: Karpat 3, Jukurit 2, after a shootout.
- Nov 12, 2025: Karpat 4, Jukurit 3, after a shootout.
- Oct 10, 2025: Jukurit 6, Karpat 3.
Last five games
- Win, 1–0 against Hameenlinna, Oct 28. Odds: Karpat 1.66, HPK 4.00.
- Loss, 1–5 against KalPa, Oct 24. Odds: Karpat 1.86, KalPa 3.30.
- Win, 5–2 against KalPa, Oct 23. Odds: Karpat 1.86, KalPa 3.50.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at SaiPa, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: SaiPa 1.95, Karpat 2.82.
- Win, 4–3 against KooKoo, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Karpat 1.82, KooKoo 3.57.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Lukko, after a shootout, Oct 28. Odds: Jukurit 3.00, Lukko 2.10.
- Win, 2–1 at Ilves, after a shootout, Oct 24. Odds: Ilves 1.56, Jukurit 4.50.
- Loss, 0–3 against Ilves, Oct 23. Odds: Jukurit 3.10, Ilves 2.01.
- Win, 3–0 at Vaasan Sport, Oct 20. Odds: Vaasan Sport 2.18, Jukurit 2.55.
- Win, 3–2 against Tappara, Oct 17. Odds: Jukurit 3.11, Tappara 2.11.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period1-1
- 01:19 Goal Jukurit: Sjodin L. assists: Hayhurst J., Sustr A. 0-1
- 06:23 2 min Karpat: Hirvonen R. Slashing
- 08:45 Goal Karpat: Erholtz E. assists: Koivistoinen E., Tichacek J. 1-1
3rd period0-1
- 14:35 Goal Jukurit: Frilander J. assists: Olofsson J., Lintuniemi A. 1-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Rubin N. for Karpat (8-1-1 in the last 10 starts), Myrenberg J. for Jukurit (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Jukurit.
- +1.6 goals at home — Karpat averaged 3.5 at home and 1.9 away this season.
- Save % gap: Karpat 89.4%, Jukurit 91.6% over their recent games.
- 6.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KAR) | 1.86 | 1.86 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.00 | 4.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (JUK) | 3.50 | 3.50 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
| Handicap KAR | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Liiga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 1.053 | 53 | 36 | +17 | |
| 2 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 37 | .925 | 52 | 39 | +13 | |
| 3 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 36 | .900 | 49 | 40 | +9 | |
| 4 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 35 | 1.029 | 59 | 48 | +11 | |
| 5 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 34 | .850 | 46 | 48 | −2 | |
| 6 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 34 | .944 | 52 | 38 | +14 | |
| 7 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 33 | .825 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 8 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 31 | .816 | 53 | 48 | +5 | |
| 9 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .775 | 61 | 49 | +12 | |
| 10 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 28 | .737 | 51 | 46 | +5 | |
| 11 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | .711 | 53 | 56 | −3 | |
| 12 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 25 | .694 | 46 | 41 | +5 | |
| 13 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 24 | .706 | 40 | 38 | +2 | |
| 14 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 24 | .600 | 42 | 55 | −13 | |
| 15 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | .528 | 33 | 53 | −20 | |
| 16 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 15 | .417 | 41 | 62 | −21 | |
| 17 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 10 | .250 | 46 | 81 | −35 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Karpat host Jukurit in the Liiga on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.