Karpat vs KalPa Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Lost

U6.5 1.36

Confidence72%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%

Full game

1X2WonKarpatodds down 1.95Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU6.5odds down 1.36Confidence 72%
HandicapLostKalPa +1.5odds up 1.45Confidence 67%
Winner (incl. OT)WonKarpatodds down 1.57Confidence 56%
Double chanceWonKarpat or draw1.31Confidence 68%
Draw no betWonKarpatodds up 1.50Confidence 57%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.11Confidence 85%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDrawodds up 2.55Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds up 1.21Confidence 79%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Karpat 32

KalPa

Final 5–2

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 7

Draw after 60 minDraw 23% Decided in regulation

KAR to winTo win 54% KAR won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min5–24%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–021%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 0-0, 1-1, 2-1
Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record9-3-45-7-1

Home / road split5-1-11-3-1

StreakL1W1

Rest2 days5 days

Goals for2.82.3

Goals against2.72.4

In the standings7th12th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.7+0.1

Goals for3.12.5

Goals against2.42.4

Shots on goal24.621.4

Shots against26.224.0

Shooting %12.6%11.7%

Save %90.8%90.0%

Power-play %29.6%21.9%

Penalty kill %78.6%88.6%

Faceoff %49.4%52.8%

Penalty minutes5.67.0

Blocked shots7.010.4

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Karpat 14

KalPa

KalPa won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 6.2 KAR 2.2 · KAL 4.0

Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0 3 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 5 All decided in regulation

Oct 24, 2026: Karpat 1, KalPa 5.
Feb 14, 2026: Karpat 3, KalPa 1.
Feb 13, 2026: Karpat 2, KalPa 5.
Oct 25, 2025: KalPa 3, Karpat 1.
Oct 24, 2025: KalPa 6, Karpat 4.

Last five games

Karpat 3-0-2

Overtime loss, 1–2 at SaiPa, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: SaiPa 1.95, Karpat 2.82.
Win, 4–3 against KooKoo, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Karpat 1.82, KooKoo 3.57.
Win, 5–4 at JYP, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: JYP 1.90, Karpat 3.50.
Overtime loss, 1–2 at Jukurit, after overtime, Oct 10.
Win, 3–2 at Pelicans, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Pelicans 2.18, Karpat 2.85.

KalPa 1-3-1

Win, 3–1 against Pelicans, Oct 17. Odds: KalPa 2.48, Pelicans 2.54.
Loss, 0–1 against Assat, Oct 14. Odds: KalPa 2.81, Assat 2.32.
Loss, 1–6 at IFK Helsinki, Oct 10.
Loss, 2–3 against Tappara, Oct 9. Odds: KalPa 3.10, Tappara 2.08.
Overtime loss, 1–2 at Jukurit, after overtime, Oct 3.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-0

09:44 2 min KalPa: Lyytinen J. Holding
15:32 Goal Karpat: Nilsson W. assists: Rissanen R. 1-0

2nd period1-2

04:08 2 min Karpat: Hirvonen R. Holding
04:24 Goal PPG KalPa: Kapanen K. assists: Rissanen J., Hartikainen T. 1-1
05:19 2 min KalPa: Jokinen M. Holding
06:13 Goal PPG Karpat: Tieksola T. assists: Matinmikko A., Koivistoinen E. 2-1
08:41 2 min KalPa: Klemetti A. Slashing
17:54 Goal KalPa: Piitulainen J. assists: Jokinen M. 2-2

3rd period3-0

01:19 2 min Karpat: Koivistoinen E. Interference
09:46 Goal Karpat: Hermonen J. assists: Korpimaki M., Paaso A. 3-2
18:13 Goal ENG Karpat: Erholtz E. 4-2
18:37 Goal ENG Karpat: Kantner M. 5-2

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Rest advantage: 5 days off for KalPa, 2 for Karpat.
1-3-1 away for KalPa this season.
In goal: Rubin N. for Karpat (7-1-2 in the last 10 starts), Lekkas S. for KalPa (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts).
4-1 in the last 5 meetings for KalPa.
+2.1 goals at home — Karpat averaged 4.0 at home and 1.9 away this season.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (KAR)	1.86	1.86	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.00	4.00	No change
1X2: 2 (KAL)	3.50	3.50	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5	Line lowered
Handicap KAR	−0.5	−0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Karpat vs KalPa prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details