Karpat vs KalPa Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

U6.5 1.36

Confidence72%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%

Full game

1X2LostKarpatodds down 2.02Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.36Confidence 72%
HandicapWonKalPa +1.5odds up 1.42Confidence 66%
Winner (incl. OT)LostKarpatodds down 1.65Confidence 60%
Double chanceLostKarpat or drawodds down 1.36Confidence 70%
Draw no betLostKarpatodds down 1.59Confidence 62%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.11Confidence 85%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonKarpatodds down 2.55Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.23Confidence 78%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Karpat 32

KalPa

Final 1–5

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 6

Draw after 60 minDraw 22% Decided in regulation

KAR to winTo win 58% KAL won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min1–54%chance
1st period correct scoreWon1–01st period1–018%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 1-0, 0-1, 2-1
Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record10-3-45-8-1

Home / road split6-1-11-4-1

StreakW1L1

RestBack-to-backBack-to-back

Goals for2.92.3

Goals against2.62.6

In the standings7th12th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.9−0.9

Goals for3.42.0

Goals against2.52.9

Shots on goal25.420.0

Shots against24.724.6

Shooting %13.4%10.0%

Save %89.9%89.0%

Power-play %27.6%23.3%

Penalty kill %78.6%84.8%

Faceoff %48.6%52.4%

Penalty minutes5.66.6

Blocked shots6.88.9

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Karpat 23

KalPa

KalPa won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 6.4 KAR 3.0 · KAL 3.4

Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0 3 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 5 All decided in regulation

Oct 23, 2026: Karpat 5, KalPa 2.
Feb 14, 2026: Karpat 3, KalPa 1.
Feb 13, 2026: Karpat 2, KalPa 5.
Oct 25, 2025: KalPa 3, Karpat 1.
Oct 24, 2025: KalPa 6, Karpat 4.

Last five games

Karpat 3-0-2

Win, 5–2 against KalPa, Oct 23. Odds: Karpat 1.86, KalPa 3.50.
Overtime loss, 1–2 at SaiPa, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: SaiPa 1.95, Karpat 2.82.
Win, 4–3 against KooKoo, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Karpat 1.82, KooKoo 3.57.
Win, 5–4 at JYP, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: JYP 1.90, Karpat 3.50.
Overtime loss, 1–2 at Jukurit, after overtime, Oct 10.

KalPa 1-4-0

Loss, 2–5 at Karpat, Oct 23. Odds: Karpat 1.86, KalPa 3.50.
Win, 3–1 against Pelicans, Oct 17. Odds: KalPa 2.48, Pelicans 2.54.
Loss, 0–1 against Assat, Oct 14. Odds: KalPa 2.81, Assat 2.32.
Loss, 1–6 at IFK Helsinki, Oct 10.
Loss, 2–3 against Tappara, Oct 9. Odds: KalPa 3.10, Tappara 2.08.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-0

01:00 Goal Karpat: Kantner M. assists: Erholtz E. 1-0
04:43 2 min KalPa: Ruotsalainen V. Tripping
08:45 2 min KalPa: Gallet H. Holding
18:50 5 min Karpat: Rissanen R. Cross checking
19:57 2 min KalPa: Korhonen R. Delay of game

2nd period0-3

03:10 Goal PPG KalPa: Rissanen J. assists: Kapanen K., Ruotsalainen V. 1-1
07:18 Goal KalPa: Kononen J. assists: Miilunpohja R., Kanak L. 1-2
07:40 2 min KalPa: Lappalainen L. Hooking
08:15 Goal SHG KalPa: Saarelainen J. assists: Kapanen K., Karlsson A. 1-3
17:13 2 min KalPa: Saarelainen J. Delay of game

3rd period0-2

09:43 2 min Karpat: Soini K. Interference
11:11 2 min KalPa: Piitulainen J. High sticking
15:39 Goal ENG KalPa: Hartikainen T. assists: Rissanen J. 1-4
17:16 Goal ENG KalPa: Saarelainen J. assists: Kononen J., Gallet H. 1-5
18:47 2 min Karpat: Tikka T. Tripping

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Second game in two days for both teams — Karpat and KalPa played yesterday.
1-4-1 away for KalPa this season.
In goal: Vedenpaa V. for Karpat (1-6-3 in the last 10 starts), Korhonen R. for KalPa (4-5-1 in the last 10 starts).
6-1-1 at home for Karpat this season.
Goal differential gap of 1.8 per game — Karpat +0.9, KalPa −0.9 over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (KAR)	1.86	1.86	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.25	4.25	No change
1X2: 2 (KAL)	3.30	3.30	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5	Line lowered
Handicap KAR	−1.5	−0.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Karpat vs KalPa prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details