Katowice vs Jastrzebie prediction
Chance to win · 68% and 15% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 75%Full game
- 1X2WonKatowiceodds down 1.62Confidence 70%
- Over/UnderWonU6.51.38Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonKatowice -0.5odds down 1.60Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonKatowice1.36Confidence 80%
- Banker of the day: Double chanceWonKatowice or drawodds up 1.18Confidence 95%
- Draw no betWonKatowiceodds down 1.30Confidence 81%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.12Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonKatowiceodds down 2.13Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 79%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreWon4–1After 60 min4–17%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period2–021%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 1-0, 2-1, 1-0
- Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 3-1 (6%), 4-2 (5%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 19+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Oct 2, 2026: Katowice 3, Jastrzebie 2.
- Feb 12, 2026: Katowice 2, Jastrzebie 1.
- Jan 2, 2026: Katowice 5, Jastrzebie 3.
- Nov 23, 2025: Jastrzebie 3, Katowice 6.
- Oct 19, 2025: Jastrzebie 1, Katowice 2, after overtime.
Last five games
- Win, 2–1 against Sanok, Oct 27. Odds: Katowice 1.03, Sanok 25.00.
- Win, 6–2 against Unia Oswiecim, Oct 25. Odds: Katowice 1.98, Unia Oswiecim 2.75.
- Win, 3–0 at Zaglebie Sosnowiec, Oct 23. Odds: Zaglebie 1.72, Katowice 3.45.
- Win, 11–0 at MMKS Podhale, Oct 20. Odds: Podhale 30.00, Katowice 1.01.
- Loss, 3–5 against Tychy, Oct 18. Odds: Katowice 2.94, Tychy 1.90.
- Loss, 1–4 at Tychy, Oct 25. Odds: Tychy 1.33, Jastrzebie 6.60.
- Win, 2–0 against Sanok, Oct 23. Odds: Jastrzebie 1.20, Sanok 9.00.
- Loss, 2–5 at Krakow, Oct 20. Odds: Krakow 2.92, Jastrzebie 1.70.
- Win, 1–0 at Bytom, Oct 18. Odds: Bytom 1.57, Jastrzebie 4.10.
- Win, 1–0 against Torun, Oct 16. Odds: Jastrzebie 2.18, Torun 2.15.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 00:21 Goal Katowice: Fraszko B. assists: Pasiut G., Michalski M. 1-0
- 16:10 Goal Katowice: Hofman J. assists: Hofman J., Huttula J. 2-0
2nd period1-1
- 04:54 Goal Katowice: Krezolek P. assists: Bremer B., Wronka P. 3-0
- 15:35 Goal Jastrzebie: Kasperlik M. assists: Bagin E., Stolarski B. 3-1
3rd period1-0
- 17:23 Goal SHG Katowice: Fraszko B. assists: Lundegard J. 4-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Katowice coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 3 days off for Jastrzebie, 1 for Katowice.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Katowice.
- In goal: LaCouvee C. for Katowice (5-5-0 in the last 10 starts), Holsa P. for Jastrzebie (3-6-0 in the last 9 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 3.1 per game — Katowice +2.8, Jastrzebie −0.3 over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KAT) | 1.60 | 1.60 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.40 | 4.50 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (JAS) | 4.05 | 4.15 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap KAT | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Polish Hockey League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 39 | 1.219 | 75 | 29 | +46 | |
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 34 | .895 | 81 | 46 | +35 | |
| 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 33 | .971 | 73 | 38 | +35 | |
| 4 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 32 | 1.000 | 68 | 40 | +28 | |
| 5 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 31 | .969 | 73 | 40 | +33 | |
| 6 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | .933 | 63 | 49 | +14 | |
| 7 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 23 | .676 | 47 | 61 | −14 | |
| 8 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 20 | .625 | 30 | 44 | −14 | |
| 9 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 6 | .188 | 23 | 70 | −47 | |
| 10 | 16 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 20 | 136 | −116 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Katowice host Jastrzebie in the Polish Hockey League on Thursday, October 29, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.