Kettera vs Hermes prediction
Chance to win · 46% and 31% in regulation
Roos R.StartedSV 91.5% · GAA 2.20 · 2-6-2
Saarinen K.StartedSV 88.1% · GAA 2.89 · 3-4-2All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2WonKetteraodds down 2.47Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.42Confidence 70%
- HandicapWonHermes +1.5odds up 1.44Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonKetteraodds down 1.67Confidence 61%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonKettera or drawodds down 1.53Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonKetteraodds down 1.61Confidence 62%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds up 1.08Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostKetteraodds down 2.52Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.23Confidence 76%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Kettera 3–2
Hermes Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min1–03%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–017%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 1 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 1-0, 0-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (3%), 2-1 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formKettera
Hermes
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Kettera 3–2
Hermes - Jan 24, 2026: Hermes 2, Kettera 1, after overtime.
- Jan 14, 2026: Kettera 4, Hermes 5, after overtime.
- Nov 21, 2025: Kettera 6, Hermes 0.
- Oct 11, 2025: Hermes 1, Kettera 2.
- Sep 27, 2025: Kettera 5, Hermes 2.
Last five games
Kettera
0-5-0 - Loss, 1–4 against Pyry, Oct 29. Odds: Kettera 1.70, Pyry 3.50.
- Loss, 4–6 at Pyry, Oct 24. Odds: Pyry 2.25, Kettera 2.45.
- Loss, 2–4 at TUTO, Oct 23. Odds: TUTO 1.60, Kettera 3.90.
- Loss, 0–2 at K-Vantaa, Oct 17. Odds: K-Vantaa 2.05, Kettera 2.76.
- Loss, 1–3 at Kiekko-Pojat, Oct 16. Odds: Kiekko-Pojat 2.13, Kettera 2.75.
Hermes
2-2-1 - Loss, 0–6 at Kiekko-Pojat, Oct 30. Odds: Kiekko-Pojat 1.75, Hermes 3.30.
- Win, 4–3 against RoKi, Oct 23. Odds: Hermes 2.30, RoKi 2.40.
- Loss, 2–4 against KeuPa, Oct 21. Odds: Hermes 1.65, KeuPa 3.70.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Pyry, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Hermes 1.73, Pyry 3.51.
- Win, 3–2 at KeuPa, Oct 16. Odds: KeuPa 2.61, Hermes 2.19.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period1-0
- 02:07 Goal Kettera: Piironen V. assists: Salmela S., Himmanen N. 1-0
3rd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Hermes, who played yesterday.
- 5-game losing streak for Kettera coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Kettera dropped from 1.85 to 1.67 since they were first published.
- In goal: Roos R. for Kettera (2-6-2 in the last 10 starts), Saarinen K. for Hermes (3-4-2 in the last 9 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.2 per game — Kettera −1.7, Hermes −0.5 over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KET) | 2.05 | 2.05 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (HER) | 2.70 | 2.70 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap KET | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Mestis standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  IPK |
14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 1.143 | 47 | 31 | +16 |
| 2 |  TUTO |
14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 1.107 | 53 | 29 | +24 |
| 3 |  K-Vantaa |
14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 26 | .929 | 35 | 33 | +2 |
| 4 |  Kiekko-Pojat |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .688 | 49 | 49 | 0 |
| 5 |  RoKi |
15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 21 | .700 | 46 | 42 | +4 |
| 6 |  KeuPa |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 45 | 53 | −8 |
| 7 |  Pyry |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 20 | .625 | 47 | 55 | −8 |
| 8 | Hermes |
15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .600 | 36 | 48 | −12 |
| 9 | Kettera |
16 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 13 | .406 | 29 | 47 | −18 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- 5th-8th places
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Kettera host Hermes in the Mestis on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.