KeuPa vs Kiekko-Pojat prediction
Chance to win · 42% and 35% in regulation
Varis K.StartedSV 88.9% · GAA 3.40 · 3-4-3
Rossi J.StartedSV 82.9% · GAA 3.00 · 2-2-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2WonKeuPaodds down 3.30Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU7.5odds down 1.31Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonKeuPa +1.5odds down 1.51Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonKeuPaodds down 2.45Confidence 54%
- Double chanceWonKeuPa or drawodds down 1.85Confidence 65%
- Draw no betWonKeuPaodds down 2.28Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.08Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostKeuPaConfidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.70Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.KeuPa 4–2
Kiekko-Pojat Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–2After 60 min3–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–16%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-2
- By period 2-0, 1-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 4-2 (4%), 4-1 (3%), 3-1 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formKeuPa
Kiekko-Pojat
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
KeuPa 2–3
Kiekko-Pojat - Oct 8, 2026: Kiekko-Pojat 3, KeuPa 2.
- Sep 12, 2026: KeuPa 7, Kiekko-Pojat 3.
- Jan 22, 2026: Kiekko-Pojat 4, KeuPa 1.
- Jan 10, 2026: KeuPa 5, Kiekko-Pojat 1.
- Dec 9, 2025: Kiekko-Pojat 5, KeuPa 3.
Last five games
KeuPa
3-2-0 - Loss, 2–3 at IPK, Oct 29. Odds: IPK 1.57, KeuPa 4.15.
- Win, 3–2 at RoKi, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: RoKi 1.67, KeuPa 3.60.
- Win, 4–2 at Hermes, Oct 21. Odds: Hermes 1.65, KeuPa 3.70.
- Loss, 2–3 against Hermes, Oct 16. Odds: KeuPa 2.61, Hermes 2.19.
- Win, 5–2 at K-Vantaa, Oct 15. Odds: K-Vantaa 1.66, KeuPa 4.00.
Kiekko-Pojat
3-1-1 - Win, 6–0 against Hermes, Oct 30. Odds: Kiekko-Pojat 1.75, Hermes 3.30.
- Loss, 1–3 at IPK, Oct 23. Odds: IPK 1.90, Kiekko-Pojat 2.95.
- Win, 5–1 against Pyry, Oct 22. Odds: Kiekko-Pojat 1.45, Pyry 4.90.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 against TUTO, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Kiekko-Pojat 2.80, TUTO 2.02.
- Win, 3–1 against Kettera, Oct 16. Odds: Kiekko-Pojat 2.13, Kettera 2.75.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 08:46 Goal Kiekko-Pojat: Suni O. assists: Koskela V., Suvanto N. 0-1
2nd period1-0
- 12:55 Goal KeuPa: Jarvenpaa M. assists: Vaharautio K. 1-1
3rd period2-0
- 02:39 Goal KeuPa: Rantanen N. assists: Paganus T., Eloranta E. 2-1
- 09:24 Goal KeuPa: Vaharautio K. assists: Aaltonen S., Matikainen K. 3-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Kiekko-Pojat, who played yesterday.
- 1-3-1 at home for KeuPa this season.
- 1-4-1 away for Kiekko-Pojat this season.
- In goal: Varis K. for KeuPa (3-4-3 in the last 10 starts), Rossi J. for Kiekko-Pojat (2-2-0 in the last 4 starts).
- The total moved down from 6.5 to 5.5 since it was first published.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KEU) | 3.10 | 3.10 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.25 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (KIE) | 1.85 | 1.85 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 5.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap KEU | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Mestis standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  IPK |
14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 1.143 | 47 | 31 | +16 |
| 2 |  TUTO |
14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 1.107 | 53 | 29 | +24 |
| 3 |  K-Vantaa |
14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 26 | .929 | 35 | 33 | +2 |
| 4 | Kiekko-Pojat |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .688 | 49 | 49 | 0 |
| 5 |  RoKi |
15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 21 | .700 | 46 | 42 | +4 |
| 6 | KeuPa |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 45 | 53 | −8 |
| 7 |  Pyry |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 20 | .625 | 47 | 55 | −8 |
| 8 |  Hermes |
15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .600 | 36 | 48 | −12 |
| 9 |  Kettera |
16 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 13 | .406 | 29 | 47 | −18 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- 5th-8th places
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
KeuPa host Kiekko-Pojat in the Mestis on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.