Kiekko-Espoo U20 vs Karpat U20 Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

O4.5 1.29

Confidence72%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 68%

Full game

1X2LostK-Espoo U20odds up 1.72Confidence 61%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.29Confidence 72%
HandicapWonKarpat U20 +1.5odds down 1.75Confidence 58%
Winner (incl. OT)LostK-Espoo U20odds up 1.44Confidence 70%
Double chanceLostK-Espoo U20 or drawodds up 1.24Confidence 79%
Draw no betLostK-Espoo U20Confidence 74%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 88%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostK-Espoo U20odds up 2.20Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.69Confidence 57%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

K-Espoo U20 32

Karpat U20

Final 4–6

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 10

Draw after 60 minDraw 19% Decided in regulation

KEU to winTo win 69% KAR won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min4–64%chance
1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–210%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd28%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (1%)

Season so far

This season

Season

Season record10-5-111-6-0

Home / road split6-3-15-3-0

StreakW2L2

Rest6 days4 days

Goals for4.13.5

Goals against2.72.9

In the standings5th3rd

Head-to-head

K-Espoo U20 31

Karpat U20

Kiekko-Espoo U20 won three of the last four meetings

Goals a gameGoals 8.5 KEU 5.3 · KAR 3.3

Over 6.0 goalsOver 6.0 4 of 4 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 4 1 in overtime

Mar 6, 2026: Karpat U20 2, Kiekko-Espoo U20 6.
Sep 5, 2025: Kiekko-Espoo U20 4, Karpat U20 3, after overtime.
Dec 20, 2024: Karpat U20 5, Kiekko-Espoo U20 4.
Nov 15, 2024: Kiekko-Espoo U20 7, Karpat U20 3.

Last five games

K-Espoo U20 3-1-1

Win, 3–0 against Jokerit U20, Oct 23. Odds: K-Espoo U20 1.98, Jokerit U20 2.80.
Win, 8–4 at Hameenlinna U20, Oct 21. Odds: HPK U20 1.83, K-Espoo U20 3.15.
Overtime loss, 2–3 against Jukurit U20, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: K-Espoo U20 1.43, Jukurit U20 5.00.
Win, 6–3 against Assat U20, Oct 15. Odds: K-Espoo U20 1.58, Assat U20 4.00.
Loss, 2–4 at IFK Helsinki U20, Oct 11.

Karpat U20 3-2-0

Loss, 3–5 at Vaasan Sport U20, Oct 25. Odds: Sport U20 2.70, Karpat U20 1.98.
Loss, 0–4 against Jukurit U20, Oct 24. Odds: Karpat U20 1.80, Jukurit U20 3.25.
Win, 5–1 at KalPa U20, Oct 23. Odds: KalPa U20 1.95, Karpat U20 2.80.
Win, 7–2 against Vaasan Sport U20, Oct 16. Odds: Karpat U20 1.74, Sport U20 3.25.
Win, 5–3 against RoKi U20, Oct 14. Odds: Karpat U20 1.24, RoKi U20 6.50.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-2

08:58 Goal Karpat U20: Pitkanen E. assists: Gussander N., Mattila U. 0-1
14:55 Goal Karpat U20: Kylmala O. assists: Erholtz A., Jurvelin L. 0-2

2nd period2-2

02:56 Goal Kiekko-Espoo U20: Hirschovits J. assists: Kovalainen O., Arkiomaa V. 1-2
06:06 Goal SHG Kiekko-Espoo U20: Nyman T. assists: Suominen L., Hirschovits J. 2-2
07:32 Goal PPG Karpat U20: Erholtz A. assists: Jurvelin L., Apukka M. 2-3
08:26 Goal PPG Karpat U20: Kahkonen V. assists: Apukka M., Kylmala O. 2-4

3rd period2-2

02:20 Goal Karpat U20: Viuhkola N. assists: Karjalainen A., Apukka M. 2-5
07:15 Goal PPG Kiekko-Espoo U20: Pahkamaa J. assists: Fredrikson J., Torkki J. 3-5
08:02 Goal PPG Kiekko-Espoo U20: Kurri P. assists: Granholm E., Sundberg C. 4-5
19:29 Goal ENG Karpat U20: Jurvelin L. assists: Kylmala O., Jaako J. 4-6

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Odds moved: the odds on Karpat U20 dropped from 2.52 to 1.77 since they were first published.
Rest advantage: 6 days off for Kiekko-Espoo U20, 4 for Karpat U20.
3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Kiekko-Espoo U20.
8.5 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
5th vs 3rd in the SM-sarja U20 standings.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (KEU)	1.75	2.40	Drifted
1X2: X (draw)	4.45	4.15	Shortened
1X2: 2 (KAR)	3.35	2.20	Shortened
Over/Under line	5.5	6	Line raised
Handicap KEU	−1.5	−1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

SM-sarja U20 standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	IFK Helsinki U20	18	13	3	2	39	1.083	64	39	+25
2	Pelicans Lahti U20	17	12	4	1	36	1.059	58	40	+18
3	Karpat U20	19	13	6	0	36	.947	69	55	+14
4	Jukurit U20	18	11	5	2	33	.917	54	52	+2
5	Kiekko-Espoo U20	18	10	7	1	31	.861	72	52	+20
6	Tappara U20	17	9	6	2	29	.853	52	56	−4
7	Lukko U20	16	10	6	0	28	.875	47	37	+10
8	Hameenlinna U20	14	8	3	3	27	.964	56	36	+20
9	TPS U20	16	8	4	4	27	.844	48	49	−1
10	Jokerit U20	18	8	7	3	26	.722	58	49	+9
11	Ilves U20	16	8	7	1	24	.750	58	63	−5
12	KalPa U20	16	9	7	0	22	.688	51	55	−4
13	Vaasan Sport U20	16	7	8	1	21	.656	62	59	+3
14	SaiPa U20	16	7	7	2	21	.656	54	59	−5
15	Jyvaskyla U20	16	7	8	1	21	.656	51	58	−7
16	Assat U20	16	6	9	1	15	.469	41	55	−14
17	KooKoo U20	17	3	12	2	11	.324	35	63	−28
18	RoKi U20	18	2	15	1	6	.167	41	94	−53

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Kiekko-Espoo U20 vs Karpat U20 prediction