Kiekko-Espoo vs TPS Turku prediction
Kiekko-Espoo 5–, TPS Turku 4
AOT
Puck drop 12:30 ET
1X2 2.201X2 2.65
Espoo Metro Areena (Espoo) · FinlandEspoo Metro Areena (Espoo)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
OT
KIE
1
1
2
1
TUR
1
0
3
0
58%Kiekko-Espoo win · 46% in regulationKIE
Overtime or shootout · 23%OT / SO 23%
42%TPS Turku win · 31% in regulationTUR
Chance to win · 46% and 31% in regulation
Rimpinen P.StartedSV 89.5% · GAA 2.80 · 4-4-2
Makiniemi E.StartedSV 88.1% · GAA 2.30 · 6-3-1
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Over/Under
Lost
U6.5
odds up 1.27
Confidence74%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2LostKiekko-Espooodds up 2.25Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU6.5odds up 1.27Confidence 74%
- HandicapWonTPS +1.5odds up 1.35Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonKiekko-Espooodds down 1.78Confidence 60%
- Double chanceWonKiekko-Espoo or drawodds down 1.43Confidence 70%
- Draw no betPushKiekko-Espooodds up 1.72Confidence 62%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.12Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDrawodds down 2.49Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds down 1.69Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Kiekko-Espoo 2–1
TPS
Total goalsTotal
3
Actual 9
Draw after 60 minDraw
23%
Went to overtime
KIE to winTo win
58%
KIE won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min4–44%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–123%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 5 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-1
- By period 0-0, 1-0, 1-1
- Likeliest 2-1 (4%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Kiekko-Espoo
TPS Turku
Kiekko-Espoo
TPS Turku
Season recordKiekko-Espoo 7-7-3TPS Turku 9-7-1
Home / road splitKiekko-Espoo 6-3-0TPS Turku 3-5-1
StreakKiekko-Espoo L1TPS Turku L2
RestKiekko-Espoo 4 daysTPS Turku 3 days
Goals forKiekko-Espoo 2.9TPS Turku 2.8
Goals againstKiekko-Espoo 2.6TPS Turku 2.5
In the standingsKiekko-Espoo 9thTPS Turku 8th
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameKiekko-Espoo 0.0TPS Turku 0.0
Goals forKiekko-Espoo 3.3TPS Turku 2.8
Goals againstKiekko-Espoo 3.3TPS Turku 2.8
Shots on goalKiekko-Espoo 29.2TPS Turku 25.8
Shots againstKiekko-Espoo 27.1TPS Turku 20.7
Shooting %Kiekko-Espoo 11.3%TPS Turku 10.9%
Save %Kiekko-Espoo 88.6%TPS Turku 87.0%
Power-play %Kiekko-Espoo 17.6%TPS Turku 17.6%
Penalty kill %Kiekko-Espoo 81.8%TPS Turku 87.1%
Faceoff %Kiekko-Espoo 47.3%TPS Turku 50.0%
Penalty minutesKiekko-Espoo 8.7TPS Turku 8.3
Blocked shotsKiekko-Espoo 9.1TPS Turku 12.4
Per game · KIE at home, TUR away
Goal differential per gameKiekko-Espoo +1.7TPS Turku −1.0
Goals forKiekko-Espoo 3.5TPS Turku 2.1
Goals againstKiekko-Espoo 1.8TPS Turku 3.1
Shots on goalKiekko-Espoo 29.3TPS Turku 27.9
Shots againstKiekko-Espoo 25.5TPS Turku 20.6
Shooting %Kiekko-Espoo 11.9%TPS Turku 7.5%
Save %Kiekko-Espoo 92.9%TPS Turku 86.4%
Power-play %Kiekko-Espoo 19.0%TPS Turku 17.5%
Penalty kill %Kiekko-Espoo 89.7%TPS Turku 85.0%
Faceoff %Kiekko-Espoo 46.7%TPS Turku 48.8%
Penalty minutesKiekko-Espoo 9.9TPS Turku 12.2
Blocked shotsKiekko-Espoo 8.3TPS Turku 12.3
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Kiekko-Espoo 3–2
TPS
Goals a gameGoals
5.4
KIE 3.0 · TUR 2.4
Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5
3 of 5
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
0 of 5
All decided in regulation
- Oct 16, 2026: TPS Turku 4, Kiekko-Espoo 2.
- Sep 30, 2026: Kiekko-Espoo 4, TPS Turku 2.
- Dec 27, 2025: Kiekko-Espoo 8, TPS Turku 1.
- Dec 26, 2025: TPS Turku 0, Kiekko-Espoo 1.
- Dec 3, 2025: TPS Turku 5, Kiekko-Espoo 0.
Last five games
Kiekko-Espoo
2-3-0 - Loss, 0–3 against IFK Helsinki, Oct 23. Odds: Kiekko-Espoo 1.96, HIFK 3.00.
- Win, 4–2 against KooKoo, Oct 21. Odds: Kiekko-Espoo 1.51, KooKoo 4.50.
- Loss, 1–3 at Lukko, Oct 17. Odds: Lukko 2.01, Kiekko-Espoo 3.21.
- Loss, 2–4 at TPS Turku, Oct 16. Odds: TPS 2.19, Kiekko-Espoo 2.91.
- Win, 6–1 against JYP, Oct 9. Odds: Kiekko-Espoo 2.02, JYP 3.05.
TPS
3-2-0 - Loss, 1–3 against Lukko, Oct 24. Odds: TPS 1.91, Lukko 3.20.
- Loss, 1–4 at Lukko, Oct 23. Odds: Lukko 2.20, TPS 2.65.
- Win, 4–3 against Ilves, Oct 20. Odds: TPS 1.98, Ilves 2.77.
- Win, 4–2 at Assat, Oct 17. Odds: Assat 2.40, TPS 2.61.
- Win, 4–2 against Kiekko-Espoo, Oct 16. Odds: TPS 2.19, Kiekko-Espoo 2.91.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 06:12 2 min TPS Turku: Rafkin R. Interference
- 07:25 Goal PPG Kiekko-Espoo: Talvitie A. assists: Lajunen J., Corcoran C. 1-0
- 09:57 2 min Kiekko-Espoo: Vaisanen J. Holding
- 15:03 Goal PS TPS Turku: Ikonen Jo. 1-1
- 15:03 2 min Kiekko-Espoo: Talvitie A. Slashing
2nd period1-0
- 02:43 Goal Kiekko-Espoo: Vaisanen J. assists: Jurmo J., Hamalainen J. 2-1
- 16:35 2 min Kiekko-Espoo: Keskitalo M. Holding the stick
- 19:56 2 min TPS Turku: Ikonen Jo. Hooking
3rd period2-3
- 01:22 Goal PPG Kiekko-Espoo: From M. assists: Sallinen J., Vaisanen J. 3-1
- 03:55 Goal Kiekko-Espoo: From M. assists: Lajunen V., Tuomaala A. 4-1
- 04:34 Goal TPS Turku: Savinainen V. assists: Rafkin R., Fugleberg P. 4-2
- 09:58 Goal TPS Turku: Yliniemi S. assists: Virtanen J., Lehtonen S. 4-3
- 17:56 2 min Kiekko-Espoo: Nakyva K. Interference
- 18:34 Goal PPG TPS Turku: Haudum L. assists: Binner A., Paajanen O. 4-4
- 18:34 2 min Kiekko-Espoo: Lajunen V. Unsportsmanlike conduct
Overtime1-0
- 04:33 Goal Kiekko-Espoo: From M. assists: Tuomaala A., Lajunen V. 5-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Rimpinen P. for Kiekko-Espoo (4-4-2 in the last 10 starts), Makiniemi E. for TPS Turku (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Kiekko-Espoo.
- +1.2 goals at home — Kiekko-Espoo averaged 3.4 at home and 2.3 away this season.
- −1.2 goals away — TPS Turku averaged 3.4 at home and 2.2 away this season.
- 5.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KIE) | 2.20 | 2.20 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.00 | 4.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (TUR) | 2.65 | 2.65 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap KIE | −1.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Liiga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lukko |
19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 1.053 | 53 | 36 | +17 |
| 2 |  Ilves |
20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 37 | .925 | 52 | 39 | +13 |
| 3 |  Jukurit |
20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 36 | .900 | 49 | 40 | +9 |
| 4 |  JYP |
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 35 | 1.029 | 59 | 48 | +11 |
| 5 |  Assat |
20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 34 | .850 | 46 | 48 | −2 |
| 6 |  SaiPa |
18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 34 | .944 | 52 | 38 | +14 |
| 7 |  Karpat |
20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 33 | .825 | 53 | 52 | +1 |
| 8 | TPS Turku |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 31 | .816 | 53 | 48 | +5 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo |
20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .775 | 61 | 49 | +12 |
| 10 |  Tappara |
19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 28 | .737 | 51 | 46 | +5 |
| 11 |  IFK Helsinki |
19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | .711 | 53 | 56 | −3 |
| 12 |  KalPa |
18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 25 | .694 | 46 | 41 | +5 |
| 13 |  Pelicans |
17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 24 | .706 | 40 | 38 | +2 |
| 14 |  Hameenlinna |
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 24 | .600 | 42 | 55 | −13 |
| 15 |  Vaasan Sport |
18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | .528 | 33 | 53 | −20 |
| 16 |  Jokerit |
18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 15 | .417 | 41 | 62 | −21 |
| 17 |  KooKoo |
20 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 10 | .250 | 46 | 81 | −35 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Kiekko-Espoo host TPS Turku in the Liiga on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.