Kiekko-Pojat vs Kettera prediction
Chance to win · 42% and 34% in regulation
Kohonen P.StartedSV 87.9% · GAA 2.80 · 6-3-1
Roos R.StartedSV 91.1% · GAA 2.40 · 3-5-2All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2WonKiekko-Pojatodds up 1.78Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.51Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostKettera +1.5odds down 1.51Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonKiekko-Pojatodds up 1.47Confidence 56%
- Double chanceWonKiekko-Pojat or drawodds up 1.34Confidence 68%
- Draw no betWonKiekko-Pojatodds up 1.58Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.08Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.65Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.27Confidence 77%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Kiekko-Pojat 3–2
Kettera Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min3–13%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–019%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formKiekko-Pojat
Kettera
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Kiekko-Pojat 0–5
Kettera - Sep 25, 2026: Kettera 4, Kiekko-Pojat 2.
- Feb 25, 2026: Kiekko-Pojat 0, Kettera 5.
- Jan 16, 2026: Kettera 3, Kiekko-Pojat 2.
- Jan 2, 2026: Kettera 2, Kiekko-Pojat 1.
- Nov 22, 2025: Kiekko-Pojat 4, Kettera 5, after overtime.
Last five games
Kiekko-Pojat
3-1-1 - Win, 5–2 against RoKi, Oct 10.
- Win, 3–2 against KeuPa, Oct 8.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at RoKi, after a shootout, Oct 3.
- Win, 5–4 at Hermes, after a shootout, Oct 2.
- Loss, 0–1 against K-Vantaa, Sep 26.
Kettera
1-3-1 - Win, 2–0 against Pyry, Oct 10.
- Overtime loss, 0–1 against RoKi, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Kettera 2.14, RoKi 2.75.
- Loss, 1–3 at Pyry, Oct 3.
- Loss, 2–5 against KeuPa, Oct 1.
- Loss, 3–6 at TUTO, Sep 26.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 19:44 Goal Kiekko-Pojat: Karjalainen H. assists: Kokkola T., Taskula J. 1-0
2nd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
3rd period2-1
- 04:35 Goal Kettera: Tiihonen L. assists: Lehtinen J., Suoniemi T. 1-1
- 08:57 Goal Kiekko-Pojat: Janhonen J. assists: Tuhkanen O., Lohisalo J. 2-1
- 18:52 Goal ENG Kiekko-Pojat: Lohisalo J. assists: Janhonen J., Sihvonen R. 3-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Kettera dropped from 2.45 to 2.15 since they were first published.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Kettera.
- In goal: Kohonen P. for Kiekko-Pojat (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Roos R. for Kettera (3-5-2 in the last 10 starts).
- 1-3-1 in the last five for Kettera.
- Save % gap: Kiekko-Pojat 85.2%, Kettera 90.1% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KIE) | 2.13 | 2.13 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.12 | 4.12 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (KET) | 2.75 | 2.75 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap KIE | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Mestis standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  IPK |
14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 1.143 | 47 | 31 | +16 |
| 2 |  TUTO |
14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 1.107 | 53 | 29 | +24 |
| 3 |  K-Vantaa |
14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 26 | .929 | 35 | 33 | +2 |
| 4 | Kiekko-Pojat |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .688 | 49 | 49 | 0 |
| 5 |  RoKi |
15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 21 | .700 | 46 | 42 | +4 |
| 6 |  KeuPa |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 45 | 53 | −8 |
| 7 |  Pyry |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 20 | .625 | 47 | 55 | −8 |
| 8 |  Hermes |
15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .600 | 36 | 48 | −12 |
| 9 | Kettera |
16 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 13 | .406 | 29 | 47 | −18 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- 5th-8th places
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Kiekko-Pojat host Kettera in the Mestis on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.