Kiekko-Pojat vs Pyry prediction
Chance to win · 48% and 30% in regulation
Rossi J.StartedSV 73.8% · GAA 5.50 · 0-2-0
Myllykangas A.StartedSV 83.6% · GAA 4.00 · 0-3-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2WonKiekko-Pojatodds down 1.70Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU7.5odds up 1.34Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostPyry +1.5odds up 1.61Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonKiekko-Pojatodds down 1.42Confidence 61%
- Double chanceWonKiekko-Pojat or drawodds down 1.16Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonKiekko-Pojatodds down 1.22Confidence 63%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.07Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostKiekko-Pojatodds down 1.92Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.70Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Kiekko-Pojat 3–2
Pyry Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min5–13%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–18%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · all three30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (3%), 2-1 (3%), 4-3 (2%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formKiekko-Pojat
Pyry
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Kiekko-Pojat 4–1
Pyry - Sep 18, 2026: Kiekko-Pojat 4, Pyry 2.
- Feb 7, 2026: Pyry 5, Kiekko-Pojat 2.
- Dec 13, 2025: Pyry 4, Kiekko-Pojat 5, after overtime.
- Nov 28, 2025: Kiekko-Pojat 4, Pyry 1.
- Nov 13, 2025: Kiekko-Pojat 4, Pyry 2.
Last five games
Kiekko-Pojat
3-0-2 - Overtime loss, 4–5 against TUTO, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Kiekko-Pojat 2.80, TUTO 2.02.
- Win, 3–1 against Kettera, Oct 16. Odds: Kiekko-Pojat 2.13, Kettera 2.75.
- Win, 5–2 against RoKi, Oct 10.
- Win, 3–2 against KeuPa, Oct 8.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at RoKi, after a shootout, Oct 3.
Pyry
2-3-0 - Win, 4–3 at Hermes, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Hermes 1.73, Pyry 3.51.
- Loss, 2–6 at RoKi, Oct 16. Odds: RoKi 1.65, Pyry 3.99.
- Loss, 0–2 at Kettera, Oct 10.
- Loss, 3–5 against IPK, Oct 7.
- Win, 3–1 against Kettera, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 07:37 Goal Kiekko-Pojat: Kokkola T. assists: Taskula J., Karjalainen H. 1-0
- 15:43 Goal Pyry: Nykanen J. assists: Kaihua T., Virolainen J. 1-1
2nd period2-0
- 03:46 Goal PPG Kiekko-Pojat: Janhonen J. assists: Sihvonen R., Suni O. 2-1
- 13:46 Goal PPG Kiekko-Pojat: Karjalainen H. assists: Liiri N., Kokkola T. 3-1
3rd period2-0
- 00:34 Goal Kiekko-Pojat: Taskula J. assists: Tuhkanen O., Karjalainen H. 4-1
- 15:29 Goal PPG Kiekko-Pojat: Taskula J. 5-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Kiekko-Pojat dropped from 1.42 to 1.24 since they were first published.
- 1-5-1 away for Pyry this season.
- In goal: Rossi J. for Kiekko-Pojat, Myllykangas A. for Pyry (0-3-0 in the last 3 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.7 per game — Kiekko-Pojat +0.2, Pyry −1.5 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Kiekko-Pojat.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KIE) | 1.70 | 1.45 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.80 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (PYR) | 3.50 | 4.90 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6 | Line lowered |
| Handicap KIE | −0.5 | −1.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Mestis standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  IPK |
14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 1.143 | 47 | 31 | +16 |
| 2 |  TUTO |
14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 1.107 | 53 | 29 | +24 |
| 3 |  K-Vantaa |
14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 26 | .929 | 35 | 33 | +2 |
| 4 | Kiekko-Pojat |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .688 | 49 | 49 | 0 |
| 5 |  RoKi |
15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 21 | .700 | 46 | 42 | +4 |
| 6 |  KeuPa |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 45 | 53 | −8 |
| 7 | Pyry |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 20 | .625 | 47 | 55 | −8 |
| 8 |  Hermes |
15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .600 | 36 | 48 | −12 |
| 9 |  Kettera |
16 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 13 | .406 | 29 | 47 | −18 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- 5th-8th places
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Kiekko-Pojat host Pyry in the Mestis on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.