Kiekko-Pojat vs TUTO prediction
Chance to win · 30% and 47% in regulation
Kohonen P.StartedSV 87.7% · GAA 2.80 · 6-3-1
Helomaa J.StartedSV 88.1% · GAA 2.80 · 6-4-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2LostTUTOodds down 2.36Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU7.5odds down 1.26Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonTUTO +1.5odds down 1.30Confidence 73%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonTUTOodds down 1.86Confidence 62%
- Double chanceWonTUTO or drawodds down 1.49Confidence 71%
- Draw no betPushTUTOodds down 1.87Confidence 63%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.06Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostTUTOodds down 2.70Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.73Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Kiekko-Pojat 1–4
TUTO Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min4–45%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–18%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (5%), 2-4 (4%), 1-3 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formKiekko-Pojat
TUTO
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Kiekko-Pojat 3–2
TUTO - Feb 14, 2026: Kiekko-Pojat 1, TUTO 3.
- Feb 6, 2026: TUTO 2, Kiekko-Pojat 0.
- Jan 17, 2026: Kiekko-Pojat 4, TUTO 3, after a shootout.
- Dec 12, 2025: TUTO 2, Kiekko-Pojat 3, after a shootout.
- Nov 15, 2025: Kiekko-Pojat 4, TUTO 2.
Last five games
Kiekko-Pojat
4-0-1 - Win, 3–1 against Kettera, Oct 16. Odds: Kiekko-Pojat 2.13, Kettera 2.75.
- Win, 5–2 against RoKi, Oct 10.
- Win, 3–2 against KeuPa, Oct 8.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at RoKi, after a shootout, Oct 3.
- Win, 5–4 at Hermes, after a shootout, Oct 2.
TUTO
5-0-0 - Win, 4–0 at IPK, Oct 16. Odds: IPK 2.15, TUTO 2.72.
- Win, 3–2 against Hermes, after a shootout, Oct 10.
- Win, 6–2 against Pyry, Oct 2.
- Win, 6–3 against Kettera, Sep 26.
- Win, 3–2 against KeuPa, after overtime, Sep 25.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 01:27 Goal TUTO: Turunen R. assists: Happonen E., Juhola J. 0-1
- 04:07 Goal PPG Kiekko-Pojat: Hult O. assists: Suni O., Sihvonen R. 1-1
2nd period2-1
- 04:03 Goal PPG Kiekko-Pojat: Lohisalo J. assists: Karjalainen H., Liiri N. 2-1
- 05:04 Goal Kiekko-Pojat: Haikonen A. assists: Kuikka J., Suvanto N. 3-1
- 19:40 Goal TUTO: Rannikko O. assists: Turunen R., Valila E. 3-2
3rd period1-2
- 03:33 Goal TUTO: Markkula S. assists: Valila E. 3-3
- 12:27 Goal PPG Kiekko-Pojat: Janhonen J. assists: Tuhkanen O. 4-3
- 16:27 Goal PPG TUTO: Valila E. assists: Markkula S., Turppa T. 4-4
Overtime0-1
- 01:26 Goal TUTO: Rikkila H. assists: Nordgren N., Turunen R. 4-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Kiekko-Pojat and TUTO played yesterday.
- 6-game winning streak for TUTO coming into this game.
- 3-game winning streak for Kiekko-Pojat coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on TUTO dropped from 1.90 to 1.68 since they were first published.
- In goal: Kohonen P. for Kiekko-Pojat (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Helomaa J. for TUTO (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts).
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KIE) | 2.27 | 2.80 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.40 | 4.40 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (TUT) | 2.43 | 2.02 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 5.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap KIE | −0.5 | +0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Mestis standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  IPK |
14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 1.143 | 47 | 31 | +16 |
| 2 | TUTO |
14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 1.107 | 53 | 29 | +24 |
| 3 |  K-Vantaa |
14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 26 | .929 | 35 | 33 | +2 |
| 4 | Kiekko-Pojat |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .688 | 49 | 49 | 0 |
| 5 |  RoKi |
15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 21 | .700 | 46 | 42 | +4 |
| 6 |  KeuPa |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 45 | 53 | −8 |
| 7 |  Pyry |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 20 | .625 | 47 | 55 | −8 |
| 8 |  Hermes |
15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .600 | 36 | 48 | −12 |
| 9 |  Kettera |
16 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 13 | .406 | 29 | 47 | −18 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- 5th-8th places
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Kiekko-Pojat host TUTO in the Mestis on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.