Kingston Frontenacs vs Windsor Spitfires prediction
Chance to win · 39% and 39% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2WonWindsorodds down 2.65Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderPushU71.50Confidence 69%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonWindsor +1.5odds down 1.47Confidence 68%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonWindsorodds down 2.05Confidence 51%
- Double chanceWonWindsor or drawodds down 1.63Confidence 66%
- Draw no betWonWindsorodds down 2.08Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.04Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostWindsorodds down 2.80Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.64Confidence 58%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–5After 60 min3–44%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-5
- By period 0-2, 1-2, 1-1
- Likeliest 2-5 (4%), 1-4 (3%), 2-4 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Dec 12, 2025: Kingston Frontenacs 4, Windsor Spitfires 3.
- Nov 6, 2025: Windsor Spitfires 3, Kingston Frontenacs 0.
- Mar 6, 2025: Windsor Spitfires 7, Kingston Frontenacs 1.
- Feb 28, 2025: Kingston Frontenacs 4, Windsor Spitfires 2.
Last five games
- Win, 5–2 against Oshawa Generals, Nov 6. Odds: Kingston 1.93, Oshawa 3.10.
- Win, 3–1 at Ottawa 67s, Nov 4. Odds: Ottawa 2.10, Kingston 2.70.
- Win, 5–0 against Brantford Bulldogs, Nov 1. Odds: Kingston 1.87, Brantford 3.30.
- Win, 4–1 against Peterborough Petes, Oct 30. Odds: Kingston 2.25, Peterborough 2.50.
- Win, 6–1 at Ottawa 67s, Oct 25. Odds: Ottawa 1.83, Kingston 3.50.
- Win, 5–4 at Ottawa 67s, Nov 6. Odds: Ottawa 2.10, Windsor 2.82.
- Win, 4–3 at Peterborough Petes, Nov 5. Odds: Peterborough 2.13, Windsor 2.60.
- Win, 3–0 at Brampton Steelheads, Nov 1. Odds: Brampton 4.33, Windsor 1.57.
- Win, 8–0 at Owen Sound Attack, Oct 31. Odds: Owen Sound 3.00, Windsor 2.00.
- Win, 3–0 against Erie Otters, Oct 29. Odds: Windsor 1.95, Erie 3.00.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period1-2
- 03:38 Goal Windsor Spitfires: Whelan L. assists: Costello S. 0-1
- 08:18 Goal PPG Windsor Spitfires: Harvey C. assists: Robinson A., McLaughlin J. 0-2
- 15:02 Goal Kingston Frontenacs: Kuzma R. assists: Pobezal T., Williamson V. 1-2
3rd period2-2
- 09:27 Goal Windsor Spitfires: Svrcek M. 1-3
- 12:22 Goal SHG Windsor Spitfires: Makysh B. assists: Svrcek M. 1-4
- 15:34 Goal PPG Kingston Frontenacs: Goljer A. assists: Mclean A., Pobezal T. 2-4
- 19:14 Goal Kingston Frontenacs: Misiak A. assists: Snyder N., Mclean A. 3-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 6-game winning streak for Kingston Frontenacs coming into this game.
- 6-game winning streak for Windsor Spitfires coming into this game.
- 7-2-0 at home for Kingston Frontenacs this season.
- Head-to-head level at 2-2 after the last 4 meetings.
- 6.0 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KIN) | 2.11 | 2.10 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 3.95 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (WIN) | 2.60 | 2.77 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap KIN | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
OHL standings
Regular Season · East Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 27 | .711 | 75 | 50 | +25 | |
| 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 26 | .684 | 82 | 65 | +17 | |
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 20 | .588 | 59 | 56 | +3 | |
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 18 | .474 | 59 | 66 | −7 | |
| 5 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 17 | .447 | 56 | 66 | −10 |
Regular Season · West Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .619 | 70 | 69 | +1 | |
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 25 | .658 | 72 | 58 | +14 | |
| 3 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 23 | .676 | 64 | 50 | +14 | |
| 4 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 70 | 68 | +2 | |
| 5 | 20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .425 | 76 | 84 | −8 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Kingston Frontenacs host Windsor Spitfires in the OHL on Sunday, November 8, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.