Kitchener Rangers vs Flint Firebirds prediction
Chance to win · 35% and 43% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostFlintodds down 2.65Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds up 1.61Confidence 64%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostFlint +1.51.40Confidence 70%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostFlintodds down 2.02Confidence 52%
- Double chanceLostFlint or draw1.57Confidence 67%
- Draw no betLostFlintodds down 2.05Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesConfidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostFlintodds down 2.90Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.71Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 6% since they opened; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 4% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Kitchener 1–4
Flint Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min3–04%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · all three29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 1-2, 0-0
- Likeliest 1-4 (4%), 2-4 (3%), 2-3 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonKitchener Rangers
Flint Firebirds
Head-to-head
Kitchener 2–3
Flint - Oct 7, 2026: Flint Firebirds 5, Kitchener Rangers 2.
- Mar 17, 2026: Kitchener Rangers 6, Flint Firebirds 2.
- Dec 12, 2025: Flint Firebirds 4, Kitchener Rangers 1.
- Oct 24, 2025: Kitchener Rangers 4, Flint Firebirds 1.
- Oct 8, 2025: Flint Firebirds 3, Kitchener Rangers 0.
Last five games
Kitchener
3-0-2 - Overtime loss, 5–6 at Guelph Storm, after overtime, Oct 25. Odds: Guelph 1.77, Kitchener 3.60.
- Win, 6–3 against Guelph Storm, Oct 23. Odds: Kitchener 3.70, Guelph 1.72.
- Win, 2–1 at Oshawa Generals, Oct 18. Odds: Oshawa 3.55, Kitchener 1.78.
- Win, 5–2 against Niagara IceDogs, Oct 16. Odds: Kitchener 1.69, Niagara 3.65.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against London Knights, after a shootout, Oct 13. Odds: Kitchener 2.73, London 2.11.
Flint
4-0-1 - Win, 1–0 against Soo Greyhounds, Oct 25. Odds: Flint 2.30, Sault Ste Marie 2.50.
- Win, 6–2 against Saginaw Spirit, Oct 24. Odds: Flint 2.00, Saginaw 2.88.
- Win, 4–3 at Saginaw Spirit, after a shootout, Oct 23. Odds: Saginaw 2.07, Flint 2.75.
- Win, 3–2 against Owen Sound Attack, Oct 17. Odds: Flint 1.32, Owen Sound 6.50.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Guelph Storm, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Guelph 1.40, Flint 5.50.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 05:24 Goal Kitchener Rangers: Arquette C. assists: Cameron W., Forrest A. 1-0
2nd period1-0
- 14:32 Goal Kitchener Rangers: Bilecki A. assists: Santala L. 2-0
3rd period1-0
- 19:25 Goal ENG Kitchener Rangers: Arquette C. assists: Ellis H., Schneider K. 3-0
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Flint Firebirds coming into this game.
- 4-0-1 away for Flint Firebirds this season.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Flint Firebirds.
- +1.2 goals at home — Kitchener Rangers averaged 3.9 at home and 2.6 away this season.
- 5.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KIT) | 2.10 | 2.30 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.00 | 4.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (FLI) | 2.80 | 2.50 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap KIT | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
OHL standings
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guelph Storm |
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 30 | .833 | 81 | 53 | +28 |
| 2 |  Soo Greyhounds |
21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .619 | 70 | 69 | +1 |
| 3 |  Windsor Spitfires |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 25 | .658 | 72 | 58 | +14 |
| 4 |  London Knights |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 71 | 59 | +12 |
| 5 | Flint Firebirds |
17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 23 | .676 | 64 | 50 | +14 |
| 6 | Kitchener Rangers |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 23 | .605 | 61 | 56 | +5 |
| 7 |  Erie Otters |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 65 | −5 |
| 8 |  Saginaw Spirit |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 70 | 68 | +2 |
| 9 |  Sarnia Sting |
20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .425 | 76 | 84 | −8 |
| 10 |  Owen Sound Attack |
19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 15 | .395 | 49 | 78 | −29 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Kitchener Rangers host Flint Firebirds in the OHL on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.