Kitchener Rangers vs Guelph Storm prediction
Chance to win · 37% and 41% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostGuelphodds down 1.77Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU7.51.35Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonKitchener +1.5odds up 1.60Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostGuelphodds down 1.46Confidence 53%
- Double chanceLostGuelph or drawodds down 1.26Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostGuelphodds down 1.43Confidence 54%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.05Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostGuelphodds down 2.21Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.67Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Kitchener 2–3
Guelph Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min6–33%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period2–18%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 2-1, 0-0
- Likeliest 2-3 (3%), 3-4 (2%), 1-2 (2%)
Season so far
This seasonKitchener Rangers
Guelph Storm
Head-to-head
Kitchener 2–3
Guelph - Nov 3, 2026: Kitchener Rangers 2, Guelph Storm 3.
- Oct 25, 2026: Guelph Storm 6, Kitchener Rangers 5, after overtime.
- Oct 4, 2026: Guelph Storm 6, Kitchener Rangers 0.
- Mar 15, 2026: Guelph Storm 1, Kitchener Rangers 4.
- Feb 25, 2026: Guelph Storm 4, Kitchener Rangers 5.
Last five games
Kitchener
2-1-2 - Win, 2–1 at Oshawa Generals, Oct 18. Odds: Oshawa 3.55, Kitchener 1.78.
- Win, 5–2 against Niagara IceDogs, Oct 16. Odds: Kitchener 1.69, Niagara 3.65.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against London Knights, after a shootout, Oct 13. Odds: Kitchener 2.73, London 2.11.
- Loss, 2–4 at Saginaw Spirit, Oct 10.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Soo Greyhounds, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Sault Ste Marie 2.27, Kitchener 2.37.
Guelph
5-0-0 - Win, 5–2 against Sudbury Wolves, Oct 18. Odds: Guelph 1.72, Sudbury 3.65.
- Win, 3–2 against Flint Firebirds, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Guelph 1.40, Flint 5.50.
- Win, 5–2 at Sarnia Sting, Oct 14. Odds: Sarnia 4.95, Guelph 1.46.
- Win, 10–5 at Owen Sound Attack, Oct 10.
- Win, 3–2 against Owen Sound Attack, Oct 9.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-1
- 00:26 Goal Guelph Storm: Hopkins T. assists: Griffin O., Spada G. 0-1
- 18:35 Goal Kitchener Rangers: Arquette C. assists: Bilecki A., Ellis H. 1-1
- 19:58 Goal Kitchener Rangers: Romano L. assists: Lam T., Forrest A. 2-1
2nd period3-1
- 03:50 Goal Guelph Storm: Avery J. assists: Dravecky V., Bartovic A. 2-2
- 07:24 Goal Kitchener Rangers: Santala L. assists: Lam T., Romano L. 3-2
- 16:22 Goal PPG Kitchener Rangers: Ellis H. assists: Forrest A., Puglisi C. 4-2
- 18:41 Goal Kitchener Rangers: Romano L. 5-2
3rd period1-1
- 09:15 Goal SHG Guelph Storm: Roobroeck R. assists: Frossard E., Dravecky V. 5-3
- 19:47 Goal ENG Kitchener Rangers: Arquette C. assists: Santala L., Schneider K. 6-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 9-game winning streak for Guelph Storm coming into this game.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Guelph Storm.
- +1.2 goals at home — Kitchener Rangers averaged 3.5 at home and 2.3 away this season.
- 7.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
- 3rd vs 1st in the OHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KIT) | 3.30 | 3.70 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.33 | 4.25 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (GUE) | 1.87 | 1.72 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6 | No change |
| Handicap KIT | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
OHL standings
Regular Season · Midwest Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guelph Storm |
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 30 | .833 | 81 | 53 | +28 |
| 2 |  London Knights |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 71 | 59 | +12 |
| 3 | Kitchener Rangers |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 23 | .605 | 61 | 56 | +5 |
| 4 |  Erie Otters |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 65 | −5 |
| 5 |  Owen Sound Attack |
19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 15 | .395 | 49 | 78 | −29 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Kitchener Rangers host Guelph Storm in the OHL on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.