Kitchener Rangers vs Guelph Storm prediction
Chance to win · 42% and 36% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostKitchenerodds up 2.80Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU7.5odds up 1.39Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonKitchener +1.51.53Confidence 69%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostKitchenerodds up 2.15Confidence 54%
- Double chanceLostKitchener or drawodds up 1.68Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostKitchener2.37Confidence 54%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostKitchener3.15Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.63Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost5–2After 60 min2–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–27%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 5-2
- By period 2-0, 2-1, 1-1
- Likeliest 5-2 (4%), 4-1 (3%), 4-2 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Oct 25, 2026: Guelph Storm 6, Kitchener Rangers 5, after overtime.
- Oct 23, 2026: Kitchener Rangers 6, Guelph Storm 3.
- Oct 4, 2026: Guelph Storm 6, Kitchener Rangers 0.
- Mar 15, 2026: Guelph Storm 1, Kitchener Rangers 4.
- Feb 25, 2026: Guelph Storm 4, Kitchener Rangers 5.
Last five games
- Win, 3–0 against Flint Firebirds, Oct 30. Odds: Kitchener 2.30, Flint 2.50.
- Overtime loss, 5–6 at Guelph Storm, after overtime, Oct 25. Odds: Guelph 1.77, Kitchener 3.60.
- Win, 6–3 against Guelph Storm, Oct 23. Odds: Kitchener 3.70, Guelph 1.72.
- Win, 2–1 at Oshawa Generals, Oct 18. Odds: Oshawa 3.55, Kitchener 1.78.
- Win, 5–2 against Niagara IceDogs, Oct 16. Odds: Kitchener 1.69, Niagara 3.65.
- Win, 5–3 at Saginaw Spirit, Oct 31. Odds: Saginaw 4.60, Guelph 1.53.
- Win, 4–3 at Soo Greyhounds, Oct 30. Odds: Sault Ste Marie 2.80, Guelph 2.05.
- Win, 6–5 against Kitchener Rangers, after overtime, Oct 25. Odds: Guelph 1.77, Kitchener 3.60.
- Loss, 3–6 at Kitchener Rangers, Oct 23. Odds: Kitchener 3.70, Guelph 1.72.
- Win, 5–2 against Sudbury Wolves, Oct 18. Odds: Guelph 1.72, Sudbury 3.65.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-2
- 09:07 Goal Kitchener Rangers: Ellis H. assists: Cameron W. 1-0
- 10:55 Goal Guelph Storm: Kazda T. assists: Griffin O., Topp R. 1-1
- 18:05 Goal Guelph Storm: Czata E. assists: Shybinskyi I. 1-2
2nd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
3rd period1-1
- 07:29 Goal PPG Kitchener Rangers: Arquette C. assists: Lam T., Romano L. 2-2
- 08:18 Goal Guelph Storm: Dravecky V. assists: Jenken N., Roobroeck R. 2-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Guelph Storm coming into this game.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Kitchener Rangers.
- +1.1 goals at home — Kitchener Rangers averaged 3.8 at home and 2.6 away this season.
- 4-0-1 in the last five for Kitchener Rangers.
- 8.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KIT) | 3.15 | 3.15 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.00 | 4.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (GUE) | 1.93 | 1.93 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap KIT | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
OHL standings
Regular Season · Midwest Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 30 | .833 | 81 | 53 | +28 | |
| 2 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 71 | 59 | +12 | |
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 23 | .605 | 61 | 56 | +5 | |
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 65 | −5 | |
| 5 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 15 | .395 | 49 | 78 | −29 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Kitchener Rangers host Guelph Storm in the OHL on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.