Kitzbuhel vs Cortina prediction
Chance to win · 68% and 16% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Full game
- 1X2WonKitzbuhelodds down 1.77Confidence 70%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.30Confidence 72%
- HandicapWonKitzbuhel -1.5odds down 2.17Confidence 63%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonKitzbuhelodds down 1.47Confidence 79%
- Banker of the day: Double chanceWonKitzbuhel or drawodds down 1.26Confidence 95%
- Draw no betWonKitzbuhelodds down 1.44Confidence 81%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.07Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonKitzbuhelodds down 2.07Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.75Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min5–16%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–010%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (6%), 5-2 (6%), 4-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Feb 26, 2026: Cortina 2, Kitzbuhel 1.
- Feb 21, 2026: Kitzbuhel 6, Cortina 3.
- Jan 17, 2026: Kitzbuhel 5, Cortina 1.
- Oct 18, 2025: Kitzbuhel 3, Cortina 2.
- Sep 27, 2025: Cortina 3, Kitzbuhel 2, after a shootout.
Last five games
- Win, 5–4 at Unterland, after overtime, Oct 29. Odds: Unterland 2.85, Kitzbuhel 1.93.
- Loss, 2–4 at Asiago, Oct 25. Odds: Asiago 1.70, Kitzbuhel 3.40.
- Loss, 3–4 at Asiago, Oct 24. Odds: Asiago 2.09, Kitzbuhel 2.50.
- Win, 6–3 against Merano, Oct 17. Odds: Kitzbuhel 1.75, Merano 2.95.
- Loss, 1–3 at Acroni Jesenice, Oct 15. Odds: Jesenice 1.71, Kitzbuhel 3.31.
- Loss, 1–4 against Acroni Jesenice, Oct 29. Odds: Cortina 3.30, Jesenice 1.80.
- Win, 3–1 against Gherdeina, Oct 24. Odds: Cortina 2.85, Gherdeina 1.95.
- Win, 2–1 at Vipiteno, after overtime, Oct 22. Odds: Vipiteno 1.91, Cortina 2.95.
- Loss, 3–6 against KHL Sisak, Oct 17. Odds: Cortina 3.88, Sisak 1.61.
- Loss, 2–6 at Asiago, Oct 15. Odds: Asiago 1.45, Cortina 4.05.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 08:05 Goal Kitzbuhel: Waschnig L. assists: Gronhagen J., Holler A. 1-0
2nd period2-0
- 00:54 Goal Kitzbuhel: Lattner J. assists: Holler A., Braun L. 2-0
- 03:43 Goal Kitzbuhel: Podlipnik M. assists: Holler A., Stahlberg E. 3-0
3rd period2-1
- 00:46 Goal Cortina: Reini R. assists: Alvera T. 3-1
- 15:39 Goal Kitzbuhel: Gronhagen J. assists: Stahlberg E. 4-1
- 17:01 Goal Kitzbuhel: Podlipnik M. assists: Ebner M., Wittwer E. 5-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Kitzbuhel dropped from 1.48 to 1.31 since they were first published.
- In goal: Grascher P. for Kitzbuhel (1-5-2 in the last 8 starts), Pompanin A. for Cortina.
- 4-1-0 at home for Kitzbuhel this season.
- The total moved up from 5.5 to 6.5 since it was first published.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Kitzbuhel.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KIT) | 1.55 | 1.55 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.55 | 4.60 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (COR) | 4.10 | 4.20 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6.5 | Line raised |
| Handicap KIT | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Alps Hockey League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 36 | 1.125 | 59 | 30 | +29 | |
| 2 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 1.063 | 72 | 55 | +17 | |
| 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 30 | 1.154 | 48 | 32 | +16 | |
| 4 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1.036 | 51 | 34 | +17 | |
| 5 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 24 | .800 | 60 | 50 | +10 | |
| 6 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 19 | .731 | 30 | 37 | −7 | |
| 7 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 18 | .600 | 34 | 54 | −20 | |
| 8 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17 | .654 | 44 | 36 | +8 | |
| 9 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 40 | 50 | −10 | |
| 10 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15 | .536 | 42 | 51 | −9 | |
| 11 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 14 | .583 | 42 | 47 | −5 | |
| 12 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 10 | .385 | 34 | 57 | −23 | |
| 13 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .308 | 24 | 47 | −23 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Kitzbuhel host Cortina in the Alps Hockey League on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.