Kitzbuhel vs Merano prediction
Chance to win · 61% and 21% in regulation
Gratzer M.Started6-3-1
Couture T.Started6-2-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Full game
- 1X2WonKitzbuhelodds up 1.71Confidence 63%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.36Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostMerano +1.5odds down 1.60Confidence 53%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonKitzbuhelodds up 1.42Confidence 72%
- Double chanceWonKitzbuhel or drawodds up 1.24Confidence 80%
- Best tip of the game: Draw no betWonKitzbuhelodds up 1.37Confidence 76%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.08Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostKitzbuhelodds up 2.19Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.78Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Kitzbuhel 3–2
Merano Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min6–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–310%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 4 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonKitzbuhel
Merano
Head-to-head
Kitzbuhel 3–2
Merano - Nov 7, 2026: Merano 4, Kitzbuhel 0.
- Feb 19, 2026: Merano 4, Kitzbuhel 1.
- Feb 5, 2026: Kitzbuhel 3, Merano 2, after a shootout.
- Jan 6, 2026: Kitzbuhel 5, Merano 4, after a shootout.
- Dec 4, 2025: Merano 4, Kitzbuhel 5.
Last five games
Kitzbuhel
3-2-0 - Loss, 1–3 at Acroni Jesenice, Oct 15. Odds: Jesenice 1.71, Kitzbuhel 3.31.
- Win, 8–2 at Salzburg 2, Oct 10. Odds: Salzburg II 1.80, Kitzbuhel 3.20.
- Win, 3–2 against KHL Sisak, Oct 8.
- Loss, 1–6 at Eisbaren, Oct 3.
- Win, 8–3 against Vipiteno, Oct 1.
Merano
4-1-0 - Win, 2–1 against KHL Sisak, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Merano 2.74, Sisak 2.01.
- Loss, 1–4 against Ritten, Oct 10. Odds: Merano 3.20, Ritten 1.82.
- Win, 2–1 at Unterland, Oct 8.
- Win, 3–1 at Cortina, Oct 3.
- Win, 2–1 at Salzburg 2, after a shootout, Oct 1.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-3
- 04:46 Goal Merano: Tirone M. 0-1
- 11:08 Goal Merano: Levin M. assists: Sherbinin B. 0-2
- 14:49 Goal Merano: Utnans K. assists: Pardatscher M., Fuchs J. 0-3
- 18:57 Goal Kitzbuhel: Sloboda M. assists: Posch B., Livsics D. 1-3
2nd period2-0
- 05:57 Goal SHG Kitzbuhel: Wittwer E. 2-3
- 17:47 Goal PPG Kitzbuhel: Podlipnik M. assists: Livsics D., Lattner J. 3-3
3rd period3-0
- 05:07 Goal Kitzbuhel: Sloboda M. assists: Livsics D., Ebner M. 4-3
- 14:11 Goal Kitzbuhel: Holler A. assists: Braun L., Posch B. 5-3
- 16:18 Goal Kitzbuhel: Wittwer E. assists: Livsics D., Sloboda M. 6-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Merano, who played yesterday.
- In goal: Gratzer M. for Kitzbuhel (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Couture T. for Merano (6-2-0 in the last 8 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Kitzbuhel.
- +1.8 goals at home — Kitzbuhel averaged 5.0 at home and 3.3 away this season.
- −1.0 goals away — Merano averaged 3.0 at home and 2.0 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KIT) | 1.75 | 1.75 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.85 | 3.85 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (MER) | 2.95 | 2.95 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap KIT | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Alps Hockey League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Acroni Jesenice |
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 36 | 1.125 | 59 | 30 | +29 |
| 2 |  Asiago |
16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 1.063 | 72 | 55 | +17 |
| 3 |  Eisbaren |
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 30 | 1.154 | 48 | 32 | +16 |
| 4 |  Ritten |
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1.036 | 51 | 34 | +17 |
| 5 | Kitzbuhel |
15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 24 | .800 | 60 | 50 | +10 |
| 6 | Merano |
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 19 | .731 | 30 | 37 | −7 |
| 7 |  Salzburg 2 |
15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 18 | .600 | 34 | 54 | −20 |
| 8 |  KHL Sisak |
13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17 | .654 | 44 | 36 | +8 |
| 9 |  Gherdeina |
13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 40 | 50 | −10 |
| 10 |  Unterland |
14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15 | .536 | 42 | 51 | −9 |
| 11 |  Vipiteno |
12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 14 | .583 | 42 | 47 | −5 |
| 12 |  Klagenfurt II |
13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 10 | .385 | 34 | 57 | −23 |
| 13 |  Cortina |
13 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .308 | 24 | 47 | −23 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Kitzbuhel host Merano in the Alps Hockey League on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.