Kitzbuhel vs Ritten prediction
Chance to win · 42% and 37% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2WonKitzbuhelodds down 2.55Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.51.38Confidence 69%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonKitzbuhel +1.51.38Confidence 70%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonKitzbuhelodds down 2.00Confidence 53%
- Double chanceWonKitzbuhel or drawodds down 1.59Confidence 66%
- Draw no betWonKitzbuhelodds down 2.02Confidence 54%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.09Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostKitzbuhelodds down 2.60Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.83Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 5% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min6–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–17%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 5 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (4%), 3-2 (4%), 5-2 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Sep 19, 2026: Kitzbuhel 2, Ritten 5.
- Dec 28, 2025: Ritten 4, Kitzbuhel 2.
- Oct 30, 2025: Ritten 0, Kitzbuhel 3.
- Oct 4, 2025: Kitzbuhel 5, Ritten 2.
- Feb 22, 2025: Kitzbuhel 3, Ritten 2, after overtime.
Last five games
- Win, 5–1 against Cortina, Oct 31. Odds: Kitzbuhel 1.55, Cortina 4.20.
- Win, 5–4 at Unterland, after overtime, Oct 29. Odds: Unterland 2.85, Kitzbuhel 1.93.
- Loss, 2–4 at Asiago, Oct 25. Odds: Asiago 1.70, Kitzbuhel 3.40.
- Loss, 3–4 at Asiago, Oct 24. Odds: Asiago 2.09, Kitzbuhel 2.50.
- Win, 6–3 against Merano, Oct 17. Odds: Kitzbuhel 1.75, Merano 2.95.
- Loss, 3–4 against Klagenfurt II, Oct 31. Odds: Ritten 1.09, Klagenfurt II 18.00.
- Loss, 1–5 against Asiago, Oct 29. Odds: Ritten 1.83, Asiago 3.15.
- Win, 3–1 at Acroni Jesenice, Oct 24. Odds: Jesenice 2.40, Ritten 2.20.
- Win, 3–2 at KHL Sisak, Oct 23. Odds: Sisak 2.20, Ritten 2.45.
- Win, 4–3 against Asiago, after a shootout, Oct 18. Odds: Ritten 1.75, Asiago 2.90.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 08:14 Goal Ritten: Blake C. assists: Miceli A. 0-1
2nd period2-1
- 06:13 Goal Kitzbuhel: Holler A. assists: Gronhagen J., Lattner J. 1-1
- 12:41 Goal Ritten: Kostner S. assists: Miceli A., Spornberger L. 1-2
- 13:19 Goal Kitzbuhel: Aigner R. assists: Wittwer E., Pecnik J. 2-2
3rd period4-1
- 00:34 Goal Kitzbuhel: Podlipnik M. assists: Stahlberg E., Holler A. 3-2
- 02:19 Goal Kitzbuhel: Gronhagen J. assists: Holler A., Kirchebner M. 4-2
- 04:27 Goal Kitzbuhel: Holler A. assists: Stahlberg E., Kirchebner M. 5-2
- 04:54 Goal Ritten: Graf T. assists: Innerhofer P., Blake C. 5-3
- 15:59 Goal ENG Kitzbuhel: Holler A. assists: Gronhagen J. 6-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Kitzbuhel dropped from 2.40 to 1.76 since they were first published.
- 6-1-0 away for Ritten this season.
- 5-1-0 at home for Kitzbuhel this season.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Kitzbuhel.
- 5.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KIT) | 2.55 | 2.35 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.15 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (RIT) | 2.15 | 2.30 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap KIT | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Alps Hockey League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 36 | 1.125 | 59 | 30 | +29 | |
| 2 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 1.063 | 72 | 55 | +17 | |
| 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 30 | 1.154 | 48 | 32 | +16 | |
| 4 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1.036 | 51 | 34 | +17 | |
| 5 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 24 | .800 | 60 | 50 | +10 | |
| 6 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 19 | .731 | 30 | 37 | −7 | |
| 7 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 18 | .600 | 34 | 54 | −20 | |
| 8 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17 | .654 | 44 | 36 | +8 | |
| 9 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 40 | 50 | −10 | |
| 10 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15 | .536 | 42 | 51 | −9 | |
| 11 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 14 | .583 | 42 | 47 | −5 | |
| 12 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 10 | .385 | 34 | 57 | −23 | |
| 13 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .308 | 24 | 47 | −23 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Kitzbuhel host Ritten in the Alps Hockey League on Thursday, November 5, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.