Kokshetau vs Karaganda prediction
Chance to win · 30% and 49% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2WonKaraganda2.33Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU7.51.46Confidence 74%
- HandicapLostKokshetau +1.5Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonKaragandaodds up 1.84Confidence 62%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonKaraganda or draw1.48Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonKaraganda1.85Confidence 64%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.03Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonKaraganda2.60Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 76%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min1–44%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–11st period0–116%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-1, 1-2, 1-0
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 1-2 (3%), 3-4 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Oct 15, 2026: Kokshetau 4, Karaganda 3, after a shootout.
- Sep 23, 2026: Karaganda 5, Kokshetau 2.
- Feb 3, 2026: Karaganda 5, Kokshetau 2.
- Feb 2, 2026: Karaganda 5, Kokshetau 4.
- Oct 25, 2025: Karaganda 5, Kokshetau 2.
Last five games
- Loss, 2–4 against Nomad Astana, Oct 11.
- Win, 3–2 against Nomad Astana, after overtime, Oct 10. Odds: Kokshetau 2.20, Nomad Astana 2.20.
- Win, 4–3 at Kulager, Oct 7.
- Win, 4–3 at Kulager, Oct 6.
- Win, 3–2 against Almaty, Oct 3.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Kulager, after a shootout, Oct 11.
- Win, 3–1 at Kulager, Oct 10. Odds: Kulager 2.25, Karaganda 2.25.
- Win, 4–1 at Gornyak Rudny, Oct 7.
- Loss, 3–5 at Gornyak Rudny, Oct 6.
- Win, 9–0 against Pavlodar, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 09:11 Goal Karaganda: Bozhko V. assists: Namestnikov Y., Polokhov K. 0-1
2nd period0-2
- 04:30 Goal Karaganda: Nikulin V. assists: Siksna E., Borisevich A. 0-2
- 19:06 Goal Karaganda: Dyomin R. assists: Namestnikov Y., Smolyaninov Y. 0-3
3rd period1-1
- 07:18 Goal PPG Karaganda: Nikulin V. assists: Smolyaninov Y., Mikhaylov E. 0-4
- 19:36 Goal PPG Kokshetau: Ishchenko I. assists: Korotin V., Sannikov S. 1-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Karaganda.
- −2.9 goals away — Karaganda averaged 5.7 at home and 2.8 away this season.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Kokshetau.
- 7.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
- 3rd vs 4th in the Championship standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KOK) | 2.35 | 2.35 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.21 | 4.23 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (KAR) | 2.31 | 2.30 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap KOK | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Championship standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 44 | .846 | 138 | 46 | +92 | |
| 2 | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 42 | .840 | 102 | 61 | +41 | |
| 3 | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 41 | .788 | 97 | 58 | +39 | |
| 4 | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 38 | .731 | 108 | 60 | +48 | |
| 5 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 31 | .646 | 87 | 62 | +25 | |
| 6 | 26 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 29 | .558 | 90 | 68 | +22 | |
| 7 | 26 | 11 | 14 | 1 | 23 | .442 | 66 | 92 | −26 | |
| 8 | 26 | 6 | 19 | 1 | 13 | .250 | 69 | 117 | −48 | |
| 9 | 25 | 5 | 18 | 2 | 12 | .240 | 48 | 85 | −37 | |
| 10 | 24 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 1 | .021 | 31 | 187 | −156 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Kokshetau host Karaganda in the Championship on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.