Kokshetau vs Pavlodar prediction
Chance to win · 98% and 0% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 79%Full game
- 1X2WonKokshetauConfidence 86%
- Over/UnderWonU9.5odds down 1.73Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonPavlodar +7.51.70Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonKokshetauConfidence 87%
- Double chanceWonKokshetau or drawConfidence 89%
- Draw no betWonKokshetauConfidence 89%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 81%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostKokshetauConfidence 65%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5Confidence 73%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Kokshetau 7–1
Pavlodar Score details
- Correct scoreLost7–1After 60 min5–15%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–019%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals34%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 7-1
- By period 2-0, 3-1, 2-0
- Likeliest 7-1 (5%), 6-1 (5%), 8-1 (5%)
Season so far
This seasonKokshetau
Pavlodar
Head-to-head
Kokshetau 5–0
Pavlodar - Oct 21, 2026: Kokshetau 9, Pavlodar 2.
- Sep 28, 2026: Kokshetau 5, Pavlodar 3.
- Sep 27, 2026: Kokshetau 11, Pavlodar 2.
- Feb 11, 2026: Kokshetau 9, Pavlodar 2.
- Feb 10, 2026: Kokshetau 11, Pavlodar 0.
Last five games
Kokshetau
3-2-0 - Win, 4–3 against Karaganda, after a shootout, Oct 15. Odds: Kokshetau 3.36, Karaganda 1.77.
- Loss, 1–4 against Karaganda, Oct 14. Odds: Kokshetau 2.35, Karaganda 2.30.
- Loss, 2–4 against Nomad Astana, Oct 11.
- Win, 3–2 against Nomad Astana, after overtime, Oct 10. Odds: Kokshetau 2.20, Nomad Astana 2.20.
- Win, 4–3 at Kulager, Oct 7.
Pavlodar
0-5-0 - Loss, 1–12 against Torpedo, Oct 16. Odds: Pavlodar 100.00, Torpedo –.
- Loss, 2–9 against Torpedo, Oct 15.
- Loss, 0–8 at Torpedo, Oct 12. Odds: Torpedo –, Pavlodar 100.00.
- Loss, 0–13 at Torpedo, Oct 11.
- Loss, 0–6 against Aktobe, Oct 8.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period2-0
- 14:36 Goal Kokshetau: Shegebayev A. assists: Puzanov A., Sannikov S. 1-0
- 16:03 Goal SHG Kokshetau: Sannikov S. assists: Puzanov A. 2-0
3rd period3-1
- 02:26 Goal Kokshetau: Ishchenko I. assists: Royev S., Kasenov A. 3-0
- 06:39 Goal PPG Pavlodar: Guly M. assists: Miller D., Akpirganov A. 3-1
- 11:15 Goal PPG Kokshetau: Korotin V. assists: Puzanov A., Sannikov S. 4-1
- 19:35 Goal Kokshetau: Kasenov A. assists: Beisembiyev T., Ishchenko I. 5-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 10+ straight losses for Pavlodar coming into this game.
- 0-10-0 away for Pavlodar this season.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Kokshetau.
- The total moved up from 8.5 to 9.5 since it was first published.
- 10.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 9.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KOK) | 1.01 | 1.01 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 10.50 | 10.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (PAV) | 100.00 | 100.00 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 8.5 | 9.5 | Line raised |
| Handicap KOK | −7.5 | −7.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Championship standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Torpedo |
26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 44 | .846 | 138 | 46 | +92 |
| 2 |  Nomad Astana |
25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 42 | .840 | 102 | 61 | +41 |
| 3 | Kokshetau |
26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 41 | .788 | 97 | 58 | +39 |
| 4 |  Karaganda |
26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 38 | .731 | 108 | 60 | +48 |
| 5 |  Kulager |
24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 31 | .646 | 87 | 62 | +25 |
| 6 |  Gornyak Rudny |
26 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 29 | .558 | 90 | 68 | +22 |
| 7 |  Almaty |
26 | 11 | 14 | 1 | 23 | .442 | 66 | 92 | −26 |
| 8 |  Aktobe |
26 | 6 | 19 | 1 | 13 | .250 | 69 | 117 | −48 |
| 9 |  Beibarys Atyrau |
25 | 5 | 18 | 2 | 12 | .240 | 48 | 85 | −37 |
| 10 | Pavlodar |
24 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 1 | .021 | 31 | 187 | −156 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Kokshetau host Pavlodar in the Championship on Tuesday, October 20, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.