Kokshetau vs Pavlodar Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Won

Kokshetau -5.5 1.80

Confidence62%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 78%

Full game

1X2WonKokshetauodds down 1.02Confidence 86%
Over/UnderWonO7.5odds down 1.82Confidence 69%
Best tip of the game: HandicapWonKokshetau -5.51.80Confidence 62%
Winner (incl. OT)WonKokshetau1.01Confidence 87%
Double chanceWonKokshetau or drawConfidence 89%
Draw no betWonKokshetauConfidence 89%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 81%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonKokshetauConfidence 65%
1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5Confidence 71%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Kokshetau 71

Pavlodar

Final 9–2

Total goalsTotal 8 Actual 11

Draw after 60 minDraw 2% Decided in regulation

KOK to winTo win 99% KOK won

Score details

Correct scoreLost7–1After 60 min9–25%chance
1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period4–019%chance
Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd33%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 7-1
By period 2-0, 3-1, 2-0
Likeliest 7-1 (5%), 8-1 (5%), 9-1 (4%)

Season so far

This season

Season

Season record14-5-10-20-1

Home / road split8-4-10-11-0

StreakW2L10

RestBack-to-backBack-to-back

Goals for3.51.1

Goals against2.67.9

In the standings3rd10th

Head-to-head

Kokshetau 50

Pavlodar

Kokshetau won five of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 9.8 KOK 8.2 · PAV 1.6

Over 7.5 goalsOver 7.5 4 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 5 All decided in regulation

Oct 20, 2026: Kokshetau 5, Pavlodar 1.
Sep 28, 2026: Kokshetau 5, Pavlodar 3.
Sep 27, 2026: Kokshetau 11, Pavlodar 2.
Feb 11, 2026: Kokshetau 9, Pavlodar 2.
Feb 10, 2026: Kokshetau 11, Pavlodar 0.

Last five games

Kokshetau 3-2-0

Win, 5–1 against Pavlodar, Oct 20. Odds: Kokshetau 1.01, Pavlodar 100.00.
Win, 4–3 against Karaganda, after a shootout, Oct 15. Odds: Kokshetau 3.36, Karaganda 1.77.
Loss, 1–4 against Karaganda, Oct 14. Odds: Kokshetau 2.35, Karaganda 2.30.
Loss, 2–4 against Nomad Astana, Oct 11.
Win, 3–2 against Nomad Astana, after overtime, Oct 10. Odds: Kokshetau 2.20, Nomad Astana 2.20.

Pavlodar 0-5-0

Loss, 1–5 at Kokshetau, Oct 20. Odds: Kokshetau 1.01, Pavlodar 100.00.
Loss, 1–12 against Torpedo, Oct 16. Odds: Pavlodar 100.00, Torpedo –.
Loss, 2–9 against Torpedo, Oct 15.
Loss, 0–8 at Torpedo, Oct 12. Odds: Torpedo –, Pavlodar 100.00.
Loss, 0–13 at Torpedo, Oct 11.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period4-0

06:43 Goal Kokshetau: Kurakov A. assists: Shegebayev A., Shaporov I. 1-0
07:13 Goal PPG Kokshetau: Sannikov S. assists: Puzanov A., Korotin V. 2-0
10:18 Goal Kokshetau: Sannikov S. assists: Shaporov I., Denisov A. 3-0
18:43 Goal PPG Kokshetau: Sannikov S. assists: Korotin V., Kurakov A. 4-0

2nd period3-1

01:23 Goal Pavlodar: Guly M. assists: Akpirganov A., Kladov V. 4-1
06:22 Goal Kokshetau: Royev S. assists: Ishchenko I., Beisembiyev T. 5-1
08:08 Goal Kokshetau: Belyayev L. assists: Zakharov Z., Nesterenko B. 6-1
15:03 Goal Kokshetau: Shaporov I. assists: Toluspayev T. 7-1

3rd period2-1

04:00 Goal Kokshetau: Kurakov A. assists: Korotin V., Sannikov S. 8-1
12:53 Goal Kokshetau: Korotin V. assists: Sannikov S., Puzanov A. 9-1
16:47 Goal PPG Pavlodar: Guly M. assists: Akpirganov A., Antselm B. 9-2

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Second game in two days for both teams — Kokshetau and Pavlodar played yesterday.
10+ straight losses for Pavlodar coming into this game.
0-11-0 away for Pavlodar this season.
5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Kokshetau.
9.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 7.5.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (KOK)	1.01	1.01	No change
1X2: X (draw)	10.50	12.00	Drifted
1X2: 2 (PAV)	100.00	50.00	Shortened
Over/Under line	7.5	7.5	No change
Handicap KOK	−5.5	−5.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Championship standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Torpedo	26	21	3	2	44	.846	138	46	+92
2	Nomad Astana	25	20	3	2	42	.840	102	61	+41
3	Kokshetau	26	20	5	1	41	.788	97	58	+39
4	Karaganda	26	17	5	4	38	.731	108	60	+48
5	Kulager	24	13	6	5	31	.646	87	62	+25
6	Gornyak Rudny	26	14	11	1	29	.558	90	68	+22
7	Almaty	26	11	14	1	23	.442	66	92	−26
8	Aktobe	26	6	19	1	13	.250	69	117	−48
9	Beibarys Atyrau	25	5	18	2	12	.240	48	85	−37
10	Pavlodar	24	0	23	1	1	.021	31	187	−156

Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Kokshetau vs Pavlodar prediction