Krakow vs Jastrzebie prediction
Chance to win · 38% and 41% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2LostJastrzebieodds up 1.71Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU6.51.47Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonKrakow +1.5odds up 1.56Confidence 68%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostJastrzebieodds up 1.44Confidence 52%
- Double chanceLostJastrzebie or drawodds up 1.25Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostJastrzebieodds up 1.38Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.08Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDrawodds down 2.75Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds up 1.87Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min5–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–122%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-0, 1-2, 1-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 1-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 16+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Sep 20, 2026: Krakow 0, Jastrzebie 2.
- Jan 6, 2026: Jastrzebie 3, Krakow 2.
- Oct 31, 2025: Jastrzebie 5, Krakow 0.
- Oct 3, 2025: Krakow 3, Jastrzebie 4, after a shootout.
- Feb 14, 2025: Jastrzebie 9, Krakow 6.
Last five games
- Loss, 2–3 at Unia Oswiecim, Oct 18. Odds: Unia Oswiecim 1.47, Krakow 4.70.
- Win, 3–2 against Zaglebie Sosnowiec, after a shootout, Oct 16. Odds: Krakow 5.31, Zaglebie 1.44.
- Win, 4–2 against Katowice, Oct 11.
- Win, 2–1 at Tychy, Oct 9. Odds: Tychy 1.26, Krakow 7.00.
- Win, 3–2 against Sanok, Oct 4.
- Win, 1–0 at Bytom, Oct 18. Odds: Bytom 1.57, Jastrzebie 4.10.
- Win, 1–0 against Torun, Oct 16. Odds: Jastrzebie 2.18, Torun 2.15.
- Win, 5–0 against MMKS Podhale, Oct 11.
- Win, 5–4 at Unia Oswiecim, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Unia Oswiecim 1.42, Jastrzebie 4.90.
- Loss, 2–4 against Zaglebie Sosnowiec, Oct 4.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 00:12 Goal PPG Jastrzebie: Charvat M. assists: Saarelainen M., Savolainen J. 0-1
- 14:10 Goal Krakow: Gorsanovs D. assists: Michalski J., Bezwinski M. 1-1
2nd period1-0
- 18:27 Goal PPG Krakow: Laitinen V. assists: Dawid B., Kapica D. 2-1
3rd period3-1
- 05:08 Goal Jastrzebie: Saarelainen M. assists: Savolainen J. 2-2
- 17:47 Goal Krakow: Airo J. 3-2
- 18:31 Goal ENG Krakow: Airo J. assists: Kapica D., Berzins D. 4-2
- 19:37 Goal ENG Krakow: Montgomery S. 5-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Jastrzebie coming into this game.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Jastrzebie.
- In goal: Lipiainen S. for Krakow (4-6-0 in the last 10 starts), Holsa P. for Jastrzebie (3-4-0 in the last 7 starts).
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Krakow.
- 6.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KRA) | 2.92 | 2.92 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (JAS) | 1.70 | 1.70 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap KRA | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Polish Hockey League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 39 | 1.219 | 75 | 29 | +46 | |
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 34 | .895 | 81 | 46 | +35 | |
| 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 33 | .971 | 73 | 38 | +35 | |
| 4 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 32 | 1.000 | 68 | 40 | +28 | |
| 5 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 31 | .969 | 73 | 40 | +33 | |
| 6 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | .933 | 63 | 49 | +14 | |
| 7 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 23 | .676 | 47 | 61 | −14 | |
| 8 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 20 | .625 | 30 | 44 | −14 | |
| 9 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 6 | .188 | 23 | 70 | −47 | |
| 10 | 16 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 20 | 136 | −116 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Krakow host Jastrzebie in the Polish Hockey League on Tuesday, October 20, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.