Kungalvs vs Mariestad prediction
Chance to win · 13% and 72% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Full game
- 1X2WonMariestadodds down 1.56Confidence 72%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.35Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonMariestad -1.5odds down 1.88Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonMariestadodds down 1.15Confidence 81%
- Double chanceWonMariestad or drawodds down 1.23Confidence 86%
- Best tip of the game: Draw no betWonMariestadodds down 1.30Confidence 83%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.10Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonMariestadodds down 1.73Confidence 52%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.57Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Kungalvs 1–4
Mariestad Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min2–56%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–21st period0–211%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 1-2, 0-0
- Likeliest 1-4 (6%), 2-5 (5%), 2-4 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonKungalvs
Mariestad
Head-to-head
Kungalvs 0–2
Mariestad - Feb 25, 2026: Mariestad 8, Kungalvs 1.
- Nov 12, 2025: Kungalvs 0, Mariestad 2.
Last five games
Kungalvs
3-2-0 - Win, 4–3 at Morrums GoIS, Oct 11.
- Win, 4–3 against Halmstad, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Kungalvs 4.90, Halmstad 1.42.
- Win, 4–2 against Boras, Oct 4.
- Loss, 4–7 at Tingsryd, Oct 2.
- Loss, 1–6 at Boras, Sep 30.
Mariestad
5-0-0 - Win, 3–2 against Boras, Oct 16. Odds: Mariestad 2.91, Boras 1.98.
- Win, 7–4 against Vastervik, Oct 11.
- Win, 10–1 at Grums, Oct 9. Odds: Grums 4.10, Mariestad 1.56.
- Win, 4–2 against Mjolby, Oct 2.
- Win, 5–4 at Hanvikens, after overtime, Sep 26.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-2
- 11:32 Goal PPG Mariestad: Lundman A. assists: Lindewall J., Wennlund M. 0-1
- 16:42 Goal PPG Mariestad: Amundsen F. assists: Lundman A., Lindewall J. 0-2
2nd period1-0
- 07:23 Goal Kungalvs: Gabay O. assists: Ridell Boman A., Knoester E. 1-2
3rd period1-3
- 04:53 Goal Mariestad: Lundman A. assists: Weino W., Hakansson M. 1-3
- 05:26 Goal Mariestad: Blomberg A. assists: Haugen C., Falt A. 1-4
- 15:44 Goal PPG Kungalvs: Gabay O. assists: Knoester E., Nilsson A. 2-4
- 19:37 Goal SHG Mariestad: Astley R. A. 2-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Mariestad coming into this game.
- 3-game winning streak for Kungalvs coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Mariestad dropped from 1.25 to 1.15 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Kungalvs, 1 for Mariestad.
- The total moved up from 5.5 to 6.5 since it was first published.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KUN) | 6.90 | 6.90 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.30 | 5.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (MAR) | 1.30 | 1.30 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6.5 | Line raised |
| Handicap KUN | +1.5 | +2.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
HockeyEttan Sodra standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boras |
12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 1.042 | 53 | 25 | +28 |
| 2 |  Tingsryd |
11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 1.136 | 49 | 27 | +22 |
| 3 | Mariestad |
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 1.150 | 51 | 28 | +23 |
| 4 |  Karlskrona |
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 1.150 | 34 | 16 | +18 |
| 5 |  Vita Hasten |
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 1.100 | 34 | 20 | +14 |
| 6 |  Dalen |
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 1.000 | 34 | 23 | +11 |
| 7 |  Boro Vetlanda HC |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | .864 | 34 | 33 | +1 |
| 8 |  Halmstad |
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18 | .900 | 33 | 27 | +6 |
| 9 |  Tranas |
11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17 | .773 | 34 | 36 | −2 |
| 10 |  Vastervik |
11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16 | .727 | 41 | 43 | −2 |
| 11 |  Huddinge |
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | .682 | 27 | 33 | −6 |
| 12 |  Tyringe |
11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 14 | .636 | 36 | 34 | +2 |
| 13 |  Hanvikens |
11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14 | .636 | 31 | 36 | −5 |
| 14 | Kungalvs |
11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 14 | .636 | 33 | 42 | −9 |
| 15 |  Mjolby |
10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 13 | .650 | 33 | 32 | +1 |
| 16 |  Troja/Ljungby |
11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 10 | .455 | 30 | 47 | −17 |
| 17 |  Morrums GoIS |
11 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 9 | .409 | 23 | 41 | −18 |
| 18 |  Grastorps |
11 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 9 | .409 | 25 | 47 | −22 |
| 19 |  Nykoping |
11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 9 | .409 | 15 | 43 | −28 |
| 20 |  Grums |
10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 6 | .300 | 24 | 41 | −17 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Kungalvs host Mariestad in the HockeyEttan Sodra on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.