Kungalvs vs Troja/Ljungby Prediction & Picks

HockeyEttan Sodra Friday, October 30, 2026Fri · Oct 30

HomeKungalvs5-5-114th in the standingsLLWWW

23 AP Puck drop 14:00 ET 3.601.67

1st 2nd 3rd OT SO

KUN 0 2 0 0 0

TRO 1 0 1 0 1

SwedenSweden

AwayTroja/Ljungby3-6-216th in the standingsLLLOTOT

51%Kungalvs win · 40% in regulationKUN Overtime or shootout · 22%OT / SO 22% 49%Troja/Ljungby win · 38% in regulationTRO

Chance to win · 40% and 38% in regulation

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Won

Kungalvs +2.5 1.27

Confidence76%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%

Full game

1X2LostKungalvsodds up 2.88Confidence 51%
Over/UnderLostO4.5odds down 1.35Confidence 70%
Best tip of the game: HandicapWonKungalvs +2.5odds up 1.27Confidence 76%
Winner (incl. OT)LostKungalvs2.30Confidence 51%
Double chanceWonKungalvs or drawodds up 1.85Confidence 66%
Draw no betPushKungalvsodds up 2.30Confidence 51%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.08Confidence 89%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDrawConfidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.65Confidence 54%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Kungalvs 32

Troja/Ljungby

Final 2–3

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 22% Went to a shootout

KUN to winTo win 51% TRO won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–23%chance
1st period correct scoreLost1–11st period0–113%chance
Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 2 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 1-1, 2-1, 0-0
Likeliest 3-2 (3%), 4-2 (3%), 4-1 (3%)

Last five games

Kungalvs 3-2-0

Loss, 1–6 against Tingsryd, Oct 23. Odds: Kungalvs 7.40, Tingsryd 1.28.
Loss, 2–5 against Mariestad, Oct 18. Odds: Kungalvs 6.90, Mariestad 1.30.
Win, 4–3 at Morrums GoIS, Oct 11.
Win, 4–3 against Halmstad, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Kungalvs 4.90, Halmstad 1.42.
Win, 4–2 against Boras, Oct 4.

Troja/Ljungby 0-3-2

Loss, 2–5 against Grastorps, Oct 28. Odds: Troja/Ljungby 1.72, Grastorps 3.49.
Loss, 2–8 against Karlskrona, Oct 23. Odds: Troja/Ljungby 3.25, Karlskrona 1.75.
Loss, 2–5 at Mjolby, Oct 16. Odds: Mjolby 2.03, Troja/Ljungby 2.84.
Overtime loss, 3–4 against Boro Vetlanda HC, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Troja/Ljungby 1.67, Boro/Vetlanda 3.75.
Overtime loss, 4–5 at Vastervik, after a shootout, Oct 7.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-1

16:16 Goal PPG Troja/Ljungby: Fransson M. assists: Sjoblom L., Lindberg G. 0-1

2nd period2-0

13:56 Goal PPG Kungalvs: Osterman E. assists: Rix E., Hedin L. 1-1
19:40 Goal PPG Kungalvs: Osterman M. assists: Rix E., Osterman E. 2-1

3rd period0-1

19:43 Goal SHG Troja/Ljungby: Dynell E. assists: Hagberg K. 2-2

Overtime0-0

No goals or penalties.

Shootout0-1

Round 1 Olsen A. missed Falk S. scored
Round 2 Hultfelt R. missed Lindberg G. missed
Round 3 Asp H. missed Lindqvist Muci N. missed

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (KUN)	3.60	3.60	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.45	4.45	No change
1X2: 2 (TRO)	1.67	1.67	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	6.5	Line raised
Handicap KUN	+1.5	+1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

HockeyEttan Sodra standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Boras	12	8	3	1	25	1.042	53	25	+28
2	Tingsryd	11	8	1	2	25	1.136	49	27	+22
3	Mariestad	10	8	2	0	23	1.150	51	28	+23
4	Karlskrona	10	9	1	0	23	1.150	34	16	+18
5	Vita Hasten	10	8	1	1	22	1.100	34	20	+14
6	Dalen	10	7	3	0	20	1.000	34	23	+11
7	Boro Vetlanda HC	11	7	3	1	19	.864	34	33	+1
8	Halmstad	10	6	3	1	18	.900	33	27	+6
9	Tranas	11	6	4	1	17	.773	34	36	−2
10	Vastervik	11	5	4	2	16	.727	41	43	−2
11	Huddinge	11	4	4	3	15	.682	27	33	−6
12	Tyringe	11	5	5	1	14	.636	36	34	+2
13	Hanvikens	11	4	5	2	14	.636	31	36	−5
14	Kungalvs	11	5	5	1	14	.636	33	42	−9
15	Mjolby	10	4	5	1	13	.650	33	32	+1
16	Troja/Ljungby	11	3	6	2	10	.455	30	47	−17
17	Morrums GoIS	11	3	8	0	9	.409	23	41	−18
18	Grastorps	11	3	8	0	9	.409	25	47	−22
19	Nykoping	11	2	6	3	9	.409	15	43	−28
20	Grums	10	2	8	0	6	.300	24	41	−17

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Play Out

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Kungalvs host Troja/Ljungby in the HockeyEttan Sodra on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.