Kyiv Capitals vs HS Riga prediction
Chance to win · 94% and 2% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 77%Full game
- 1X2WonKyiv Capitalsodds down 1.08Confidence 86%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO6.5odds down 1.68Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostKyiv Capitals -4.52.28Confidence 61%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonKyiv Capitalsodds up 1.03Confidence 87%
- Double chanceWonKyiv Capitals or draw1.01Confidence 89%
- Draw no betWonKyiv Capitals1.01Confidence 89%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.19Confidence 81%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonKyiv Capitalsodds up 1.40Confidence 65%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.51Confidence 64%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Kyiv Capitals 6–1
HS Riga Score details
- Correct scoreLost6–1After 60 min6–35%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period3–218%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 5 goals33%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 6-1
- By period 2-0, 2-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 6-1 (5%), 7-1 (5%), 8-1 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonKyiv Capitals
HS Riga
Head-to-head
Kyiv Capitals 4–1
HS Riga - Oct 31, 2026: Kyiv Capitals 8, HS Riga 1.
- Sep 11, 2026: HS Riga 0, Kyiv Capitals 3.
- Feb 26, 2026: HS Riga 6, Kyiv Capitals 5.
- Nov 29, 2025: Kyiv Capitals 4, HS Riga 1.
- Nov 11, 2025: Kyiv Capitals 4, HS Riga 2.
Last five games
Kyiv Capitals
5-0-0 - Win, 4–0 against Zemgale, Oct 10. Odds: Kyiv Capitals 2.55, Zemgale 2.18.
- Win, 8–2 at Riga Prizma, Oct 3.
- Win, 6–3 against Riga Prizma, Sep 30.
- Win, 9–1 at Punks Vilnius, Sep 26.
- Win, 5–0 at Liepaja, Sep 23.
HS Riga
2-3-0 - Win, 2–0 against Energija Elektrenai, Oct 4.
- Loss, 2–5 against Zemgale, Oct 3.
- Loss, 0–7 at Zemgale, Sep 30.
- Loss, 3–5 against HC Panter, Sep 27.
- Win, 2–1 against HC Panter, after overtime, Sep 26.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period3-2
- 03:41 Goal PPG HS Riga: Vengers N. assists: Mezins M., Apsitis A. 0-1
- 08:31 Goal HS Riga: Zile R. assists: Biters I., Vengers N. 0-2
- 10:11 Goal PPG Kyiv Capitals: Jansons E. H. assists: Sarkanis D. 1-2
- 11:30 Goal Kyiv Capitals: Sislannikovs O. assists: Korenchuk I., Begovs R. 2-2
- 12:58 Goal Kyiv Capitals: Sarkanis D. assists: Sprukts G., Siekkinen J. 3-2
2nd period2-1
- 05:51 Goal PPG Kyiv Capitals: Svars P. assists: Sislannikovs O., Begovs R. 4-2
- 08:15 Goal Kyiv Capitals: Siekkinen J. assists: Korenchuk I., Begovs R. 5-2
- 09:43 Goal HS Riga: Mezins M. assists: Cirkins J. 5-3
3rd period1-0
- 07:19 Goal PPG Kyiv Capitals: Jansons E. H. assists: Sarkanis D., Korenchuk I. 6-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Kyiv Capitals coming into this game.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Kyiv Capitals.
- 6.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 7.
- 1st vs 8th in the Optibet Hokeja Liga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KYI) | 1.11 | 1.11 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 8.34 | 8.34 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (RIG) | 19.40 | 19.40 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 7 | Line raised |
| Handicap KYI | −4.5 | −3.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Optibet Hokeja Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyiv Capitals |
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 22 | .786 | 75 | 31 | +44 |
| 2 |  Mogo |
11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .955 | 59 | 14 | +45 |
| 3 |  HC Panter |
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 44 | 35 | +9 |
| 4 |  Liepaja |
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 42 | 37 | +5 |
| 5 |  Zemgale |
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 14 | .778 | 38 | 24 | +14 |
| 6 |  Punks Vilnius |
12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 7 | .292 | 26 | 71 | −45 |
| 7 |  Riga Prizma |
13 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 6 | .231 | 41 | 56 | −15 |
| 8 | HS Riga |
13 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 6 | .231 | 24 | 65 | −41 |
| 9 |  Energija Elektrenai |
8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | .250 | 16 | 32 | −16 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Kyiv Capitals host HS Riga in the Optibet Hokeja Liga on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.