Kyiv Capitals vs HS Riga prediction
Chance to win · 93% and 2% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 79%Full game
- 1X2WonKyiv Capitalsodds up 1.03Confidence 86%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO6.51.44Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonKyiv Capitals -1.5Confidence 78%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonKyiv Capitalsodds up 1.01Confidence 87%
- Double chanceWonKyiv Capitals or drawConfidence 89%
- Draw no betWonKyiv CapitalsConfidence 89%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 81%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonKyiv CapitalsConfidence 65%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds up 1.52Confidence 61%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost6–1After 60 min8–15%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon2–01st period2–018%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 6 goals33%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 6-1
- By period 2-0, 2-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 6-1 (5%), 7-1 (5%), 5-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Oct 14, 2026: Kyiv Capitals 6, HS Riga 3.
- Sep 11, 2026: HS Riga 0, Kyiv Capitals 3.
- Feb 26, 2026: HS Riga 6, Kyiv Capitals 5.
- Nov 29, 2025: Kyiv Capitals 4, HS Riga 1.
- Nov 11, 2025: Kyiv Capitals 4, HS Riga 2.
Last five games
- Loss, 3–4 at Zemgale, Oct 28. Odds: Zemgale 2.25, Kyiv Capitals 2.50.
- Loss, 1–5 against Mogo, Oct 24. Odds: Kyiv Capitals 2.90, Mogo 1.91.
- Win, 3–2 at HC Panter, Oct 21. Odds: HC Panter 6.00, Kyiv Capitals 1.33.
- Win, 11–0 at Punks Vilnius, Oct 17. Odds: Punks Vilnius 25.00, Kyiv Capitals 1.09.
- Win, 6–3 against HS Riga, Oct 14. Odds: Kyiv Capitals 1.11, HS Riga 19.40.
- Loss, 3–10 at Liepaja, Oct 21. Odds: Liepaja 1.20, HS Riga 9.50.
- Loss, 3–6 at Kyiv Capitals, Oct 14. Odds: Kyiv Capitals 1.11, HS Riga 19.40.
- Win, 2–0 against Energija Elektrenai, Oct 4.
- Loss, 2–5 against Zemgale, Oct 3.
- Loss, 0–7 at Zemgale, Sep 30.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 15:08 Goal PPG Kyiv Capitals: Svars P. assists: Korenchuk I. 1-0
- 16:58 Goal Kyiv Capitals: Stradnieks K. assists: Sprukts G., Sarkanis D. 2-0
2nd period5-1
- 01:39 Goal PPG Kyiv Capitals: Begovs R. assists: Sarkanis D., Sprukts G. 3-0
- 07:50 Goal Kyiv Capitals: Zukauskas L. assists: Honcharenko D. 4-0
- 08:21 Goal HS Riga: Apsitis A. assists: Vengers N. 4-1
- 15:34 Goal SHG Kyiv Capitals: Svars P. assists: Kovalchuk M. 5-1
- 17:28 Goal Kyiv Capitals: Stradnieks K. assists: Sarkanis D., Sprukts G. 6-1
- 19:45 Goal Kyiv Capitals: Begovs R. assists: Kovalchuk M. 7-1
3rd period1-0
- 08:16 Goal PPG Kyiv Capitals: Brants H. assists: Cipruss R., Korenchuk I. 8-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 1-5-0 away for HS Riga this season.
- 4-1-0 at home for Kyiv Capitals this season.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Kyiv Capitals.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for HS Riga.
- 6.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 7.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KYI) | 1.10 | 1.10 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 10.00 | 10.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (RIG) | 11.00 | 11.00 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 7.5 | 7.5 | No change |
| Handicap KYI | −3.5 | −3.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Optibet Hokeja Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 22 | .786 | 75 | 31 | +44 | |
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .955 | 59 | 14 | +45 | |
| 3 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 44 | 35 | +9 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 42 | 37 | +5 | |
| 5 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 14 | .778 | 38 | 24 | +14 | |
| 6 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 7 | .292 | 26 | 71 | −45 | |
| 7 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 6 | .231 | 41 | 56 | −15 | |
| 8 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 6 | .231 | 24 | 65 | −41 | |
| 9 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | .250 | 16 | 32 | −16 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Kyiv Capitals host HS Riga in the Optibet Hokeja Liga on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.