Lada vs SKA St. Petersburg prediction
Chance to win · 22% and 59% in regulation
Podskrebalin N.StartedSV 88.1% · GAA 3.50 · 2-7-1
Pleshkov A.StartedSV 90.6% · GAA 3.30 · 5-5-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 70%Full game
- 1X2LostSKAodds down 1.60Confidence 61%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds up 1.35Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonLada +1.5odds up 1.67Confidence 59%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostSKAodds down 1.34Confidence 71%
- Double chanceLostSKA or drawodds down 1.20Confidence 80%
- Best tip of the game: Draw no betLostSKAodds down 1.29Confidence 75%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.12Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostSKAodds down 2.15Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.51.21Confidence 77%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Lada 2–3
SKA Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min1–04%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period0–020%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 1 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-1, 2-1, 0-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 1-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formLada
SKA St. Petersburg
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Lada 0–5
SKA - Sep 9, 2026: SKA St. Petersburg 2, Lada 1, after overtime.
- Sep 5, 2026: SKA St. Petersburg 4, Lada 3, after overtime.
- Jan 12, 2026: Lada 3, SKA St. Petersburg 4, after a shootout.
- Jan 7, 2026: SKA St. Petersburg 5, Lada 4, after overtime.
- Sep 21, 2025: Lada 0, SKA St. Petersburg 3.
Last five games
Lada
0-4-1 - Loss, 0–1 at Khabarovsk, Oct 12. Odds: Khabarovsk 1.70, Lada 4.00.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Vladivostok, after overtime, Oct 10. Odds: Vladivostok 1.83, Lada 3.50.
- Loss, 0–5 against Shanghai, Oct 5.
- Loss, 1–4 at Avangard Omsk, Oct 2.
- Loss, 1–3 at Yekaterinburg, Sep 30.
SKA
1-3-1 - Loss, 0–2 at Cherepovets, Oct 13. Odds: Cherepovets 2.50, SKA 2.31.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Dynamo Moscow, after overtime, Oct 11. Odds: Dynamo Moscow 2.47, SKA 2.35.
- Loss, 2–4 at Dinamo Minsk, Oct 8.
- Loss, 2–5 against Cherepovets, Oct 6.
- Win, 6–5 against Vladivostok, after a shootout, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
- 05:14 2 min Lada: Safin O. Hooking
- 09:04 2 min SKA St. Petersburg: Chebykin N. Tripping
- 17:44 2 min Lada: Groshev Y. Slashing
- 19:50 2 min SKA St. Petersburg: Aimurzin D. Hooking
2nd period1-0
- 01:49 Goal PPG Lada: Makarov N. assists: Chivilyov A., Safin O. 1-0
- 08:21 2 min SKA St. Petersburg: Chebykin N. Holding
- 10:37 2 min SKA St. Petersburg: Savikov Y. Tripping
- 12:53 2 min SKA St. Petersburg: Korotky M. Tripping
- 14:58 2 min Lada: Zinchenko I. Roughing
- 15:10 2 min Lada: Groshev Y. Interference
- 15:24 2 min SKA St. Petersburg: Korotky M. Slashing
3rd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 10+ straight losses for Lada coming into this game.
- 4-game losing streak for SKA St. Petersburg coming into this game.
- 1-4-0 at home for Lada this season.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for SKA St. Petersburg.
- In goal: Podskrebalin N. for Lada (2-7-1 in the last 10 starts), Pleshkov A. for SKA St. Petersburg (5-5-0 in the last 10 starts).
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (LAD) | 4.40 | 4.40 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.40 | 4.40 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SSP) | 1.60 | 1.60 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap LAD | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
KHL standings
Regular Season · Bobrov Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nizhny Novgorod |
23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 64 | 51 | +13 |
| 2 |  Spartak Moscow |
25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 30 | .600 | 66 | 56 | +10 |
| 3 | SKA St. Petersburg |
23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 25 | .543 | 72 | 68 | +4 |
| 4 |  Sochi |
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 16 | .333 | 42 | 81 | −39 |
| 5 | Lada |
25 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 15 | .300 | 38 | 81 | −43 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Lada host SKA St. Petersburg in the KHL on Thursday, October 15, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.