Lausanne vs Ajoie prediction
Chance to win · 58% and 22% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2WonLausanneodds up 1.40Confidence 54%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.35Confidence 61%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonAjoie +3.5odds down 1.27Confidence 76%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonLausanneodds up 1.22Confidence 70%
- Double chanceWonLausanne or draw1.14Confidence 77%
- Draw no betWonLausanneodds up 1.18Confidence 61%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.12Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonLausanne1.93Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.79Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 4% since they opened; the odds drifted 3% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 5% since they opened.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min6–36%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period3–010%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (6%), 5-2 (5%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Sep 29, 2026: Ajoie 3, Lausanne 0.
- Mar 9, 2026: Lausanne 2, Ajoie 3, after a shootout.
- Dec 19, 2025: Ajoie 3, Lausanne 4, after overtime.
- Nov 14, 2025: Lausanne 3, Ajoie 2, after overtime.
- Sep 30, 2025: Ajoie 1, Lausanne 2.
Last five games
- Win, 4–1 at Rapperswil-Jona, Oct 10. Odds: Rapperswil 2.40, Lausanne 2.40.
- Loss, 2–5 against Lugano, Oct 7.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Zurich, after overtime, Oct 3.
- Win, 7–4 against Biel, Oct 2.
- Win, 6–5 against Servette, after a shootout, Sep 30.
- Win, 5–4 against Langnau Tigers, after overtime, Oct 10. Odds: Ajoie 3.05, Langnau 1.97.
- Loss, 2–7 at Fribourg, Oct 8.
- Win, 5–4 against Lugano, Oct 4.
- Loss, 1–3 at Davos, Oct 2.
- Win, 3–0 against Lausanne, Sep 29.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period3-0
- 00:32 2 min Ajoie: Nattinen J. Tripping
- 04:36 Goal Lausanne: Riat D. assists: Suomela A. 1-0
- 05:38 2 min Lausanne: Suomela A. Hooking
- 13:44 Goal Lausanne: Suomela A. assists: Fuchs J., Riat D. 2-0
- 18:27 Goal Lausanne: Ruegsegger S. assists: Lazar C., Caggiula D. 3-0
2nd period1-1
- 00:51 2 min Ajoie: Nattinen J. Hooking
- 01:23 2 min Lausanne: Ruegsegger S. Tripping
- 09:30 2 min Ajoie: Fey K. Holding
- 10:10 Goal PPG Lausanne: Zehnder Y. assists: Simic A., Riat D. 4-0
- 10:48 Goal Ajoie: Sopa K. assists: Honka A., Cormier C. 4-1
- 15:14 2 min Lausanne: Carrick C. Holding
- 18:53 2 min Ajoie: Wick J. Tripping
3rd period2-2
- 09:36 Goal Lausanne: Simic A. assists: Baragano I., Bougro B. 5-1
- 11:19 2 min Ajoie: Berthoud Y. Cross checking
- 14:01 Goal Ajoie: Carr D. assists: Smirnovs D., Tanus K. 5-2
- 14:39 Goal Ajoie: Honka J. assists: Turkulainen J., Nattinen J. 5-3
- 17:16 Goal ENG Lausanne: Riat D. assists: Caggiula D. 6-3
- 19:51 2 min Lausanne: Baragano I. Cross checking
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Pasche K. for Lausanne (3-5-2 in the last 10 starts), Patenaude N. for Ajoie (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Lausanne.
- +1.3 goals at home — Lausanne averaged 3.8 at home and 2.5 away this season.
- −1.1 goals away — Ajoie averaged 3.6 at home and 2.5 away this season.
- 4.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (LAU) | 1.42 | 1.42 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.19 | 5.19 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (AJO) | 5.93 | 5.93 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6 | No change |
| Handicap LAU | −2.5 | −1.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
National League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 47 | 1.306 | 75 | 38 | +37 | |
| 2 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | .917 | 57 | 53 | +4 | |
| 3 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 32 | .842 | 49 | 55 | −6 | |
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 29 | .763 | 66 | 56 | +10 | |
| 5 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 1.077 | 49 | 27 | +22 | |
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 28 | .824 | 46 | 47 | −1 | |
| 7 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | .750 | 57 | 44 | +13 | |
| 8 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 26 | .650 | 59 | 69 | −10 | |
| 9 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 25 | .658 | 58 | 64 | −6 | |
| 10 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 45 | 55 | −10 | |
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 23 | .639 | 57 | 60 | −3 | |
| 12 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 22 | .611 | 56 | 62 | −6 | |
| 13 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 50 | 69 | −19 | |
| 14 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 18 | .474 | 44 | 69 | −25 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Promotion - Playoffs
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Lausanne host Ajoie in the National League on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.