Lausanne vs Fribourg Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Lost

O4.5 1.51

Confidence70%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%

Full game

1X2LostFribourgodds up 2.27Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostO4.5odds down 1.51Confidence 70%
HandicapWonLausanne +1.5odds down 1.32Confidence 67%
Winner (incl. OT)LostFribourgodds up 1.82Confidence 55%
Double chanceLostFribourg or drawodds up 1.44Confidence 66%
Draw no betLostFribourgodds up 1.73Confidence 56%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds down 1.11Confidence 88%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostFribourgodds up 2.75Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.87Confidence 54%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Lausanne 23

Fribourg

Final 2–0

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 2

Draw after 60 minDraw 22% Decided in regulation

FRI to winTo win 54% LAU won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min2–04%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–07%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-3
By period 0-2, 0-0, 2-1
Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (3%), 4-5 (1%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record7-8-18-4-2

Home / road split5-2-02-3-2

StreakL2W1

RestBack-to-backBack-to-back

Goals for3.23.7

Goals against3.42.6

In the standings8th7th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.3+2.1

Goals for3.74.4

Goals against3.42.3

Shots on goal28.431.2

Shots against29.627.8

Shooting %13.0%14.1%

Save %89.2%91.7%

Power-play %14.9%32.6%

Penalty kill %87.5%87.5%

Faceoff %50.7%50.6%

Penalty minutes9.97.4

Blocked shots13.312.4

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Lausanne 23

Fribourg

Fribourg won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.2 LAU 2.4 · FRI 2.8

Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5 3 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 5 All decided in regulation

Sep 18, 2026: Fribourg 4, Lausanne 2.
Mar 7, 2026: Fribourg 3, Lausanne 4.
Jan 10, 2026: Lausanne 0, Fribourg 4.
Nov 21, 2025: Fribourg 2, Lausanne 1.
Sep 12, 2025: Lausanne 5, Fribourg 1.

Last five games

Lausanne 2-3-0

Loss, 1–4 at Zug, Oct 23. Odds: Zug 1.91, Lausanne 3.10.
Loss, 3–4 at EHC Kloten, Oct 20. Odds: Kloten 3.45, Lausanne 1.70.
Win, 5–2 against EHC Kloten, Oct 17. Odds: Lausanne 1.50, Kloten 4.20.
Loss, 2–3 at Bern, Oct 16. Odds: Bern 2.09, Lausanne 2.92.
Win, 6–3 against Ajoie, Oct 14. Odds: Lausanne 1.42, Ajoie 5.93.

Fribourg 2-1-2

Win, 6–3 against Biel, Oct 23. Odds: Fribourg 1.48, Biel 5.00.
Loss, 2–3 at Ambri-Piotta, Oct 20. Odds: Ambri-Piotta 2.65, Fribourg 2.00.
Win, 6–1 against Lugano, Oct 17. Odds: Fribourg 1.78, Lugano 3.05.
Overtime loss, 3–4 at Herning Blue Fox, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: Herning 5.40, Fribourg 1.41.
Overtime loss, 4–5 at Zurich, after overtime, Oct 10. Odds: Zurich 1.83, Fribourg 3.45.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-0

02:22 2 min Fribourg: Boppart Y. Hooking
03:51 2 min Lausanne: Fuchs J. Tripping
09:40 2 min Lausanne: Kurashev P. High sticking
17:23 2 min Fribourg: Richard A. High sticking

2nd period1-0

05:32 2 min Lausanne: Caggiula D. Roughing
05:32 2 min Fribourg: Seiler S. Roughing
05:32 2 min Lausanne: Kurashev P. Roughing
05:32 2 min Fribourg: Seiler S. Unsportsmanlike conduct
05:32 2 min Fribourg: Nicolet K. Roughing
17:24 Goal Lausanne: Kurashev P. assists: Caggiula D. 1-0
20:00 2 min Lausanne: Heldner F. Hooking

3rd period1-0

05:57 2 min Fribourg: Richard A. High sticking
18:24 Goal ENG Lausanne: Fuchs J. assists: Suomela A. 2-0
19:11 2 min Lausanne: Caggiula D. Roughing

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Second game in two days for both teams — Lausanne and Fribourg played yesterday.
Odds moved: the odds on Lausanne dropped from 2.05 to 1.80 since they were first published.
In goal: Pasche K. for Lausanne (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts), Waeber L. for Fribourg (6-2-2 in the last 10 starts).
Goal differential gap of 1.8 per game — Lausanne +0.3, Fribourg +2.1 over their recent games.
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Fribourg.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (LAU)	2.36	2.36	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.33	4.33	No change
1X2: 2 (FRI)	2.40	2.40	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap LAU	+1.5	−0.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

National League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Zurich	18	17	1	0	47	1.306	75	38	+37
2	Ambri-Piotta	18	11	5	2	33	.917	57	53	+4
3	Servette	19	11	6	2	32	.842	49	55	−6
4	Langnau Tigers	19	9	7	3	29	.763	66	56	+10
5	Zug	13	9	3	1	28	1.077	49	27	+22
6	Bern	17	9	5	3	28	.824	46	47	−1
7	Fribourg	18	9	7	2	27	.750	57	44	+13
8	Lausanne	20	9	10	1	26	.650	59	69	−10
9	Ajoie	19	9	8	2	25	.658	58	64	−6
10	Davos	19	8	9	2	24	.632	45	55	−10
11	Biel	18	7	9	2	23	.639	57	60	−3
12	Lugano	18	7	9	2	22	.611	56	62	−6
13	Rapperswil-Jona	19	6	10	3	19	.500	50	69	−19
14	EHC Kloten	19	6	12	1	18	.474	44	69	−25

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
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Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Lausanne vs Fribourg prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details