Lausitzer Fuchse vs Freiburg prediction
Chance to win · 54% and 25% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2LostWeisswasserodds up 1.78Confidence 55%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.46Confidence 69%
- HandicapWonFreiburg +1.5odds up 1.42Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostWeisswasserodds up 1.47Confidence 68%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostWeisswasser or drawodds up 1.27Confidence 76%
- Draw no betLostWeisswasserodds up 1.43Confidence 71%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.10Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostWeisswasserodds up 2.30Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.90Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–44%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–09%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Feb 15, 2026: Lausitzer Fuchse 5, Freiburg 2.
- Jan 9, 2026: Freiburg 2, Lausitzer Fuchse 1.
- Nov 28, 2025: Lausitzer Fuchse 1, Freiburg 2, after overtime.
- Oct 12, 2025: Freiburg 4, Lausitzer Fuchse 5, after a shootout.
- Mar 7, 2025: Freiburg 3, Lausitzer Fuchse 2.
Last five games
- Win, 5–3 at Starbulls Rosenheim, Oct 18. Odds: Rosenheim 1.64, Weisswasser 4.00.
- Loss, 2–6 against Dresdner Eislowen, Oct 16. Odds: Weisswasser 3.57, Dresden 1.76.
- Win, 4–1 at Regensburg, Oct 11.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Dusseldorf, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Weisswasser 2.95, Dusseldorf 1.91.
- Win, 3–2 at Crimmitschau, Oct 4.
- Win, 5–3 against Weiden, Oct 18. Odds: Freiburg 1.80, Weiden 3.20.
- Loss, 3–5 at Dusseldorf, Oct 16. Odds: Dusseldorf 1.41, Freiburg 5.83.
- Loss, 0–3 against Starbulls Rosenheim, Oct 11. Odds: Freiburg 3.13, Rosenheim 1.97.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Ravensburg, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Ravensburg 1.54, Freiburg 4.20.
- Win, 3–2 at Regensburg, after overtime, Oct 4.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period2-2
- 01:29 Goal Freiburg: Gallant C. assists: Bowles P., De Los Rios A. 0-1
- 07:57 Goal Freiburg: McCallum L. assists: Ilestedt F., Sezemsky T. 0-2
- 10:29 Goal PPG Lausitzer Fuchse: Schmidt-Svejstrup J. assists: Breitkreuz C., Lemos B. 1-2
- 14:00 Goal PPG Lausitzer Fuchse: Theodore C. assists: Dosch A., Hannon C. 2-2
3rd period0-2
- 13:35 Goal Freiburg: Ilestedt F. assists: McCallum L. 2-3
- 19:06 Goal ENG Freiburg: Plouffe D. assists: Muhlbauer L., Kiefersauer C. 2-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 1-3-1 away for Freiburg this season.
- In goal: Neisse L. for Lausitzer Fuchse (8-1-1 in the last 10 starts), Schmidt O. for Freiburg (2-6-2 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Freiburg.
- Save % gap: Lausitzer Fuchse 63.1%, Freiburg 90.5% over their recent games.
- 5.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (LAU) | 1.83 | 1.83 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (FRE) | 3.10 | 3.10 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap LAU | −1.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
DEL 2 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 1.250 | 56 | 30 | +26 | |
| 2 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 26 | .929 | 47 | 45 | +2 | |
| 3 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24 | .857 | 48 | 42 | +6 | |
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 23 | .821 | 50 | 44 | +6 | |
| 5 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | .821 | 40 | 37 | +3 | |
| 6 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 21 | .750 | 46 | 40 | +6 | |
| 7 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 20 | .714 | 39 | 45 | −6 | |
| 8 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 20 | .714 | 46 | 55 | −9 | |
| 9 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 19 | .679 | 43 | 41 | +2 | |
| 10 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 19 | .679 | 37 | 42 | −5 | |
| 11 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 19 | .679 | 43 | 52 | −9 | |
| 12 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 18 | .643 | 46 | 51 | −5 | |
| 13 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 16 | .571 | 47 | 52 | −5 | |
| 14 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 11 | .393 | 30 | 42 | −12 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Lausitzer Fuchse host Freiburg in the DEL 2 on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.