Lehigh Valley Phantoms vs Providence Bruins prediction
Chance to win · 31% and 47% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2WonProvidenceodds down 2.40Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.38Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonProvidence +1.5odds down 1.36Confidence 72%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonProvidenceodds down 1.90Confidence 61%
- Double chanceWonProvidence or drawodds down 1.53Confidence 70%
- Draw no betWonProvidenceodds down 1.97Confidence 62%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds down 1.08Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonProvidenceodds down 2.95Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.80Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Lehigh Valley 1–4
Providence Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min0–85%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–21st period0–27%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (5%), 2-5 (4%), 2-3 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formLehigh Valley Phantoms
Providence Bruins
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Lehigh Valley 1–4
Providence - Mar 18, 2026: Lehigh Valley Phantoms 6, Providence Bruins 3.
- Feb 25, 2026: Lehigh Valley Phantoms 4, Providence Bruins 6.
- Jan 11, 2026: Providence Bruins 4, Lehigh Valley Phantoms 2.
- Nov 21, 2025: Providence Bruins 3, Lehigh Valley Phantoms 2.
- Mar 22, 2025: Lehigh Valley Phantoms 1, Providence Bruins 3.
Last five games
Lehigh Valley
3-2-0 - Loss, 3–6 at Rochester Americans, Oct 30. Odds: Rochester 2.20, Lehigh Valley 2.50.
- Win, 2–0 against Belleville Senators, Oct 25. Odds: Lehigh Valley 2.60, Belleville 2.10.
- Loss, 2–7 against Syracuse Crunch, Oct 24. Odds: Lehigh Valley 2.90, Syracuse 1.96.
- Win, 3–2 at Springfield Thunderbirds, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Springfield 2.45, Lehigh Valley 2.12.
- Win, 6–3 at Springfield Thunderbirds, Oct 16. Odds: Springfield 2.37, Lehigh Valley 2.22.
Providence
3-2-0 - Win, 7–6 at Springfield Thunderbirds, after overtime, Oct 30. Odds: Springfield 2.25, Providence 2.50.
- Win, 5–2 against Utica Comets, Oct 24. Odds: Providence 2.01, Utica 2.90.
- Loss, 0–2 at Hartford Wolf Pack, Oct 23. Odds: Hartford 2.25, Providence 2.50.
- Win, 6–1 at Hershey Bears, Oct 18. Odds: Hershey 2.50, Providence 2.25.
- Loss, 3–5 at Hershey Bears, Oct 17. Odds: Hershey 2.35, Providence 2.22.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-2
- 10:49 Goal Providence Bruins: Gallagher T. assists: Steeves A., Reichel L. 0-1
- 14:13 Goal Providence Bruins: Reichel L. assists: Steeves A., Harris J. 0-2
2nd period0-3
- 00:37 Goal Providence Bruins: Schmaltz J. assists: Abate J., Harris J. 0-3
- 13:28 Goal PPG Providence Bruins: Gaunce B. assists: Locmelis D., Steeves A. 0-4
- 18:08 Goal Providence Bruins: Hanas C. 0-5
3rd period0-3
- 01:36 Goal Providence Bruins: Steeves A. assists: Gaunce B. 0-6
- 10:09 Goal Providence Bruins: Gaunce B. assists: Bisson T. P., Steeves A. 0-7
- 15:06 Goal Providence Bruins: Locmelis D. assists: Johansson L., Sweezey B. 0-8
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 1-3-1 at home for Lehigh Valley Phantoms this season.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Providence Bruins.
- Save % gap: Lehigh Valley Phantoms 84.8%, Providence Bruins 89.9% over their recent games.
- 6.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
- 6th vs 5th in the AHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (LVP) | 2.35 | 2.35 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (PRO) | 2.35 | 2.35 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6 | Line raised |
| Handicap LVP | −0.5 | +0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charlotte Checkers |
15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 19 | .633 | 46 | 42 | +4 |
| 2 |  Hartford Wolf Pack |
17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 44 | 49 | −5 |
| 3 |  Hershey Bears |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | .615 | 42 | 38 | +4 |
| 4 |  Wilkes-Barre/Scranton |
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 47 | 37 | +10 |
| 5 | Providence Bruins |
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 12 | .429 | 47 | 43 | +4 |
| 6 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms |
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .423 | 37 | 55 | −18 |
| 7 |  Springfield Thunderbirds |
13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 11 | .423 | 32 | 46 | −14 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Lehigh Valley Phantoms host Providence Bruins in the AHL on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.