Liberec vs Mountfield HK prediction
Chance to win · 48% and 30% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2LostLiberec2.17Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO3.5odds down 1.29Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonHradec Kralove +1.5odds up 1.34Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonLiberec1.70Confidence 61%
- Double chanceWonLiberec or drawodds up 1.37Confidence 70%
- Draw no betPushLiberecodds up 1.62Confidence 62%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.14Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds up 2.35Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds up 1.64Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min3–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–223%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 0-0, 2-1, 1-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Sep 24, 2026: Mountfield HK 5, Liberec 2.
- Mar 4, 2026: Liberec 4, Mountfield HK 0.
- Jan 4, 2026: Mountfield HK 0, Liberec 2.
- Nov 23, 2025: Liberec 3, Mountfield HK 2.
- Oct 5, 2025: Mountfield HK 4, Liberec 3, after overtime.
Last five games
- Loss, 2–4 at Kladno, Oct 30. Odds: Kladno 2.15, Liberec 2.80.
- Win, 2–0 against Plzen, Oct 25. Odds: Liberec 2.11, Plzen 2.90.
- Win, 3–1 against Sparta Prague, Oct 23. Odds: Liberec 2.45, Sparta Prague 2.40.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Vitkovice, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: Vitkovice 2.67, Liberec 1.95.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Kometa Brno, after overtime, Oct 18. Odds: Kometa Brno 2.60, Liberec 2.32.
- Loss, 0–3 at Ceske Budejovice, Oct 27. Odds: C. Budejovice 2.45, Hradec Kralove 2.35.
- Win, 2–0 against Pardubice, Oct 25. Odds: Hradec Kralove 2.45, Pardubice 2.35.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Karlovy Vary, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Hradec Kralove 2.18, Karlovy Vary 2.80.
- Loss, 3–4 at Mlada Boleslav, Oct 18. Odds: Mlada Boleslav 2.40, Hradec Kralove 2.18.
- Win, 4–1 at Litvinov, Oct 15. Odds: Litvinov 2.70, Hradec Kralove 2.02.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-2
- 11:52 Goal Mountfield HK: Vukojevic M. assists: Miskar P. 0-1
- 11:52 2 min Liberec: — Delay of game
- 13:01 Goal PPG Mountfield HK: Perret J. assists: Melancon T.J., Klima Kev. 0-2
2nd period0-0
- 09:59 2 min Mountfield HK: Pavlik R. Slashing
- 10:43 2 min Liberec: Lenc R. Interference
- 15:55 2 min Liberec: Rychlovsky J. Tripping
- 19:45 2 min Mountfield HK: Planek M. Holding
3rd period3-1
- 05:33 2 min Liberec: Prochazka O. Tripping
- 08:32 Goal Liberec: Najman A. assists: Simek R., Sandberg F. 1-2
- 11:32 Goal Mountfield HK: Kousal R. assists: Zdrahal P. 1-3
- 13:52 Goal Liberec: Pytlik J. assists: Jansa F., Galvas T. 2-3
- 17:03 2 min Mountfield HK: Vukojevic M. Interference
- 18:49 Goal PPG Liberec: Sandberg F. assists: Simek R., Lenc R. 3-3
Overtime1-0
- 02:36 Goal Liberec: Simek R. assists: Filippi T. 4-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Mountfield HK, 1 for Liberec.
- In goal: Kvaca P. for Liberec (5-3-2 in the last 10 starts), Skorvanek S. for Mountfield HK (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Liberec.
- 5.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.
- 8th vs 9th in the Extraliga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (LIB) | 2.20 | 2.20 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.20 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (MOU) | 2.65 | 2.65 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 5 | Line raised |
| Handicap LIB | −1.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Extraliga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 1.219 | 64 | 38 | +26 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 64 | 43 | +21 | |
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | .882 | 53 | 49 | +4 | |
| 4 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 28 | .824 | 41 | 33 | +8 | |
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .765 | 45 | 47 | −2 | |
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | .735 | 45 | 40 | +5 | |
| 7 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 25 | .735 | 44 | 42 | +2 | |
| 8 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 43 | +1 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 42 | +1 | |
| 10 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 43 | 0 | |
| 11 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 21 | .618 | 36 | 45 | −9 | |
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 35 | 57 | −22 | |
| 13 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 16 | .533 | 37 | 49 | −12 | |
| 14 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 13 | .382 | 32 | 55 | −23 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Liberec host Mountfield HK in the Extraliga on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.