Liberec vs Plzen prediction
Chance to win · 49% and 29% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2WonLiberec2.20Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostO3.5odds up 1.33Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostPlzen +1.5odds up 1.30Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonLiberecodds up 1.72Confidence 62%
- Double chanceWonLiberec or drawodds up 1.39Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonLiberecodds up 1.67Confidence 64%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds up 1.15Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDrawodds up 2.37Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.60Confidence 59%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–04%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–01st period0–024%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 0-0, 2-1, 1-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Sep 16, 2026: Plzen 2, Liberec 1, after a shootout.
- Jan 9, 2026: Liberec 3, Plzen 2, after a shootout.
- Nov 28, 2025: Plzen 2, Liberec 1, after overtime.
- Oct 12, 2025: Plzen 0, Liberec 1.
- Sep 10, 2025: Liberec 1, Plzen 3.
Last five games
- Win, 3–1 against Sparta Prague, Oct 23. Odds: Liberec 2.45, Sparta Prague 2.40.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Vitkovice, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: Vitkovice 2.67, Liberec 1.95.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Kometa Brno, after overtime, Oct 18. Odds: Kometa Brno 2.60, Liberec 2.32.
- Win, 2–0 at Davos, Oct 14. Odds: Davos 1.71, Liberec 3.74.
- Loss, 3–4 at Ceske Budejovice, Oct 11. Odds: C. Budejovice 2.47, Liberec 2.37.
- Loss, 0–2 at Litvinov, Oct 23. Odds: Litvinov 2.90, Plzen 2.11.
- Win, 6–5 against Vitkovice, after a shootout, Oct 18. Odds: Plzen 1.60, Vitkovice 3.80.
- Loss, 0–2 against Sparta Prague, Oct 16. Odds: Plzen 2.40, Sparta Prague 2.54.
- Win, 6–3 at SaiPa, Oct 14. Odds: SaiPa 1.57, Plzen 4.26.
- Win, 2–1 at Kometa Brno, after overtime, Oct 11. Odds: Kometa Brno 2.20, Plzen 2.75.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
- 09:11 2 min Liberec: Rychlovsky J. Holding
2nd period0-0
- 04:26 2 min Plzen: Robertson C. Holding
- 05:02 2 min Plzen: Lev J. Interference
- 17:30 2 min Liberec: Zeman D. Cross checking
3rd period2-0
- 04:23 2 min Liberec: Musil A. Roughing
- 04:23 2 min Plzen: Mechura A. Roughing
- 10:12 Goal Liberec: Rychlovsky J. assists: Galvas T. 1-0
- 18:42 Goal ENG Liberec: Fasko-Rudas M. 2-0
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Kvaca P. for Liberec (5-3-2 in the last 10 starts), Ruzicka J. for Plzen (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Plzen.
- Save % gap: Liberec 93.4%, Plzen 90.0% over their recent games.
- 3.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.
- 8th vs 7th in the Extraliga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (LIB) | 2.11 | 2.11 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.00 | 4.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (PLZ) | 2.90 | 2.90 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
| Handicap LIB | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Extraliga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 1.219 | 64 | 38 | +26 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 64 | 43 | +21 | |
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | .882 | 53 | 49 | +4 | |
| 4 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 28 | .824 | 41 | 33 | +8 | |
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .765 | 45 | 47 | −2 | |
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | .735 | 45 | 40 | +5 | |
| 7 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 25 | .735 | 44 | 42 | +2 | |
| 8 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 43 | +1 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 42 | +1 | |
| 10 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 43 | 0 | |
| 11 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 21 | .618 | 36 | 45 | −9 | |
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 35 | 57 | −22 | |
| 13 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 16 | .533 | 37 | 49 | −12 | |
| 14 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 13 | .382 | 32 | 55 | −23 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Liberec host Plzen in the Extraliga on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.