Liberec vs Sparta Prague Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Won

Liberec +1.5 1.28

Confidence72%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%

Full game

1X2WonLiberecodds down 2.45Confidence 51%
Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.39Confidence 71%
Best tip of the game: HandicapWonLiberec +1.5odds up 1.28Confidence 72%
Winner (incl. OT)WonLiberecodds down 1.91Confidence 55%
Double chanceWonLiberec or drawodds up 1.48Confidence 67%
Draw no betWonLiberecodds up 1.84Confidence 57%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.09Confidence 84%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonDrawodds up 2.45Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.20Confidence 79%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Liberec 31

Sparta Prague

Final 3–1

Total goalsTotal 4 Actual 4

Draw after 60 minDraw 22% Decided in regulation

LIB to winTo win 54% LIB won

Score details

Correct scoreWon3–1After 60 min3–14%chance
1st period correct scoreWon0–01st period0–021%chance
Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals28%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-1
By period 0-0, 2-1, 1-0
Likeliest 3-1 (4%), 4-1 (4%), 3-2 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record4-4-45-5-2

Home / road split2-2-03-2-1

StreakL2L1

Rest2 days4 days

Goals for2.82.8

Goals against2.92.5

In the standings8th6th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.8+0.2

Goals for2.92.7

Goals against2.12.5

Shots on goal30.932.7

Shots against29.526.4

Shooting %9.4%8.3%

Save %92.9%90.9%

Power-play %15.0%14.3%

Penalty kill %87.5%93.2%

Faceoff %54.0%49.7%

Penalty minutes10.411.8

Blocked shots18.519.2

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Liberec 23

Sparta Prague

Sparta Prague won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 3.6 LIB 2.0 · SPA 1.6

Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5 1 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 2 of 5 2 in overtime

Feb 25, 2026: Liberec 1, Sparta Prague 2, after overtime.
Nov 14, 2025: Liberec 3, Sparta Prague 0.
Nov 9, 2025: Sparta Prague 4, Liberec 3, after overtime.
Sep 28, 2025: Sparta Prague 1, Liberec 3.
Feb 28, 2025: Sparta Prague 1, Liberec 0.

Last five games

Liberec 2-1-2

Overtime loss, 2–3 at Vitkovice, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: Vitkovice 2.67, Liberec 1.95.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at Kometa Brno, after overtime, Oct 18. Odds: Kometa Brno 2.60, Liberec 2.32.
Win, 2–0 at Davos, Oct 14. Odds: Davos 1.71, Liberec 3.74.
Loss, 3–4 at Ceske Budejovice, Oct 11. Odds: C. Budejovice 2.47, Liberec 2.37.
Win, 5–0 against Karlovy Vary, Oct 9. Odds: Liberec 2.10, Karlovy Vary 2.75.

Sparta Prague 2-2-1

Loss, 1–2 against Trinec, Oct 18. Odds: Sparta Prague 2.20, Trinec 2.35.
Win, 2–0 at Plzen, Oct 16. Odds: Plzen 2.40, Sparta Prague 2.54.
Win, 3–0 against Vitkovice, Oct 11. Odds: Sparta Prague 1.55, Vitkovice 4.65.
Overtime loss, 3–4 against Kometa Brno, after overtime, Oct 8.
Loss, 4–6 at Pardubice, Oct 4.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-0

04:32 2 min Sparta Prague: Seppala M. Holding
12:43 2 min Sparta Prague: Kousal P. Interference
15:35 2 min Liberec: Vlach J. Roughing

2nd period2-1

01:34 2 min Liberec: Petrovsky S. Holding
03:29 Goal SHG Liberec: Vlach J. 1-0
03:59 2 min Liberec: Petrovsky S. Tripping
08:53 Goal Sparta Prague: Shore D. 1-1
14:22 2 min Liberec: Zeman D. Illegal check to the head
15:57 2 min Sparta Prague: — Too many men on the ice
16:03 Goal Liberec: Jansa F. assists: Fasko-Rudas M. 2-1

3rd period1-0

02:22 2 min Sparta Prague: Pospisil J. Holding
09:04 2 min Liberec: Musil A. High sticking
18:38 Goal ENG Liberec: Simek R. assists: Filippi T. 3-1

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Rest advantage: 4 days off for Sparta Prague, 2 for Liberec.
In goal: Kvaca P. for Liberec (4-3-3 in the last 10 starts), Korenar J. for Sparta Prague (5-3-2 in the last 10 starts).
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Sparta Prague.
3.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
8th vs 6th in the Extraliga standings.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (LIB)	2.45	2.45	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.20	4.20	No change
1X2: 2 (SPA)	2.40	2.40	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap LIB	+0.5	−0.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Extraliga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Trinec	16	13	2	1	39	1.219	64	38	+26
2	Pardubice	17	12	4	1	36	1.059	64	43	+21
3	Kladno	17	10	4	3	30	.882	53	49	+4
4	Karlovy Vary	17	10	7	0	28	.824	41	33	+8
5	Ceske Budejovice	17	8	7	2	26	.765	45	47	−2
6	Sparta Prague	17	8	7	2	25	.735	45	40	+5
7	Plzen	17	10	6	1	25	.735	44	42	+2
8	Liberec	16	7	5	4	24	.750	44	43	+1
9	Mountfield HK	16	8	6	2	24	.750	43	42	+1
10	Kometa Brno	16	8	5	3	24	.750	43	43	0
11	Litvinov	17	7	9	1	21	.618	36	45	−9
12	Mlada Boleslav	17	6	10	1	17	.500	35	57	−22
13	Vitkovice	15	5	8	2	16	.533	37	49	−12
14	Olomouc	17	4	11	2	13	.382	32	55	−23

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Liberec vs Sparta Prague prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details