Liepaja vs HS Riga prediction
Chance to win · 71% and 13% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 75%Full game
- 1X2WonLiepaja1.19Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU7.5odds up 1.35Confidence 75%
- HandicapWonLiepaja -1.5Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonLiepajaodds up 1.08Confidence 81%
- Double chanceWonLiepaja or draw1.05Confidence 86%
- Draw no betWonLiepaja1.06Confidence 83%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.14Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonLiepaja1.63Confidence 52%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU2.5Confidence 76%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Liepaja 4–1
HS Riga Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min10–37%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period3–021%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 6 goals31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 1-0, 1-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 5-2 (5%), 3-1 (5%)
Season so far
This seasonLiepaja
HS Riga
Head-to-head
Liepaja 3–1
HS Riga - Mar 5, 2026: HS Riga 2, Liepaja 1, after a shootout.
- Dec 18, 2025: HS Riga 2, Liepaja 7.
- Sep 27, 2025: Liepaja 8, HS Riga 1.
- Sep 10, 2025: Liepaja 3, HS Riga 1.
Last five games
Liepaja
0-4-1 - Overtime loss, 3–4 at HC Panter, after overtime, Oct 4.
- Loss, 2–5 at HC Panter, Oct 3.
- Loss, 1–4 at Mogo, Sep 26.
- Loss, 0–5 against Kyiv Capitals, Sep 23.
- Loss, 2–3 at Zemgale, Sep 19.
HS Riga
1-4-0 - Loss, 3–6 at Kyiv Capitals, Oct 14. Odds: Kyiv Capitals 1.11, HS Riga 19.40.
- Win, 2–0 against Energija Elektrenai, Oct 4.
- Loss, 2–5 against Zemgale, Oct 3.
- Loss, 0–7 at Zemgale, Sep 30.
- Loss, 3–5 against HC Panter, Sep 27.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period3-0
- 07:51 Goal PPG Liepaja: Baltrunas S. assists: Nimanis K., Zile N. 1-0
- 09:38 Goal Liepaja: Berzins A. assists: Tamenieks K., Zile N. 2-0
- 10:32 Goal Liepaja: Baltrunas S. assists: Valivonis S., Iso-Kuortti P. 3-0
2nd period4-2
- 00:46 Goal HS Riga: Sirokovs M. 3-1
- 02:48 Goal PPG HS Riga: Mezins M. assists: Cirkins J., Kandis K. 3-2
- 07:46 Goal Liepaja: Andersons D. assists: Ozolins K., Samitis K. 4-2
- 10:04 Goal Liepaja: Zile N. assists: Borskis R., Valivonis S. 5-2
- 15:14 Goal Liepaja: Samitis K. assists: Grinbergs R., Ozolins K. 6-2
- 18:10 Goal SHG Liepaja: Ozolins K. assists: Andersons D., Berzins K. 7-2
3rd period3-1
- 02:20 Goal Liepaja: Butans K. 8-2
- 05:31 Goal Liepaja: Snepste A. assists: Butans E., Baltrunas S. 9-2
- 05:54 Goal HS Riga: Ablazevics E. assists: Zile R., Biters I. 9-3
- 13:30 Goal Liepaja: Iso-Kuortti P. assists: Baltrunas S., Nimanis K. 10-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for Liepaja coming into this game.
- 1-4-0 away for HS Riga this season.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Liepaja.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for HS Riga.
- 6.3 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (LIE) | 1.20 | 1.20 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 6.00 | 6.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (RIG) | 9.50 | 9.50 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6.5 | Line raised |
| Handicap LIE | −2.5 | −2.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Optibet Hokeja Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kyiv Capitals |
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 22 | .786 | 75 | 31 | +44 |
| 2 |  Mogo |
11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .955 | 59 | 14 | +45 |
| 3 |  HC Panter |
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 44 | 35 | +9 |
| 4 | Liepaja |
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 42 | 37 | +5 |
| 5 |  Zemgale |
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 14 | .778 | 38 | 24 | +14 |
| 6 |  Punks Vilnius |
12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 7 | .292 | 26 | 71 | −45 |
| 7 |  Riga Prizma |
13 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 6 | .231 | 41 | 56 | −15 |
| 8 | HS Riga |
13 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 6 | .231 | 24 | 65 | −41 |
| 9 |  Energija Elektrenai |
8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | .250 | 16 | 32 | −16 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Liepaja host HS Riga in the Optibet Hokeja Liga on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.