Liepaja vs Zemgale prediction
Chance to win · 37% and 41% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostZemgaleodds up 1.76Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO5.5odds down 1.73Confidence 52%
- HandicapWonLiepaja +1.51.43Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonZemgaleodds up 1.46Confidence 53%
- Double chanceWonZemgale or drawodds up 1.26Confidence 66%
- Draw no betPushZemgaleodds up 1.41Confidence 54%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.08Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDraw2.70Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 77%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Liepaja 3–4
Zemgale Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–4After 60 min4–42%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–11st period0–213%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 5 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-4
- By period 1-1, 1-1, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-4 (2%), 4-5 (1%), 5-6 (0%)
Season so far
This seasonLiepaja
Zemgale
Head-to-head
Liepaja 1–4
Zemgale - Sep 19, 2026: Zemgale 3, Liepaja 2.
- Apr 4, 2026: Zemgale 6, Liepaja 0.
- Apr 2, 2026: Liepaja 2, Zemgale 3.
- Mar 31, 2026: Zemgale 2, Liepaja 3.
- Mar 29, 2026: Liepaja 2, Zemgale 4.
Last five games
Liepaja
1-3-1 - Win, 10–3 against HS Riga, Oct 21. Odds: Liepaja 1.20, HS Riga 9.50.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at HC Panter, after overtime, Oct 4.
- Loss, 2–5 at HC Panter, Oct 3.
- Loss, 1–4 at Mogo, Sep 26.
- Loss, 0–5 against Kyiv Capitals, Sep 23.
Zemgale
3-2-0 - Win, 6–0 against Punks Vilnius, Oct 14. Odds: Zemgale 1.11, Punks Vilnius 16.10.
- Loss, 0–4 at Kyiv Capitals, Oct 10. Odds: Kyiv Capitals 2.55, Zemgale 2.18.
- Loss, 2–4 at Mogo, Oct 7.
- Win, 5–2 at HS Riga, Oct 3.
- Win, 7–0 against HS Riga, Sep 30.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-2
- 12:44 Goal PPG Zemgale: Antons M. assists: Gricinskis G., Karasa A. 0-1
- 15:24 Goal Zemgale: Fjodorovs D. assists: Upenieks H., Karasa A. 0-2
2nd period4-1
- 01:30 Goal PPG Liepaja: Nimanis K. assists: Baltrunas S. 1-2
- 06:38 Goal Liepaja: Samitis K. assists: Andersons D. 2-2
- 11:35 Goal Liepaja: Butans E. 3-2
- 13:32 Goal Zemgale: Jirgens H. 3-3
- 15:12 Goal PPG Liepaja: Andersons D. assists: Grinbergs R., Valivonis S. 4-3
3rd period0-1
- 04:26 Goal Zemgale: Rokis K. assists: Vitols M., Millers G. 4-4
Overtime0-1
- 04:40 Goal Zemgale: Zabusovs P. assists: Gricinskis G. 4-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Zemgale.
- +1.6 goals at home — Liepaja averaged 4.0 at home and 2.4 away this season.
- 1-3-1 in the last five for Liepaja.
- 5.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 4th vs 5th in the Optibet Hokeja Liga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (LIE) | 3.26 | 3.15 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.25 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (ZEM) | 1.81 | 1.83 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap LIE | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Optibet Hokeja Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kyiv Capitals |
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 22 | .786 | 75 | 31 | +44 |
| 2 |  Mogo |
11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .955 | 59 | 14 | +45 |
| 3 |  HC Panter |
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 44 | 35 | +9 |
| 4 | Liepaja |
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 42 | 37 | +5 |
| 5 | Zemgale |
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 14 | .778 | 38 | 24 | +14 |
| 6 |  Punks Vilnius |
12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 7 | .292 | 26 | 71 | −45 |
| 7 |  Riga Prizma |
13 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 6 | .231 | 41 | 56 | −15 |
| 8 |  HS Riga |
13 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 6 | .231 | 24 | 65 | −41 |
| 9 |  Energija Elektrenai |
8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | .250 | 16 | 32 | −16 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Liepaja host Zemgale in the Optibet Hokeja Liga on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.