Lillehammer vs Frisk Asker prediction
Chance to win · 14% and 71% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Full game
- Best tip of the game: 1X2WonFrisk Asker1.39Confidence 71%
- Over/UnderLostU6.5odds up 1.32Confidence 70%
- HandicapWonFrisk Asker -1.5odds up 1.67Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonFrisk Askerodds down 1.23Confidence 81%
- Double chanceWonFrisk Asker or drawodds down 1.13Confidence 85%
- Draw no betWonFrisk Askerodds down 1.17Confidence 83%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.15Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonFrisk Asker1.88Confidence 52%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.98Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min3–57%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–312%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 4 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (7%), 1-3 (5%), 2-4 (5%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Oct 1, 2026: Frisk Asker 3, Lillehammer 2.
- Jan 31, 2026: Frisk Asker 0, Lillehammer 4.
- Nov 22, 2025: Frisk Asker 3, Lillehammer 0.
- Oct 19, 2025: Frisk Asker 4, Lillehammer 1.
- Sep 27, 2025: Lillehammer 1, Frisk Asker 2.
Last five games
- Loss, 0–5 at Valerenga, Oct 10. Odds: Valerenga 1.18, Lillehammer 9.00.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Stjernen, after a shootout, Oct 8.
- Win, 5–3 at Narvik, Oct 3.
- Loss, 2–3 at Frisk Asker, Oct 1.
- Loss, 2–3 against Nidaros, Sep 24.
- Win, 5–2 against Ringerike, Oct 10. Odds: Frisk Asker 1.23, Ringerike 8.75.
- Win, 4–1 at Stjernen, Oct 3.
- Win, 3–2 against Lillehammer, Oct 1.
- Win, 6–2 at Nidaros, Sep 26.
- Win, 7–0 against Narvik, Sep 24.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-3
- 06:08 2 min Lillehammer: Ellingsen M. Tripping
- 06:30 Goal PPG Frisk Asker: Granholm V. assists: Haga M., Wold E. 0-1
- 09:22 Goal Lillehammer: Hartikainen S. assists: Ellingsen M., Nilsson D. 1-1
- 12:08 Goal Frisk Asker: Callaghan C. 1-2
- 12:26 Goal Frisk Asker: Bjorndal F. assists: Wold S., Ulriksen P. 1-3
- 19:12 2 min Lillehammer: Sevanen R. Holding
2nd period1-1
- 01:56 2 min Frisk Asker: Wold S. Holding
- 04:31 2 min Lillehammer: Sevanen R. High sticking
- 05:10 Goal PPG Frisk Asker: Granholm V. assists: Haga M., Valkvae Olsen T. 1-4
- 09:22 2 min Frisk Asker: Skuterud T. Slashing
- 16:32 2 min Frisk Asker: Bjorndal F. Slashing
- 16:32 2 min Frisk Asker: Bjorndal F. Roughing
- 16:32 2 min Lillehammer: Strand M. Roughing
- 17:26 Goal PPG Lillehammer: Ellingsen A. assists: Ellingsen M., Juusola V. 2-4
- 18:45 2 min Frisk Asker: Granath F. Slashing
3rd period1-1
- 03:05 Goal Lillehammer: Soudsky R. A. assists: Eidsa Arnestad J., Ellingsen M. 3-4
- 04:46 2 min Lillehammer: Soudsky R. A. High sticking
- 18:21 Goal Frisk Asker: Granath F. assists: Wold S., Bjorndal F. 3-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Frisk Asker coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Frisk Asker dropped from 1.34 to 1.22 since they were first published.
- In goal: Morck A. for Lillehammer (1-8-1 in the last 10 starts), Breivold A. for Frisk Asker (8-2-0 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 2.9 per game — Lillehammer −1.6, Frisk Asker +1.3 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Frisk Asker.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (LIL) | 6.60 | 6.60 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.38 | 5.38 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (FRI) | 1.35 | 1.35 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap LIL | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Fjordkraft-ligaen standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 1.375 | 56 | 16 | +40 | |
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 1.077 | 46 | 28 | +18 | |
| 3 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 1.042 | 48 | 20 | +28 | |
| 4 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 21 | .875 | 33 | 33 | 0 | |
| 5 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19 | .731 | 34 | 39 | −5 | |
| 6 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 13 | .500 | 34 | 41 | −7 | |
| 7 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 12 | .462 | 23 | 52 | −29 | |
| 8 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 10 | .417 | 23 | 43 | −20 | |
| 9 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 4 | .167 | 23 | 48 | −25 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Lillehammer host Frisk Asker in the Fjordkraft-ligaen on Thursday, October 15, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.