Lillehammer vs Stavanger prediction
Chance to win · 33% and 47% in regulation
Halonen N.StartedSV 89.1% · GAA 3.00 · 3-7-0
Holm H.StartedSV 91% · GAA 2.60 · 5-4-1All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2WonStavangerodds down 1.52Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU6.5odds up 1.38Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostLillehammer +2.5odds up 1.44Confidence 72%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonStavangerodds down 1.29Confidence 60%
- Double chanceWonStavanger or drawodds down 1.13Confidence 69%
- Draw no betWonStavangerodds down 1.27Confidence 61%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.14Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonStavangerodds down 2.12Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.88Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Lillehammer 1–3
Stavanger Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–3After 60 min1–65%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–29%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost1st periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals20%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-3
- By period 0-2, 1-0, 0-1
- Likeliest 1-3 (5%), 2-4 (4%), 2-3 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formLillehammer
Stavanger
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Lillehammer 1–4
Stavanger - Feb 24, 2026: Lillehammer 3, Stavanger 6.
- Jan 3, 2026: Lillehammer 0, Stavanger 6.
- Dec 20, 2025: Stavanger 4, Lillehammer 3.
- Oct 31, 2025: Stavanger 5, Lillehammer 3.
- Sep 21, 2025: Lillehammer 4, Stavanger 3.
Last five games
Lillehammer
1-3-1 - Loss, 2–5 at Nidaros, Oct 17. Odds: Nidaros 2.18, Lillehammer 2.37.
- Loss, 3–5 against Frisk Asker, Oct 15. Odds: Lillehammer 6.60, Frisk Asker 1.35.
- Loss, 0–5 at Valerenga, Oct 10. Odds: Valerenga 1.18, Lillehammer 9.00.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Stjernen, after a shootout, Oct 8.
- Win, 5–3 at Narvik, Oct 3.
Stavanger
3-2-0 - Loss, 2–5 at Frisk Asker, Oct 17. Odds: Frisk Asker 1.55, Stavanger 3.90.
- Win, 4–3 against Stjernen, Oct 15. Odds: Stavanger 1.73, Stjernen 3.80.
- Loss, 2–6 at Storhamar, Oct 10. Odds: Storhamar 1.38, Stavanger 4.75.
- Win, 4–2 against Narvik, Oct 8.
- Win, 6–2 against Ringerike, Oct 1.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-2
- 12:22 Goal Lillehammer: Nilsson D. assists: Olsen M. 1-0
- 15:09 Goal Stavanger: Fagerudd M. assists: Hoff L., Norstebo M. 1-1
- 15:45 2 min Lillehammer: Genlid E. K. Interference
- 17:27 Goal PPG Stavanger: Pettersson L. assists: Fagerudd M., Trettenes M. 1-2
2nd period0-4
- 03:17 Goal Stavanger: McCarthy C. assists: Pettersson L., Karlsen C. 1-3
- 07:42 Goal Stavanger: Trettenes M. 1-4
- 08:19 Goal Stavanger: Rensfeldt L. assists: Trettenes M., Pettersson L. 1-5
- 10:11 2 min Lillehammer: Evjen N. Roughing
- 10:44 Goal PPG Stavanger: Karlsen C. assists: Christian Rodne L., Strandborg A. 1-6
- 13:08 2 min Lillehammer: Juusola V. Slashing
- 13:08 2 min Stavanger: Lokkeberg J. Roughing
3rd period0-0
- 07:27 2 min Lillehammer: Ondrcka L. Hooking
- 13:37 2 min Lillehammer: Ellingsen M. Tripping
- 16:51 2 min Stavanger: Ostby K. Kneeing
- 18:08 2 min Lillehammer: Soudsky R. A. Slashing
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Lillehammer coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Stavanger dropped from 1.33 to 1.23 since they were first published.
- In goal: Halonen N. for Lillehammer (3-7-0 in the last 10 starts), Holm H. for Stavanger (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Stavanger.
- −2.8 goals away — Stavanger averaged 4.0 at home and 1.3 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (LIL) | 4.50 | 5.25 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.50 | 5.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (STA) | 1.44 | 1.40 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap LIL | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Fjordkraft-ligaen standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Valerenga |
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 1.375 | 56 | 16 | +40 |
| 2 |  Frisk Asker |
13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 1.077 | 46 | 28 | +18 |
| 3 |  Storhamar |
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 1.042 | 48 | 20 | +28 |
| 4 |  Nidaros |
12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 21 | .875 | 33 | 33 | 0 |
| 5 | Stavanger |
13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19 | .731 | 34 | 39 | −5 |
| 6 |  Stjernen |
13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 13 | .500 | 34 | 41 | −7 |
| 7 |  Ringerike |
13 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 12 | .462 | 23 | 52 | −29 |
| 8 |  Narvik |
12 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 10 | .417 | 23 | 43 | −20 |
| 9 | Lillehammer |
12 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 4 | .167 | 23 | 48 | −25 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Lillehammer host Stavanger in the Fjordkraft-ligaen on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.