Lillehammer vs Valerenga prediction
Chance to win · 4% and 90% in regulation
Morck A.StartedSV 88.8% · GAA 3.60 · 1-8-1
Arnkvaern M.StartedSV 87.6% · GAA 2.80 · 6-4-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 78%Full game
- 1X2WonValerengaodds up 1.24Confidence 86%
- Over/UnderLostO5.5odds up 1.62Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonValerenga -1.5odds up 1.40Confidence 76%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonValerengaodds up 1.10Confidence 87%
- Double chanceWonValerenga or drawodds up 1.06Confidence 89%
- Draw no betWonValerengaodds down 1.08Confidence 89%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds down 1.17Confidence 81%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostValerengaodds down 1.70Confidence 65%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.72Confidence 60%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Lillehammer 1–5
Valerenga Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–5After 60 min0–36%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–016%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-5
- By period 0-2, 0-1, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-5 (6%), 2-5 (5%), 1-6 (5%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formLillehammer
Valerenga
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Lillehammer 2–3
Valerenga - Oct 10, 2026: Valerenga 5, Lillehammer 0.
- Feb 28, 2026: Lillehammer 0, Valerenga 3.
- Jan 15, 2026: Lillehammer 3, Valerenga 2, after overtime.
- Nov 27, 2025: Valerenga 3, Lillehammer 4, after a shootout.
- Nov 15, 2025: Valerenga 3, Lillehammer 2.
Last five games
Lillehammer
0-5-0 - Loss, 0–6 against Storhamar, Oct 24. Odds: Lillehammer 9.00, Storhamar 1.18.
- Loss, 1–6 against Stavanger, Oct 22. Odds: Lillehammer 5.25, Stavanger 1.40.
- Loss, 2–5 at Nidaros, Oct 17. Odds: Nidaros 2.18, Lillehammer 2.37.
- Loss, 3–5 against Frisk Asker, Oct 15. Odds: Lillehammer 6.60, Frisk Asker 1.35.
- Loss, 0–5 at Valerenga, Oct 10. Odds: Valerenga 1.18, Lillehammer 9.00.
Valerenga
5-0-0 - Win, 6–2 against Ringerike, Oct 29. Odds: Valerenga 1.10, Ringerike 14.00.
- Win, 4–1 at Stavanger, Oct 24. Odds: Stavanger 2.65, Valerenga 2.05.
- Win, 5–2 against Frisk Asker, Oct 22. Odds: Valerenga 1.91, Frisk Asker 2.90.
- Win, 5–0 at Ringerike, Oct 15. Odds: Ringerike 8.80, Valerenga 1.23.
- Win, 5–0 against Lillehammer, Oct 10. Odds: Valerenga 1.18, Lillehammer 9.00.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
- 12:59 2 min Valerenga: Modigs M. Holding
- 18:14 2 min Valerenga: Westerholm Pa. High sticking
2nd period0-1
- 03:36 2 min Lillehammer: Salsten V. O. Tripping
- 03:47 Goal PPG Valerenga: Westerholm Pa. assists: Larsson H., Westerholm Po. 0-1
- 10:44 2 min Valerenga: Larsson H. Interference
3rd period0-2
- 03:10 Goal Valerenga: Halmrast Johansen L. assists: Christiansen M., Torrissen C. 0-2
- 04:11 2 min Valerenga: Finstad P. Hooking
- 17:35 Goal Valerenga: Modigs M. assists: Westerholm Po., Westerholm Pa. 0-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 6-game losing streak for Lillehammer coming into this game.
- 6-game winning streak for Valerenga coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Lillehammer, 1 for Valerenga.
- 0-5-1 at home for Lillehammer this season.
- In goal: Morck A. for Lillehammer (1-8-1 in the last 10 starts), Arnkvaern M. for Valerenga (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts).
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (LIL) | 7.50 | 7.50 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 7.00 | 7.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (VAL) | 1.22 | 1.22 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 5.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap LIL | +2.5 | +2.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Fjordkraft-ligaen standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valerenga |
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 1.375 | 56 | 16 | +40 |
| 2 |  Frisk Asker |
13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 1.077 | 46 | 28 | +18 |
| 3 |  Storhamar |
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 1.042 | 48 | 20 | +28 |
| 4 |  Nidaros |
12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 21 | .875 | 33 | 33 | 0 |
| 5 |  Stavanger |
13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19 | .731 | 34 | 39 | −5 |
| 6 |  Stjernen |
13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 13 | .500 | 34 | 41 | −7 |
| 7 |  Ringerike |
13 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 12 | .462 | 23 | 52 | −29 |
| 8 |  Narvik |
12 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 10 | .417 | 23 | 43 | −20 |
| 9 | Lillehammer |
12 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 4 | .167 | 23 | 48 | −25 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Lillehammer host Valerenga in the Fjordkraft-ligaen on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.