Litvinov vs Karlovy Vary prediction
Chance to win · 26% and 53% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2LostKarlovy Varyodds down 2.26Confidence 54%
- Over/UnderWonO3.5odds down 1.32Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonLitvinov +1.5odds up 1.29Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostKarlovy Varyodds down 1.80Confidence 66%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostKarlovy Vary or drawodds down 1.44Confidence 75%
- Draw no betLostKarlovy Varyodds down 1.76Confidence 69%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.15Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostKarlovy Varyodds down 2.85Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.51.61Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min3–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period0–019%chance
- Highest scoring periodLostTieMost goals3rd · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-1, 1-1, 1-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (2%), 4-5 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Jan 11, 2026: Karlovy Vary 3, Litvinov 4, after a shootout.
- Nov 30, 2025: Litvinov 1, Karlovy Vary 2.
- Oct 17, 2025: Karlovy Vary 3, Litvinov 0.
- Sep 12, 2025: Litvinov 0, Karlovy Vary 4.
- Feb 12, 2025: Karlovy Vary 6, Litvinov 4.
Last five games
- Loss, 1–4 against Mountfield HK, Oct 15. Odds: Litvinov 2.70, Hradec Kralove 2.02.
- Loss, 1–2 at Mlada Boleslav, Oct 11. Odds: Mlada Boleslav 2.17, Litvinov 2.77.
- Win, 3–1 against Olomouc, Oct 9. Odds: Litvinov 1.79, Olomouc 3.45.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Kladno, after overtime, Oct 4.
- Loss, 2–3 at Trinec, Oct 2.
- Win, 5–0 at Olomouc, Oct 16. Odds: Olomouc 3.13, Karlovy Vary 2.00.
- Win, 3–1 against Kladno, Oct 11. Odds: Karlovy Vary 1.76, Kladno 3.65.
- Loss, 0–5 at Liberec, Oct 9. Odds: Liberec 2.10, Karlovy Vary 2.75.
- Win, 4–1 against Plzen, Oct 4.
- Win, 3–0 at Vitkovice, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
- 10:54 2 min Karlovy Vary: Redlich T. Boarding
- 19:48 2 min Litvinov: Moravcik M. Delay of game
2nd period1-0
- 03:02 Goal Litvinov: Kase D. assists: Kampf D., Tittl F. 1-0
- 03:18 2 min Litvinov: Coskey C. High sticking
- 10:35 2 min Litvinov: Polasek A. Roughing
- 11:25 2 min Karlovy Vary: Jones N. Slashing
- 12:18 2 min Litvinov: Samal V. Tripping
3rd period2-1
- 01:31 Goal Litvinov: Koblasa P. assists: Balaz O., Sukel M. 2-0
- 03:41 2 min Litvinov: Jurcik O. Boarding
- 08:18 Goal Karlovy Vary: Winberg T. assists: Beranek O., Cernoch J. 2-1
- 19:22 Goal ENG Litvinov: Kampf D. assists: Kase O., Polasek A. 3-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Cajan P. for Litvinov (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts), Frodl D. for Karlovy Vary (8-1-1 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 2.0 per game — Litvinov −0.9, Karlovy Vary +1.1 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Karlovy Vary.
- 1-3-1 in the last five for Litvinov.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Karlovy Vary.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (LIT) | 2.65 | 2.65 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.85 | 3.85 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (KAR) | 2.00 | 2.00 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
| Handicap LIT | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Extraliga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 1.219 | 64 | 38 | +26 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 64 | 43 | +21 | |
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | .882 | 53 | 49 | +4 | |
| 4 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 28 | .824 | 41 | 33 | +8 | |
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .765 | 45 | 47 | −2 | |
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | .735 | 45 | 40 | +5 | |
| 7 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 25 | .735 | 44 | 42 | +2 | |
| 8 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 43 | +1 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 42 | +1 | |
| 10 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 43 | 0 | |
| 11 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 21 | .618 | 36 | 45 | −9 | |
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 35 | 57 | −22 | |
| 13 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 16 | .533 | 37 | 49 | −12 | |
| 14 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 13 | .382 | 32 | 55 | −23 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Litvinov host Karlovy Vary in the Extraliga on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.